We Explain In Detail - Sports Betting Lines

My Introduction to a Professional Sports Betting Syndicate

This is part 1 of a 3 part story I recently shared within The Betting Network community. The Betting Network or TBN is a group of sports bettors that all share information with a common goal of winning more bets. I also do weekly lessons, a mentorship program, game previews and just pass along any and all information I’ve gathered over the past 15 plus years, the main goal is to help members improve their overall sports betting IQ and help them avoid the brutal trial and error I had to go through before becoming successful in the sports betting industry.
I decided to share this story because of the feedback I received within The Betting Network, hope you guys enjoy it and also gain something from it.

PART 1/3

Before I get into the good stuff I have to explain what my job entailed at the time. The company I use to work for scraped sports betting information and data off the internet. A lot of pro bettors use “data scrapes” and what it does is it searches the internet 24/7 every second of the day for anything that has the keywords you programmed into the software. Think about how much time and effort this saves. You input “LeBron James Injury” and the second anything related to that is posted anywhere online it will be sent to you and even compiled in an organized fashion. You could put Steph Curry 3pt attempts and it will gather all that info and compile it. Data scrapes are really the only way a person could compile stats and information on entire leagues, it would take the entire season alone if you attempted to input it yourself without a scraper.
One of the most important data scrapers is for injuries and the company I worked for had it set up where it would be constantly searching the internet for injury related news and it would “ping” our computers already formatted so it could be sent out to members and social media. For example, this is what a “ping” would look like - CLE-F [LeBron James] - Calf- Questionable or GSW-G [Steph Curry] - wrist - Doubtful. Our job was to edit any errors and basically just click a button that was linked to send it out on all platforms, members text services, on twitter, everywhere we wanted. Our company's injury scrape was so good that live odds services like Don Best would simply have a scrape on our Twitter account. Pro bettors would just have notifications set for our tweets because we were breaking injury information 10 to 20 seconds before ESPN sometimes. By the way, 10 to 20 seconds is an eternity in the sports betting world. If you couldn’t tell already I’m no computer wiz, but what I believe separated our scrape from many others was how the information was formatted when we got it and how it was streamlined with all the platforms it needed to be sent out to after we got it. In other words, injury news breaks, we get the ping, hit one button and it’s sent. Other people may receive the injury information and have to type out the format and then send it out one by one to twitter or on their website. But like I said I have no fucking clue how it all works all I know is we were considered one of the best for NBA, NFL.
If you want to learn more about how to actually set up a scraper I provided a good intro to scraping link here: ⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️
The MIT Sloan conference is one of the biggest sports analytics conferences in the world. Myself and a few co-workers were sent to the Sloan conference to represent our company. It’s a big 2 day event and everybody from the sports world is there, anyone from sports book operators to NBA head coaches and players. Link below for this years speakers at Sloan ↙️↙️↙️
Anyone that’s heavily involved in the sports betting industry is usually there because it’s a great way to network with everyone all in one place. My company had a booth there and we would just answer questions, hand out promotional fliers and point out all the famous people we saw. This is where it gets good. While sitting at the booth a guy approaches me and asks: “What do you do”? Me: I’m a data analyst Guy: ok, but what do you do?
I explained to him my job responsibilities adding in a bunch of stuff to make it sound more important because the truth was I sat at a computer for 8hrs a day waiting for pings and answering phone calls where 90% of the callers had the wrong number. He pretended to be interested in the job details and before I could get into what he did or why he was there the convo ended with him asking if I’ll be attending day 2 of the conference. I said yes and he told me he would also be back tomorrow for day 2 and that after the conference tomorrow him and a bunch of guys were going to meet for drinks at the Westin hotel across the street from the conference, “drinks on me” he said while walking away.
The next day after the conference I went across the street to the Westin and they have a restaurant. I see “George” who I met the day before and invited me, he’s sitting at one end of a table that has 2 big tables pushed together making one big table. He waves me over and I sit next to him, there’s about 7 other people there. He tells me to order anything I want, drinks, food whatever and made a point to tell me and everyone there that he’s covering the bill. The Westin is really nice and expensive, not a place I would be going to eat and drink on my own considering I think I was making $16 an hour at this time. I couldn’t help but wonder why he invited me and only me when I had 2 other co-workers. After a couple hours and 4 vodka tonics I found out.
“George” was a professional bettor and was (still is) the head of a nationwide sports betting syndicate. He knew exactly what the company I work for dos and even knew my boss. Once we got into talking about what he does he wasted no time telling me what he wanted to do. He wanted me to notify him and his team about injuries before sending it out to the public, 15 seconds after to be exact. He knew that a majority of sports books used the live odds screen Don Best and that Don Best used our company for breaking injury news and if he was able to get the injury news before Don Best he would be able to beat the line on all the books that copied lines from them.
For example: Your bookie isn’t sitting in front of the computer moving the lines when an injury happens, it’s done automatically. Most local books set up what’s called an auto-mover and this copies the feed from another sports book. Some local books may copy the feed from say pinnacle or 5dimes or any book they feel has strong accurate lines. They can’t set up a direct feed to pinnacle or 5Dimes because established books such as those can detect software. So what they do is set the auto-mover up onto a live odds service like Don Best. Once the line moves on don best all the books that are copying lines will then move their lines.
George had software of his own that allowed him to bet games on thousands of accounts with a few clicks of a button. He explained to me how this would all work - I get the ping - CLE-F [LeBron James] - Rest - Out, I would copy and paste that onto the telegram messenger app and press send, he said sing happy birthday and when finished then I could post it to the world like I normally would. With his automated bet software he could pick off all the books that didn’t move the line yet based on Lebron being OUT. Of course not every single book was reliant on Don Best to move lines, many of the bigger well known offshore books had their own data scrapes and injury software, but more than enough books did rely on Don Best, who relied on my company. So the potential for this was through the roof.
I had some serious thinking to do, as much as I wanted to say yes on the spot my instincts held me back. I told him I had to weigh the pros and cons. After all I basically would be tanking my job duties and going from a committed employee to what seemed like a sneaky spy. It does our company and it’s members no good if I’m sending out information late or at the same time as every other company. Also, without getting too detailed regarding the financial arrangement I felt I needed to counter his offer. The biggest upside for me besides the money was my strong desire to get involved with a real sports betting syndicate but the negotiations quickly let me know that there is a dark side to the industry and I had one foot in.
To Be Continued....
PS I’ll likely share part 2 and 3 in the coming days.
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How the hell is one supposed to choose a career? Related: Please help me choose a career.

Hello, SSC. I am using a throwaway.
This is a beast of a post. A few thoughts related to its size:
  1. Sorry
  2. Please don't read the whole thing; it's skimmable.
  3. TL;DR – lawyer, doctor, psych researcher, or (jokingly, unless…) novelist?
To make a long story short, I'm an unhappy software engineer (unhappy with my career, not with life in general), and I committed about a year ago to making a change. Since that time, I've vacillated wildly in my thinking on the various career options available (never able to fully commit), and at this point it's causing me a ton of anxiety: I've gotta choose something, but there just doesn't seem to be a clear answer. My family and partner are running out of patience, and I feel the same way: It's time to get a move on, already.
"Getting a move on" is super fucking hard, though (not to mention terrifying, given the stakes). How are you supposed to compare, on the one hand, cognitive fit (i.e. being good at your job) with, on the other hand, likelihood of being able to pursue your own lines of inquiry or expression (i.e. not feeling like a cog)? Where does money fit into all of this?
The sheer number of different paradigms for career choice seems to be evidence that nobody else really has a clear idea either:
"Do what you love."
"Do what you like the most out of medicine, law, finance, and engineering."
"Work sucks: Make money and retire."
"Working for someone else sucks: Start a business or be your own boss."
Then there are the more complicated ones, like Ikagi, or the Waitbutwhy octopus, or 80,000 Hours' five-star system.
Every different paradigm comes up with a different answer, and the same paradigm often comes up with different answers depending on things that seem like they should not be able to shift paradigms, like what mood I happen to be in at the moment.
I do have some concrete things to work with, namely that I think I've been able to pinpoint why I don't like software engineering. Three main reasons:
1 - Lack of Cognitive Fit:
On pretty much every sort of standardized test thrown at me, there will invariably be a huge imbalance between subscores (verbal = higher, math = lower), with further cleavage between the mathematics subscores (numeric = higher, spatial = lower). This comports with my general "feeling" about these things: Reading and writing are easy and enjoyable; statistics is doable and tolerable; spatial math is difficult and unpleasant.
This has manifested itself in difficulties with software engineering, which is, after all, concerned with how best to build complicated, invisible structures. My in-the-major grades in school were mediocre at best (they were high outside of my major); my work performance is middling. The overall feeling of working in software engineering is that of wading through cerebral molasses, and at no time is this feeling more acute than when I'm working with other computer people: They just get it, and I just don't get it. With all due respect to grit, conscientiousness, growth mindset, etc., I often feel like I am simply running up against the limits of my mental machinery. All fine if it's worth the fight, but...
2 - Lack of Subject-Matter Interest
CS as an academic discipline is interesting enough, but it's never "grabbed me" in the way that some other academic disciplines have. I've never found my mind wandering towards topics in CS in the same way that it often wanders towards topics in, e.g., biology, psychology, economics, literature. I would never read a book on software engineering or computer science for fun.
Why the hell did you major in it, then, you stupid, dumb idiot?
I wish I had a better answer, but it was some combination of peer pressure (the cool, ambitious kids were ALL majoring in CS in 2011 (that may still be the case now, IDK)) and a desire to be employable.
3 - Lack of Workplace Autonomy
A product manager tells you to build the thing, so you build the thing. You (sometimes) get to choose how you build the thing, but if you don't have any underlying interest in how the thing is built, the whole experience just feels like drudgery.


With all that in mind, I was able to build a pretty complicated paradigm that would take an entire post by itself to explain but basically boiled down to the following: Emphasize cognitive fit, subject-matter interest, workplace autonomy, and ability to do good, while trying as best you can to hold onto some of the positive features of software engineering (tons of stability, quite good pay, not-terrible working hours).
That got me down to four main possibilities. For the sake of simplifying the discussion, let's say that remaining a software engineer isn't an option. Here they are:
Law (JD):
On the one hand:
- Super high points for cognitive fit. Rules governing human behavior mediated entirely through the English language? Lots of reading and writing? Beautiful; give me more.
- The potential (if done in a certain way) to feel like you’re “fighting for the good guys.”
- For better or worse, I “vibe” with lawyers. Even the greedy ones tend to be "words people," because “money-driven” + “good with words, sucks at math” tends to equal “lawyer." I've never met, for example, another group of people who like crossword puzzles as much as I do.
On the other hand:
- Nearly every lawyer I’ve talked to says it’s straight-up difficult to get a job where you fight for the good guys and much easier to get a job where you’re fighting for the “neutral-at-best” guys.
- At the end of the day, I’m more interested in the law and less interested in being a practicing lawyer, mostly because of the same autonomy problem in software engineering: A higher-up tells you to do the thing, so you do the thing. In an ideal world, you solve the autonomy problem by, say, working at a think tank or in academia. But I’ve gotten that beaten out of my head by the chorus of voices saying, “Don’t go to law school if you don’t want to practice.”
- Long hours and a culture of overwork lead to high stress. Varies between firms (and between firms and government), but a work-hard-play-hard culture seem to pervade the profession, and, to put it bluntly, most of the lawyers I know seem pretty fucking stressed.
- When I tell lawyers that I’m considering law school, many of them say, “Don’t do it.” People in other fields don’t say that when I tell them I’m considering their field.

Medicine (MD) or Research Medicine (MD/PhD):
On the one hand:
- High level of interest in the subject material. I self-studied AP Bio back in the day by reading the textbook cover-to-cover. When I’m reading nonfiction for fun, there’s a pretty good chance it’s bio or medicine-related. To this day, I don’t really know why I didn’t study it in college. Network effects, probably.
- I could see myself being interested in practicing psychiatry, endocrinology, sleep medicine—any field where the emphasis is more “This strange concoction of chemicals makes you feel a certain way!” than it is “The machine that synthesizes urine broke down again.”
- I put “MD/PhD” because I find the idea of being a physician-scientist more appealing than one or the other. Being able to treat actual real people and then retreating to the lab to do solitary mind work really does sound like the best of both worlds. Either way, though, the process would start with a postbacc, so I guess technically I don’t have to decide yet.
- I did a thing where I downloaded the SSC dataset and looked at all the different careers, and doctors had the highest levels of life satisfaction out of anyone (for whom I could find a coherent career field in the spreadsheet). This held even when they were in school and residency (i.e. couldn’t be entirely explained by income (although it could, I suppose, be explained by “income or the expectation of future income”)). Two main ways I can think of to explain this: 1. Being a doctor is (relatively) fulfilling and makes people happy. 2. Becoming a doctor is so difficult that only (relatively) happy and well-balanced people are able to complete the process. This might sound naïve, but my honest bet is number one. In what other profession do you get paid SO MUCH MONEY to work so intimately with other people? So many high-enjoyability, low-pay professions (teaching, social work, etc.) are basically about taking a pay cuts so that you can work closely with other people. And in medicine you don’t have to take the pay cut.
On the other hand:
- Maybe there are doctors reading this and thinking, “You naïve little twerp; do you know how hard you have to work and how good you have to be to do what you’re talking about doing? Genetic research? Neuroscience? Start honing your colonoscopy skills, bucko, because you’re going to have to pay off your loans just like the rest of us.”
- On a related note, I know a lot of lawyers but no doctors, so I have heavy doses of “realism” from the law side, but not the medicine side.
- Med school, from what I understand, is the most demanding of the professional schools. I honestly can’t say for sure that I’d be able to get through it.
- While I like reading popular books about medicine, I don't really get off on academic papers about medicine. Maybe it’s just because I don’t know the lingo yet, or maybe it’s a warning sign that my interest in the field is going to turn out to be superficial.
- It would take a long time. Between postbacc, med school, (maybe) PhD, and residency, I’m looking at another decade before I make money again. Which is fine if I enjoy the process like I think I will. But if I don’t enjoy the process, it’s going to be a long ten years.
- Less reading and writing than I’d like, although that’s partially mitigated by doing an MD/PhD rather than just a PhD. I just really want a job where I get to read and write on the daily and the quality of the writing matters a good deal. “Just do that outside of your job!” Yeah, but in practice it’s hard.

Academia (PhD in Psychology):
On the one hand:
- I like sitting down at a desk, reading about things, thinking about things, doing what it takes to get the answer to something that’s been nagging at me, and then writing about the process of finding that answer. The fundamental idea that I could get paid to do something like that is still mindblowing to me.
- Checks ALL of the boxes that bugged me about software engineering: You have a degree of autonomy, and you presumably get to work in a field that you’re interested in and that you’re a good cognitive fit for. Law stumbles a bit in the autonomy department. Medicine stumbles a bit in the cognitive fit department. This baby don’t stumble.
- To test my enthusiasm for academia, I read as many research papers as I could get my hands on from as many different fields as I could get my hands on. The result? I enjoy reading research papers. I could see myself writing them. This is a good thing, as I understand it, for a career in academia.
- In terms of which disciplines “won” (greatest level of interest), three were head and shoulders above the rest: Psych, soc, and econ. I talked to some econ PhDs, and I honestly don’t think I have the mathematical acumen for it. Between (cognitive) psych and soc, neither of them has great career prospects, so it’s a wash there, and I’m slightly more interested in psych, so I might as well just do psych.
On the other hand:
- Due to mediocre undergraduate GPA and lack of research, I’ll probably have to do a masters or a postbacc first (time and $$)
- You gotta always be scrapping for grants and funding. Nobody likes scrapping.
- For better or worse, there is a distinct “good” outcome (tenure) that I might not achieve. I know that this is a really contentious topic, and I don’t mean to get anybody riled here, but yeah: I’m gonna be gunning really hard for the outcome that allows me to teach, do research, get paid well, and be difficult to fire. And I might not get it. And that’s extremely worrisome to me. “Making it” in academia, if you have the basic chops, is probably not as unlikely or fluky as, say, making it as an actor. But it’s still unlikely (depending on your field) and still fluky! You could get an advisor you end up not gelling with, and then you’re fucked. You could pursue a line of research that nobody really cares about, and then you’re fucked. (This is what people have told me, anyway). That’s all super scary to me, and it’s definitely an argument in favor of law or medicine, which have more of a “get the degree and collect your job” feel to them.
- Arduousness: Everyone says that it’s difficult and demanding and stressful and that you have to make sacrifices. I believe them. And, while I think I’m willing to make those sacrifices, it’s one matter to say that you’re willing and another matter to actually not drop out of the program when you really feel like dropping out.
- Covid-19 is currently in the process of upending higher education. It might be fine! But the next few years are a bit of an event horizon: We don’t really know what things are going to look like on the other side. In other words, more risk.

Writing (MFA):
On the one hand:
- A cool “wild card.”
- In the “You find out you have 5 years to live, what do you do?” thought experiment, I get an MFA and write a novel every time. Writing creatively is an activity that both hits a ton of neurons AND is somehow infused with meaning for me.
- It’d be super fun.
On the other hand:
- Risk. Risk, risk, risk, risk, risk. Follow your dreams, they say. But what if my dream was to be a professional basketball player in the NBA? Should I follow that dream? To put it another way: I know that I’m a good writer, but it seems like you enter the realm of “luck not optional” when you’re seriously trying to make a living by writing books. I ballparked my odds of eventual success (defined as “I get to write without doing anything else on the side”) at 25% if I get into a top MFA program (which I probably won't anyway). That number is already scarily low to me, and it may well be generous.
- My past is littered with the carcasses of unfinished novels. I’ve managed to finish short stories, and I’ve managed to finish screenplays. The novel is the white whale. I think I could do it from within the structure of an MFA program, but who knows?
- If I don’t “make it” straight out of the MFA program, I’ll have to go back to doing something pay the bills, and that something will probably be software engineering. And then I’m back where I started: Doing software engineering for money while writing on the side. If I end up just “Doing X and writing on the side,” then I would have been better off spending my grad school golden ticket getting up to speed in an X—law, medicine, psychology—that I enjoy more than software engineering.
Where I'm at right now:
Trapped in a terrible cycle, pretty much. It goes like this:
I choose medicine, and a voice goes, “Really? Once again subjecting yourself to a career where reading and writing artfully isn’t really an integral part of the process? Doing ‘science,’ which we suspect you might not be great at doing? You should do law instead, where your mental machinery seems more suited to the process and the people seem more like ‘your people.’”
So I choose law, and a voice goes, “Really? Once again committing to a dynamic where you show up to the office and a superior throws a bunch of work at you and you do the work and go home without having pursued your own lines of inquiry or advanced human knowledge?” “I’ll be a professor,” I say. “No, you really won’t,” the voice says. “Think of all the unhappy lawyers who said they were going to be a professor or go into human rights or whatever. If you want to do research, you should get a PhD instead.”
So I choose a PhD (in psychology or sociology), and a voice goes, “Really? A non-econ social science given the state of academia right now? Do you really think there’s a nice tenure-track job waiting for you on the other side of this? If you’re gunning for the risky thing you might as well go all the way and do an MFA.”
So I choose an MFA, and a voice goes, “Really? And have to go back to software engineering in two years when you write a book and nobody gives a shit? Why subject yourself to that? If you’re going to write on the side, just be a doctor: It’s better than software engineering in terms of subject-matter interest and humanistic elements, but it offers similar stability and predictability.”
Then we’re back at doctor, and the cycle begins anew.
Since I listed pretty much every career option out there, I feel compelled to address some of the few that I left off my list.
FIRE: Just gut it out for ten more years and then retire! But the thing is, I like working—I like sitting at a desk, reading, writing, doing stuff—and I can think of nothing more enjoyable than embarking on one of the career paths that I listed above. So all I would get by FIRE-ing is more financial stability when I finally pursue one of them. WHICH AIN’T NOTHING. Believe me, I know. But I don’t think it’s worth the tradeoff of being miserable for another 10 years and starting round two close to age 40.
Become a Product Manager (PM): Okay, so you don’t like making pie. How about you supervise the people that make pie; wouldn’t that be more fun?
No, I just fucking hate pie.
***Further Wrinkles:***I applied to law school last cycle and got into a school just outside of the T14. Still on the waitlist for pretty much all of the T14 except HYS. I am what the kids call a “splitter” (high LSAT, low GPA), so I don’t have any expectations of getting into HYS, and if I do get into CCN it will probably be because Coronavirus fucks everything up and they have to let a bunch of people off the waitlist.
If I decide to not do law school this year (either because I decide to do something else or I decide that I can’t commit when I’m this unsure about things), I will be giving up something in-hand that I might not be able to get back. Which is scary.
A Final Miscellaneous Thingy:
Since I haven’t actually DONE any of this stuff yet, it would be cool if there were some sort of way to dip my toes into two of the options and see which I like better (the proof, as they say, is in the pudding). Something like a premed postbacc program that would allow you to volunteer in a psych or neuroscience lab. I don’t know if that’s a thing, though. Or maybe it is, but by doing it you just make yourself a weak candidate for BOTH med school and psych PhD programs.
Okay. Phew. If you’re still here, first of all, thank you, and second of all, sorry. Thoughts? Feel free to be super discouraging, too. “I’m a doctor, and every vibe you’re putting out says, ‘flunks out of med school.’” That’s information! That’s helpful!
Thank you again. God bless you, SSC.
Edit: Thank you all so much for your kind and thoughtful answers! Tapping out of the thread for a bit while I go eat and do work and that kinda stuff. Gonna look at and respond to all of these, though; I've just been kinda responding in a random order, but I'll get to 'em.
submitted by throe_aweigh_ to slatestarcodex [link] [comments]

$ACED, a VERY detailed review.

Conducted by ANON A review on what to expect from this up and coming project
Can be found on coingecko.
Within this post/document it will cover what $ACED & AceD as a whole is, what to expect, and questions you guys have asked alongside information on the current online gambling statistics for the world, especially sports betting.
> The reason I have gone to this effort is because I have never seen such a low MC project have so much potential, this is unironically a gem. I truly hope you all see the value in this. LONG READ.
What is $ACED and Acedbet.io?
> 500k MC at this current time of posting
> Ethereum-based Token Tokenomics, Symbol: $ACED, Decimals: 18, Type: ERC-20 Token, Total Supply: 200 Million AceD, Circulating supply: 190 Million AceD
> This IS A FULLY WORKING RPODUCT. They advertise: Multi Crypto, Sports & Esports, Fair Odds, and Full Anonymity for all betters.
> AceD bases its fundamentals in providing an alternative to existing centralized systems through the blockchain. Other than most cryptocurrencies that just provide anonymity, AceD plans on developing a privacy-orientated platform where the possibilities are endless. AceD’s mission is to provide online world class entertainment options while providing a secure and private platform.
> Multi Crypto Sportsbook, AceDBets, is a newly launched sportsbook that aims to provide a superior user experience. Custom-designed from the ground up, AceDBets combines a smooth, streamlined interface with social features that enable interactions with fellow cappers.
> “Our goal is to develop an appealing product that betters can enjoy, fair betting experience with 0 downtime. Place a bet from anywhere in the world, totally anon compatible on any device. Demand will increase with improvements. Poker will also be a major driver.”
What the original AceD and the recent move to being a ERC-20 Token? why it happened:
> “AceD started out in June 2018 as a POS/Masternode coin. We decided to swap to ethereum chain in June 2020. Some bad characters were exploiting the chain stealing masternode rewards and selling them on exchange. Updates were too costly with centralized exchanges so the move to ethereum chain was the direction we agreed on. So basically, the main reason why we moved to Ethereum chain is to focus on product development and not worry about blockchain issues. We have Vitalik looking after our chain, no need to develop a blockchain ourselves.”
Did any tokens get lost?
> I asked about this and they said the 200million listed on etherscan is the full amount. Investors initially assumed that tokens were lost originally with the swap, but that is not the case.
The major thing a lot of you guys wanted to know about were the Team, Whitepapers and Roadmaps:
> “Expect team info to be available within the new couple days. Whitepaper draft has already started alongside roadmap, expect publishment within 2 weeks or so.”
> “We also plan to hire more staffing to fill the downtime as our userbase is increasing rapidly need to adapt with demand Over 1200 users signed up total. The total amount of team members we have is 10 (6 developers).”
I asked about bingo not working after being advertised as working, got a nice response, good to see priorities being taken care of:
> “Bingo has been taken offline temporarily; we’ll revisit the product as it requires some attention. AceDbets.io/sports betting is our primary focus right now.”
Considering live sports betting is the only thing running at the moment, what is the current daily, weekly, total wagered through you guys, how do the tokens get redistributed?
> “We shared a chart showing steady growth in bets over the past 3 months. Betting volume is out the roof this month, NBA resumes next week expecting even bigger volumes to roll in with major sports resuming. July numbers will be shared in 3-4 days. Currently there is no dividends model for users, the bankroll profits help fund development and future marketing goals.”
I find that last part interesting, could potentially be implemented as a system to reward staking if it were introduced. Hmm.

ACED and their future. What they plan on doing with Acedbet.io and their product as a whole.
What is there to look forward to in the next upcoming update, Any set time release? (This is in relation to the website and the extra features they plan to add to their sports betting. I have seen a lot of people comment on it.)
> “No firm date for the update, however we’re in the final stages of testing. It is a massive update for our platform need to ensure everything is down right and functional before we make the transition. Always room for improvement, the new update has many changes which will improve the user experience. We will continue to make changes, always listening to feedback and suggestions from our community.”
> “Support desk is being introduced along with update, where users will have access to knowledge tools, how to use acedbets, understanding betting odds, rules for events and quick support with ticketing system.”
> “in the near future we plan to introduce betting and bankroll management tracking tools. to help a better understand their track record.”
> “Updates will be provided in stages, we find that a more effective approach instead of blasting one big update every few months.”
This update is essential for the QOL of this product, the team seems to be absolutely working their arses off.
Ok, onto the future updates then:
> Focus is on acedbets.io right now. There are not many bugs left, one major one with All IN freeze up issue and then a bunch of minor visual bugs that need to be ironed out. This will be revealed in our roadmap, we hope to have the product live in Q42020. It’s 80% complete with a few user facing bugs that will be addressed when we resume development in August.”
> “After poker, we will be adding more games to the platform such as Keno, Bingo, Roulette, Blackjack. Considering adding live dealers as well.”
> “Staking on platform will be introduced eventually not sure of the timeline for this. We would have a community vote on how to fund the staking model, a certain amount of coins could be minted for example to support long tem staking.”
I personally find this part to be interesting, if they manage to pull off a staking + betting crypto site, where potentially dividends could be paid off to stakers, etc. it would be crazy, never seen anything like this.
> “Waiting for IDEX to reply, we have followed up and our listing request is now with their manager for review. We are actively seeking new exchanges and will find a better alternative to graviex very soon. IDEX application submitted, being reviewed by their listing manager.”
> “We will be ramping up marketing after our acedbets.io update. Social media, influencers, AMA’s podcasts, some fun contests, publishing articles on major crypto sites, telegram and discord server promotions, partnerships.”
> We will be appointing 2 team members to handle our social media profiles. This includes our medium account. All information will be available on acedcoin.com and medium.
I am unsure of anymore future updates as they have said they do not want to make too many promises. I believe with the roadmap release we will be able to get a grand idea of the project. PLEASE DO NOT BE AFRAID TO JOIN THE DISCORD AND SUGGEST IDEAS, THEY LOVE ALL INPUT AND TAKE IT SERIOUSLY.

Why bother investing in this?
> How about you guys have a look at the online gambling market predictions for the next 10 years…
> “The global online gambling market size was valued at USD 53.7 billion in 2019 and is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.5% from 2020 to 2027. The high internet penetration and increasing use of mobile phones among individuals for playing online games from their homes and public places are driving the market.
In addition, factors such as easy access to online gambling, legalization and cultural approval, corporate sponsorships, and celebrity endorsements are also contributing to market growth. The growing availability of cost-effective mobile applications across the globe is further expected to fuel market growth.”
IT THEN GOES ON TO SAY THIS: > “ The growing number of sports followers across the globe has fuelled the demand for sports betting. The majority of bets are placed on boxing, baseball, football, and hockey sports, which is, in turn, driving the market.
Increasing the development of new technologies such as virtual reality and blockchain is also driving the growth of the industry. This may be attributed to the fact that several companies are now integrating the blockchain technology into their online gambling business. This helps them ensure transparency in gambling activities and offer enhanced user experience. In addition, blockchain-based gambling platforms are completely decentralized and are free of third-party influence.”
They LITERALLY KNOW AND INCLUDE BLOCKCHAIN in their report. THEY KNOW IT WILL BE A BIG INFLUENCE IN YEARS TO COME. Even with COVID-19, AceD covers every sport you could think of that would be running right now, it even has E-Sports. This market prediction, alongside the ACED betting website WITH FULL ANONYMITY… This is going to blow. Once more betting options are released too, especially live poker. Man, you guys better be ready, do not complain about not getting in. I have laid this all out for you, now the choice is yours.
The closest thing that even compares to $ACED is 25mc, and then the next is 40mc. Neither have Anonymous gambling. Once $ACED gains more features, they will be far ahead of these other platforms.

What are you current biggest draw backs? what is stopping you guys from really excelling and achieving these visions faster?
> “Funding, our goal is to build a self-sustainable model with acedbets.io and we are well on our way to achieving this. We would also like to introduce more entertainment options such as live streaming with tip functionality. With our growing userbase I think we can attract a lot of streamers to use our platform to share their content. In order to achieve these, we can have community votes on coins being minted and offered as OTC crowd sale.”
Legal troubles, could this happen with the anonymous betting? Once you guys do pop off and blow up, will this bite you? I don’t personally see a reason for it to but please explain if there would be.
> “Currently, we don’t offer betting in fiat currencies, our platform is strictly crypto therefore a gaming license is not required to operate in this space. However, if need be we are prepared to comply with any changes and a gaming license would be obtained if required.”
If the site does get hacked or anything happens, how safe are everyone’s funds? Sorry if this is rather random it’s just good to know.
> “All funds deposited into acedbets.io are moved over to cold storage. We only keep a small threshold to payout daily withdrawals which is replenished on a daily basis.”
Wtf went on with DGN? saw a lot of fud > “I was in touch with Bubba-Degen (founder of DGN) , announcement was made on their discord. The FUD started due to couple members requesting a refund and were unhappy with the announcement of launch date being extended to upcoming Friday. The 2 guys went ahead and started spamming telegram groups with false information and accusing DGN as scammers. The DGN token will be listed on acedbets.io this weekend and the project will be live be going live on Uniswap on Friday. “
submitted by nansAshes69 to CryptoMoonShots [link] [comments]

The Importance of Closing Line Value (CLV)

Closing Line Value

Most recreational bettors simply bet with the hopes to get lucky and win. Winning money is obviously a way to tell if you're making good bets. The ultimate measure of identifying how well a sports bettor is doing Is with closing line value or CLV. Beating the closing line means that you take a better number or price than what the market closes at, therefore having a bet with a higher probability of winning than if you made it at a later (or earlier) time. By beating the closing line, we add a share of possibility in our favor against the market. The closing lines represent the most efficient market conditions, because, at this point, all participants in the market had the best information available and the line reflects this.
In the sports market, the sharp bookmakers’ closing lines are considered to be the expected value (EV). Meaning that If you bet at better odds than the closing line you have made a +EV wager (positive/plus expected value), while if the odds you bet at are worse than the closing line you have a -EV bet (negative/minus expected value). Obviously when you are looking to make a bet you do not know what the closing line will be. However there are multiple factors that impact the movement of the odds which ultimately conclude the closing line. (I will detail this more in future lessons and weekly classes)
According to the efficient market hypothesis the closing odds are on average more accurate than the opening odds in predicting the probability of how an event will play out. Opening lines don’t reflect all the information available in the market, and therefore “inefficiencies exist”. As bettors, we want to bet into inefficient markets, to exploit discrepancies when we think our pricing is more accurate than the market. By beating the closing line consistently, you can prove that you do just that. Pinnacle was for a while considered the sharpest closing line, recently CRIS has taken over that spot and is now known as the sharpest bookmaker in the world, using their closing lines as an indicator makes the most sense.
Sports betting is not about results; it’s about the process. I know that sounds crazy to some so I’ll say it again, sports betting is not about results; it’s about the process. You cannot control the outcome of games, but you can manage your handicapping/betting process. The goal is to make +EV decisions that lead to profitable outcomes long-term. The probabilities we apply in our handicapping process are estimated probabilities, we don’t know what the real chances for winning a particular bet are.
Nobody is able to accurately predict the outcome of every sporting event. However, this does not imply that it is impossible to become a profitable sports bettor or that those who are profitable are just lucky. Placing bets that have a larger chance of winning than implied by the odds. Over a small sample size of bets anything can happen or in other words variance will have a large impact on your results. A friend of mine who made her first ever real money bet this past NBA season went on a 16 day winning streak going 19-6 in her first 25 bets, close to an 80% winning %. Of course she’s not one of the world’s sharpest sports bettors because she hit 80% over a 2 week span. What happens is over a larger volume of bets the variance will even out and only sports bettors who are able to consistently beat the closing lines will be profitable. (Update she lost the $250 she deposited into her sports book account after exactly 60 days and hasn’t bet again)
The key to handicapping is pricing teams more accurately than the market, consistently over the long run. A point spread on any given game says: this is the point where the market believes that 50% of possible outcomes fall on either side of the number. Our job as handicappers – no matter how we do it – is to find discrepancies between our estimate and the market’s estimate for a spread, total or whatever.
Let’s say Wake Forest is favored by 3 points over North Carolina. If your handicapping process comes up with an estimated line of -6 in favor of WF, your edge will be three points. You would think that Wake Forest wins by 3 or more points in more than 50% of the possible outcomes. You apply a higher probability by your estimated line. That’s what handicapping is about. Pricing teams more accurately than the market is beating the closing line. When bettors combine this with other factors like discipline, money management, they are on the right path to being profitable.
Beating the closing line requires handicapping skills or what we refer to in the community as game theory, but also market analysis must be combined (Art & Science). One isn’t enough, both must be combined. As I explained above, your goal is to price teams/events and totals more accurately than the market. By that, you can exploit inefficiencies in the markets. A big advantage is to try and always be looking ahead. On Sundays I’m always looking at the next week and handicapping those games. Make notes and write down which market reactions you expect depending on possible results during the current week. Try to anticipate where influential money will be going. Some services advertise things like “sharp action reports” to bait you into betting on so-called “steam moves.” But we want to bet those numbers as early as possible, not after the whole world recognizes the move. Does you no good knowing which side has been steamed after the fact.
One suggestion I have to help you get CLV, which will help result in +EV positions is to start making your own projections before lines are posted, that way you can bet proactively instead of reactively. If you do this before looking at the lines it will help eliminate some bias. I wouldn’t recommend backing these positions with money if you don’t have a sound process established but by tracking this it will give you a good idea of impact points in the market and find patterns.
submitted by bettingnetwork to sportsbetting [link] [comments]

[OC] Introducing the unicorn index: defining player uniqueness

This post has a few graphs. If you don't want to click on each one individually, they're all in an imgur album here.
There is no tl;dr, but there's a link with results at the end of the post.


Each year, more and more “unicorns” enter the league. Many define unicorns to be unique big men, including Giannis, Jokic, or Porzingis. A unicorn big man will have some strong quality that’s uncommon among the typical big. For Giannis, it’s ball-handling and speed. For Jokic, it’s passing. For Porzingis, it’s a mix of shooting and mobility.
As more unicorn-like players enter the league, some lose their uniqueness. For example, a decade ago, a player like Porzingis would be unheard of. But, with the prevalence of stretch 5s today, he’s not as unique as we’d expect. To answer this question of how unique a player truly is, we’ll create the unicorn index.
The unicorn index measures the distance of a player’s stats from the average stats of the players in his position. This creates a metric of uniqueness for each player.


First, we collected 70 different statistics from both Basketball-Reference and NBA.com/Stats. These range from common counting and advanced stats to tracking stats such as touches and drives.
Adding the tracking stats from NBA.com helps us differentiate between players more. For example, only using PPG makes two bigs scoring 20 PPG seem similar. But, if one scores all his points off catch & shoot buckets and the other scores all his points off post plays, they’re distinct players.
The two tables below show the stats we collected.
Basic shooting stats Basic counting stats Holistic advanced stats Specific advanced stats
General touch stats Specific touch stats Specific shooting stats Defense stats
The first table consists of stats collected from Basketball-Reference. The second table consists of stats collected from NBA.com/Stats. The general and specific touch stats are under “player tracking touches”. The specific shooting stats are under “player tracking shooting efficiency”. The defense stats are under “player tracking defense.”
After collecting the stats, we marked the players into positions. However, these positions were not the typical 5 positions. Instead, we separated players into guards, wings, and bigs. We also restricted the data to players who played at least 41 games and 10 MPG. Note that we used 2017-18 stats for Porzingis (injury) and Davis (trade saga).
To create the unicorn index, we will not calculate player-by-player distance among these raw stats. This would be somewhat useless, as many of the stats relate to each other. For example, VORP is a minutes-scaled stat of BPM, so we can predict it using BPM and MPG. Many of the stats are the sum of other stats (such as WS = OWS + DWS).
Having inter-related stats makes some stats useless. If we know some information, then knowing other related stats won’t give us more information about a player. So, we must first find a way to remove the relationships between these stats.

Principal component analysis

To make the stats independent, we’ll use something called principal component analysis (PCA). PCA transforms our data into uncorrelated components that still capture the variance of our initial data set. So, this lets us have fewer data points to consider while still encapsulating most of the data set.
Each component has no physical meaning in a basketball game. However, raw stats compose these components. So, we can see what stats contributed to each component the most. This will give us an initial idea of what differentiates players within a position.
With each extra component, we can explain more of the data’s variance. So, there are a couple different ways to pick the number of components (n_components). Some optimize n_components like marginal utility. They pick n_components based on benefit in explained variance vs. the previous n_components. However, we’re not concerned with having a very small n_components. So, we’ll say we want enough components to explain a certain percent of the variance. In this case, we’ll pick 90%. There is no specific reason for this; the analysis would work just as well if we explained 95% of the variance.
Because each position has different stats, we’ll do the PCA on each position. The graph below shows the explained variance ratio for each position with varying n_components.
For guards and bigs, the explained variance reaches 90% when n_components = 15. For wings, the explained variance reaches 90% when n_components = 13. This means it’s easier to differentiate between wings than guards and bigs, as it takes fewer components to capture the same amount of variance. Intuitively, we would expect this. There’s a lot more variety in wings than in guards or bigs. For example, most guards shoot, and most bigs can’t. Meanwhile, it’s mixed for wings, where some wings are league’s best shooters, while others don’t shoot.
So, we’ll proceed with n_components = 15 for guards and bigs, and n_components = 13 for wings.

Factor loadings

Each component has a factor loading, or how much our initial raw stats affected the component. This doesn’t matter for the sake of the unicorn index but it’s interesting to look at.
The factor loadings show us the composition of each component. So, the factor loadings for the first component are the first differentiating factor between players in the same position. For example, if these factors were 3P%, PTS, and EFG% in component 1 then shooting is the first differentiating factor. If component 2 had STL, BLK, and DBPM, then we know that after controlling for shooting, defense was the biggest differentiating factor. This follows for the rest of the components. Unfortunately, factor loadings won’t always group together like this. But, we will often see some trends.
Let’s look at the top 5 factor loadings for each component in the guards PCA. They are not in order of greatest to least impact on each component because the difference in effect is tiny.
Component # Factor 1 Factor 2 Factor 3 Factor 4 Factor 5
2 TOV% 3P% TS% C&S_PTS 3P
We see that the first differentiating factor between guards is offensive production. After controlling for offensive production, shooting becomes the biggest differentiating factor. After controlling for both offensive production and shooting, ball handling becomes most important. The subsequent components have less of a clear connection between the factors. This is because we have so many touches-related stats and fewer defensive stats. So, we’d expect most groups to have some touch-related stats. This makes it unlikely to find a component composed of only defensive stats.
Next, let’s look at the top 5 factor loadings for each component in the wings PCA.
Component # Factor 1 Factor 2 Factor 3 Factor 4 Factor 5
3 3P% FG% eFG% TS% 2P%
For wings, it seems that the first differentiating factor is offensive production, as it was for guards. Following offensive production, we see that defense and rebounding are important. Then, shooting is the next differentiating factor. After that, it becomes a bit less clear.
Finally, let’s look at the top 5 factor loadings for each component in the bigs PCA.
Component # Factor 1 Factor 2 Factor 3 Factor 4 Factor 5
Like wings and guards, bigs differentiate themselves by their offensive production first. However, rebounding was also one of the most important factors in the first component. Following offensive production, it seems that shooting was the biggest differentiating factor. This seems surprising at first but it makes sense. Bigs should have the widest range of shooters to non-shooters because some players shoot a lot, while others don’t shoot at all. Following shooting, it seems that ball-handling/facilitation was the next most important factor. This follows the same reasoning as shooting; many bigs don’t pass at all or get touches, but some are among the best passers in the league and touch the ball often (Jokic, Giannis, etc.).
This gives us a general idea of the composition of the principal components.

Calculating the unicorn index

Calculating the unicorn index from the components has a couple steps. Before we jump in, we’ll want to describe the metrics we’re using.

Distance metrics composing the index

To calculate the unicorn index, we'll use three different distance metrics. They are:
  1. Euclidean distance. The Euclidean distance between two vectors (lists of values) equals the square root of the sum of their squared differences. Essentially, if we have two lists, p and q, of 3 elements, their Euclidean distance will be the square root of (p_1 – q_1)2 + (p_2 – q_2)2 + (p_3 – q_3)2 where p_n and q_n are the nth elements the vector.
  2. Manhattan distance (or city block/taxicab distance). The Manhattan distance between two vectors equals the sum of the absolute values of their differences. So, the only difference between this and Euclidean distance is that Euclidean distance squares these differences then takes the square root, giving us some different values. So, the Manhattan distance of two lists, p and q, of 3 elements will be |p_1 – q_1| + |p_2 – q_2| + |p_3 – q_3|
  3. Chebyshev distance. The Chebyshev distance between two vectors equals the maximum difference between corresponding coordinates in the vectors. So, if we have two lists, p and q, of 3 elements and the difference between p_1 and q_1 (|p_1 – q_1|) is the greatest difference between elements, the Chebyshev distance will equal |p_1 – q_1|.

Calculation of distance

From the positional PCA data, we took the average of each component. This gave us a list of values that the “average” guard, wing, or big will have. Then, we calculated each player’s distance to these values. In each metric, a higher value indicates a higher distance from the positional average. A distance of 0 indicates that the player is perfectly average.
The graphs below show the Euclidean distance, Manhattan distance, and Chebyshev distance for guards.
The same 3 players ranked top 3 in each metric: James Harden, Russell Westbrook, and Ben Simmons. Westbrook and Simmons do have very unconventional stats for a guard.
However, we would not expect Harden to be “unique” for a guard. Because we’re measuring distance, someone could have a high distance by being amazing. So, even though Harden isn’t a “unicorn” by definition, his stats were so unique that he received a high score. We’ll notice this trend again later for other players.
Now, let’s look at these distances for wings. The three graphs below show the distances for wings.
Here, we see a pretty similar thing where the top 3 players (LeBron, Durant, George) all happen to be among the best wings. So, this contributes to them having a high “distance.” Still, they are all unique players. LeBron’s passing, Durant’s scoring, and George’s defense are all special for wings. Note that some of the more odd players here (like Svi Mykhailiuk) made it in because they are barely over the minutes and games played boundary. For example, Mykhailiuk played 42 games and 10.5 MPG. So, his stats are much worse than most players in the data set, making him technically unique.
Now, let’s look at the same results for bigs.
Here, we see that the common unicorn players do have the top distances. Intuitively, we’d expect the bigs to have the easiest to understand distances where the most distant players are both good and unique. This is because guards and wings are generally well-rounded. So, a high-distance guard or wing is either extremely unique (like Ben Simmons) or very good. Meanwhile, because a lot of bigs don’t shoot, pass, or dribble often, it’s easy for a player to differentiate themselves if they do one of these things well. Then, if a player does one of these things well as a big, they’re probably very good.
Now that we’ve seen how each distance metric ranks the players, we can create the final unicorn index.

Converting distances to the unicorn index

To convert these distances to the unicorn index, we’ll first normalize them between 0 and 1. So, the player with the highest distance in each metric for each position will receive a 1. The player with the lowest distance will receive a 0. For the rest of the players, the distribution remains as it was initially, but shifts between 0 and 1. This will let us compare the distances; we can’t do that now because they’re scaled differently. For example, notice that the Manhattan distance is always higher.
Scaling these distances will also give us a way to compare players across positions. It happens to be that in the raw distance metrics, guards had a wider range.
After scaling each distance, we can then take the average of the 3 distances to give us the unicorn index. The unicorn index is between 0 and 1. A player receiving a 1 means they had the highest distance from the average for their position in all 3 of our distance metrics. Therefore, they are the most unique player in that position.
The three graphs below show the unicorn index for guards, wings, and bigs.
Giannis was the only player to get a unicorn index of 1, meaning he is the most unique player in the NBA. Meanwhile, Tyler Johnson is the least unique player in the NBA.
The Google Sheet below gives the unicorn index for every player who played at least 10 MPG and 41 games last year. The positional rank is how high the given player’s unicorn index ranks among players in their position. Next to the unicorn index, we have the normalized distance metrics. The unicorn index is the average of these normalized metrics. The Google Sheet is available here:


The unicorn index spotted some conventional unicorns, while also bringing to light how unique some great players are. For example, Harden’s skill set isn’t unheard-of for a guard, but his production is very unique.
We can apply this same process to the league’s entire history to find the most unique player ever. We can also apply this to each player’s individual seasons relative to all player seasons in NBA history. This would give us the most unique season in NBA history. My bet for this would be some of Wilt’s seasons. If we restricted it to the 3-point era, maybe Curry’s unanimous MVP season would be the most unique.
This is my newest post on my open-source basketball analytics blog, Dribble Analytics.
The GitHub for the this project is here.
submitted by dribbleanalytics to nba [link] [comments]

PEGI defends NBA 2K20 rating


With the recent controversy over NBA 2K20's casino trailer I decided to contact PEGI to get their reasoning for the 3+ age rating. Sorry if this isn't the right place for this, but I thought it was worth sharing:
We have seen the announcement trailer of NBA 2K20 and noticed the controversy it has caused. We feel it is important to carefully explain when certain content is triggering the gambling descriptor in the PEGI system, but also to show when it does not at this moment.
A video game gets the gambling content descriptor if it contains moving images that encourage and/or teach the use of games of chance that are played/carried out as a traditional means of gambling.
We use a help text to clarify this in more detail: This refers to types of betting or gambling for money that is normally played/carried out in casinos, gambling halls, racetracks. This does not cover games where betting or gambling is simply part of the general storyline. The game must actually teach the player how to gamble or bet and/or encourage the player to want to gamble or bet for money in real life.
For example, this will include games that teach the player how to play card games that are usually played for money or how to play the odds in horse racing.
It is important to stress that the controversial imagery played a central role in the trailer, but it may not necessarily do so in the game, which has not yet been released.
At this point in time, PEGI can only comment on the trailer that has been made publicly available.
The trailer includes imagery that is generally known from casinos (wheel of fortune, slot machines). Using this sort of mechanic to select an item, or character, or action by chance is not the same as teaching how to gamble for money in a casino. These differences currently prevent us from applying the gambling descriptor. But we are very aware that it may get too close for comfort for some people, and that is part of an internal discussion that PEGI is having for the moment. The games industry is evolving constantly (and rapidly in recent years). As a rating organisation, we need to ensure that these developments are reflected in our classification criteria. We do not base our decisions on the content of a single trailer, but we will properly assess how the rating system (and the video games industry in general) should address these concerns.
Kind regards,
PEGI Consumer Affairs
submitted by Anime-NoireChan to Games [link] [comments]

Ultimate Guide for Online Sports Betting OFA168

Sports betting is beginning to go mainstream also. The thing that was mentioned using a wink and a nod would be currently discussed publicly. There are shows on major sporting programs that pay to wager daily. It’s really a boom time for sports bettors, and also the playing field is still open for those who are not used to the match.
Retail sportsbooks and gambling apps are still established in legalized countries. Because of this, gaming lovers have lots of legal on the web and portable sportsbook options. Online sports betting sounds somewhat complicated at first, but it is going to feel a whole lot less foreign when you get some experience.
This guide intends to help decrease your learning curve tremendously. Let us start out with the basic principles.
Bettors try to predict the outcomes and create their very best bet on which the result is. Bettors an average of a bet with a sportsbook. Odds-makers at the assorted novels will put lines or chances for its readily available wagers.
Essentially, chances clearly show the chances of a certain event occurring. Additionally, they indicate the potential yield for all those that gamble successfully. Sportsbook provides a vast selection of markets. From leading sports like NFL gambling along with NBA gambling to niche offerings like cricket along with rugby, you will discover lots of wagering opportunities out there. The very same applies in regards to betting types.
The most ordinary bet simply entails selecting a winning side. But, you will find lots of different means to bet and facets to think about. Sports betting is a popular pastime that’s bringing more attention thanks to legalization in several markets.
You are brand new to sports gambling and prepared to begin. Now what?
Beginning any new undertaking might be overwhelming initially, but a lot of times you’ll find it isn’t really that tough once you start grinding. That is true with sports gambling. Much like many other scenarios, it is ideal, to begin with, the fundamentals and builds from there:
Advantages of sports-betting: Sports gambling has ever turned into a blessing for every one of those countries that have ever entered. A clinic that has been illegal has become generating additional tax revenue. What’s more, occupations are and continue to be established in each new industry.
Steps to Start Betting on Sports: it may not be much easier to begin gambling on sports betting. Most operators are working out the legal niches, and enrolling in an account using them is just a snap. From that point, you are able to remove and add funds from the accounts easily and start researching chances.
The Mechanics of sports-betting: Among the coolest things concerning sports gambling is that you’re able to get as complex as you prefer at your own pace. It is possible to keep it simple and follow the fundamentals or dip in with both feet to boost your level of skill from the beginning. That is ultimately your decision personally; also there isn’t any wrong or right strategy. It boils down to a question of what is most effective for you personally.
Knowing the chances: that really is a place that could confuse those brand new to the match. A brief, chances inform one of that the suggested probabilities and possible yield for powerful wagers. For a simplified case, negative chances imply a well-liked and less yield potential. While favorable chances point out an underdog and also the capacity for larger yields.
For every one of those categories, there exists a ton more to comprehend proceeding forward. As you progress, you’re able to research issues, like chances, in a great deal more detail. Provided that those foreign notions will develop into something that you know well.
Sports betting can be exceedingly enjoyable, and additionally, there is the opportunity to earn a profit whilst doing whatever you like. That is clearly a win-win scenario, however, additionally, it is critical to get into it using a transparent mind.
Almost always there is the prospect of hitting a significant parlay you are likely to have rich using overnight. A sports betting is hard and maybe quite a grind, but that is also part of this allure. Begin sports gambling using realistic expectations sufficient reason for a laser-like give attention to being more disciplined. For all those not used to the match, you need to think about the money you’re wagering as a portion of one’s entertainment budget.
Just bet what you’re comfortable gambling and do not exceed this amount. There’ll be a lot of time and energy to enlarge your bets as your skills improve; therefore there is no requirement to dash it as long as you are learning. Last but most certainly not least, bear in mind this is something which you ought to discover entertaining and fun. In case it stops sense like this — or in case you struck on the inevitable losing series — you shouldn’t be reluctant to simply take a rest. Having a step backward and forth representing somewhat will permit you to tweak your approach and plan where required. Obtaining a breather and obtaining additional view might cause one to feel rejuvenated if you are prepared to play.
Sportsbook operators are for-profit entities. Therefore, they are not only providing a gambling market place out from the goodness in the hearts. The target for these may be exactly the very same as you: to earn money. Novels that do not accomplish that goal won’t be around as long. Odds-makers who always have a beating will gradually be trying to find a fresh field of work. Nevertheless, the overwhelming bulk of operators that are established are excellent at what they’re doing.
They turn into a profit as an outcome. Therefore, just how do they accomplish so? Sports-books earn money by the commissions that they collect for shooting action on stakes. That can be known as the vig or even juice. Let us consider a good illustration working with a normal group of point spread odds of -110.
In case your bet is more correct, you are going to reunite 0.90, and that’s the own 0% bet and a benefit of .90. So just why not double your funds? That is since the bookmaker has essentially maintained a proportion of their yield for themselves. Additionally, think that the operator can also be taking bets on each side of the equation.
In an ideal environment, they’ll receive even actions on each side. 1 / 2 of those stakes will likely triumph, as the spouse will probably soon lose. The internet of the things they collect, no matter what they cover out, reflects profit. Obviously, maybe not all of the stakes will bring even actions, which explains the reason you are going to observe chances move once they have been published. In case the book maker’s accountability using a single side of a result gets too great, they’ll create the likelihood a little more positive on the opposite hand to draw in more activity.
Mistakes Need to Avoid
Whenever you’re beginning with something brand new, it’s vital to see that there is going to soon be a learning curve. Mistakes will occur on the way, however, you are able to study on everyone and boost your general knowledge base.
If it comes to sports gambling, you are likely to make mistakes. You’ll miss something which appears obvious on your handicapping ahead of this match. Or you can set a bet on chances that unexpectedly turn into far more positive on the negative you’re leaning. It’s going to occur, and there is absolutely no solution to protect against every mistake. But, you’ll be able to prevent many big pitfalls which might create your sports gaming profession shortlived.
Do Not Chase Your Losses: You are likely to drop a few stakes. Any sports bettor who lets you know to win all of the time is not really being honest. When reductions happen, analyze the reason why suck it up and then proceed. Don’t make an effort to “get “ by Slimming down since you are “because of a win” Which is an instant recipe for tragedy.
Do not Bet On your mind: It is critical to own a crystal clear funding in mind for their own sports gambling console. Simply deposit that which you could manage to reduce, and also withstand the desire to go ahead when things are not moving away. If your long term budget has been gone, then simply take that as a chance to have a rest and return back into it having a transparent head.
Do not Be Unrealistic or over-estimate Your Skills: From nature, most sports fans are enthusiastic. Some people may take this for the extreme and feel as though they’re always right and therefore are not able to create a lot of money gambling. You shouldn’t be this guy or woman. Understand that you are going to have work to accomplish aside from your sports consciousness grade, and keep your profit aims reasonable.
Sports gambling can be considered a wonderful source of entertainment and also a potentially rewarding enterprise. Nevertheless, the probability of happening increases whenever you stop the aforementioned advantages.
submitted by ofagames to u/ofagames [link] [comments]

PEGI's stance on the NBA 2K20 controvery

With the recent controversy over NBA 2K20's casino trailer I decided to contact PEGI to get their reasoning for the 3+ age rating. Sorry if this isn't the right place for this, but I thought it was worth sharing:
We have seen the announcement trailer of NBA 2K20 and noticed the controversy it has caused. We feel it is important to carefully explain when certain content is triggering the gambling descriptor in the PEGI system, but also to show when it does not at this moment.
A video game gets the gambling content descriptor if it contains moving images that encourage and/or teach the use of games of chance that are played/carried out as a traditional means of gambling.
We use a help text to clarify this in more detail: This refers to types of betting or gambling for money that is normally played/carried out in casinos, gambling halls, racetracks. This does not cover games where betting or gambling is simply part of the general storyline. The game must actually teach the player how to gamble or bet and/or encourage the player to want to gamble or bet for money in real life.
For example, this will include games that teach the player how to play card games that are usually played for money or how to play the odds in horse racing.
It is important to stress that the controversial imagery played a central role in the trailer, but it may not necessarily do so in the game, which has not yet been released.
At this point in time, PEGI can only comment on the trailer that has been made publicly available.
The trailer includes imagery that is generally known from casinos (wheel of fortune, slot machines). Using this sort of mechanic to select an item, or character, or action by chance is not the same as teaching how to gamble for money in a casino. These differences currently prevent us from applying the gambling descriptor. But we are very aware that it may get too close for comfort for some people, and that is part of an internal discussion that PEGI is having for the moment. The games industry is evolving constantly (and rapidly in recent years). As a rating organisation, we need to ensure that these developments are reflected in our classification criteria. We do not base our decisions on the content of a single trailer, but we will properly assess how the rating system (and the video games industry in general) should address these concerns.
Kind regards,
PEGI Consumer Affairs
submitted by Internutt to KotakuInAction [link] [comments]

So I have had a headache for weeks (Part 6) immersive

So far, we have had an impromptu camping trip interrupted, our home has been invaded and our sleep disrupted, a friend at work has died, and our Fourth of July was ruined. I’m telling you I am about at my wit's end here.

After the 4th of July party, everyone at work was kind of skittish around me for a while. I can’t blame them of course even with the lie that Agent Oliver’s team convinced them of, which was scary enough, I can’t imagine what would have happened if they had kept the knowledge of what really took place that day?

After a few weeks, the atmosphere at work returned to normal. After all, no one could blame me for what happened, as they understood it a military project had crashed in our woods and caused all of us to hallucinate the same thing vividly. I still can’t believe the agency was able to convince them of this, I guess the mind will accept anything to not have to deal with the paranormal.

It has been a few weeks now and something has been nagging at me since the encounter at my old office building. What was that ship they had in the subbasement and how was it able to react to my thoughts? Were the beings who built that ship the ones who gave us the powers we now possess?

I also really wanted to know if it still existed or it did blow itself to kingdom come. As best as I could tell, they evacuated the building that same day and no one from our team or any of the other teams had been back. All our projects seem to have made it to the new building even our personal items pictures and other items, but all our computers and tools were brand new. It was like none of them survived while our projects, data, and nick-knacks did.

One afternoon I decided to visit the old building to see if anything survived, and what happened after we were teleported away. I parked my truck in an alley near the complex that was our offices and walked to the back parking lot. Once I got there, I saw far less destruction than I had imagined. To be honest, except for the west side of the building, which was a pile of bricks and debris, our offices looked like they always had.

The east maintenance door was hidden behind some of our larger HVAC units so I chose that to be my entrance as it would afford me a barrier from any prying eyes. I climbed the fence surrounding the back parking lot and proceeded to the maintenance door.

Once inside I took the emergency stairs to our floor to see if anything was still there. I walked into our old area and saw all our computers and tools still in place and powered up, but all the of the screens had strange symbols floating across them like some demented screensaver was being shared between them.“Bet IT would be pissed to find viruses on our machines!” I joke out loud.

A hum was coming from our fabrication room, so I walked over to the door and slowly opened it. Our fabrication system was some of the most cutting-edge metal 3d printing and CNC systems in the world. As I slowly entered to make sure I was alone in the room, I noticed the large format 3d metal printer was printing something. Considering no one was supposed to be here, this was beyond odd to me. I walked over to it and watched what it is creating.

After a few minutes a panel appeared that was like the one that covered the treads of the ship, I looked closer at it and saw strange symbols and marking covering the almost completed panel. I hear the door to the rear of the room open, and I scramble out the other way, barely making it out before someone I have never seen before walks into the fabrication room.

I peek the window that is built into the office side of the fabrication room and watch this unknown person pick up the metal panel and carry it back out the door he had come into previously. I quietly reenter the room and hurry over to the other door. I push it slowly open and look first one way down the hall than the other way, and there is the guy walking toward the elevator leading to the sub-basements. As he walks into the open elevator, I run and unlock the stairs which run parallel to the elevators.

I run down several flights of stairs to the sub-basement hangar guessing rightly that was where the person was taking the panel. I make it just before the elevator opens and duck into a nearby doorway that is unlit. Hiding in the shadows, I watched the gentleman carry the panel down the hall toward the same sub-basement hangar that housed the ship. The hall was dark like it was before, but my head wasn’t buzzing yet, so I felt somewhat safe in continuing to follow the stranger.

Staying back enough to be able to keep him in sight but also to have time to hide in doorways as he headed to the hangar, I followed him into the sub-basement. As I slide around the doorway trying to be careful not to let him see me, I stop dead. There is the ship looking just like before, except for some of the front is damaged like it had been in an explosion. The stranger puts the panel where a piece had been blown off the front landing strut.

I shake myself out of the wonder of seeing the ship still intact, and while the person is busy with trying to fit and attach the new panel, I survey the room. The floor is scorched like the concrete had been subjected to intense heat. Around the room, all the equipment and metal pieces like the roof girders were melted and sagging. At the back of the room, the material mover elevator was simply no longer there.

When Bruce and I came here before there had been wood crates and other assorted boxes scattered about the room, but now it was empty of any material not made of steel or concrete. The smell was of smoke and ash, and I was barely able to keep from coughing. With nowhere to hide in the hangar, I opted to stick to the doorway and watch what the stranger was doing to the ship.

Once he had the panel in place there was a vibration that I could feel in the floor and walls, he turns to me and I get a better look at the interloper into our office building. He looks to be in his mid-thirties African or African American descent, I still am not getting any of my alarms from him which might be why I wasn’t being as careful as I should have been. Once he was fully facing my direction, I realize he has seen me. With him fully facing me I realize that his face has a blank look like a college kid after an all-nighter.

Still looking straight at me, he speaks in a voice that sounds like something from a demon possession movie. “Hello Mister S. we finally meet, we hope you are well? We were worried when We teleported you and your mate away that we had not read the location from your mind correctly. Reading a being’s mind when they are under stress is always a difficult proposition, but we judge by your presence here it must have worked?"

“Who or what are you?” I say as I walk into the room no longer needing to hide. “And yes, we arrived at our home unconscious but safe.”

“We are the ship before you, and the mind of the man below it. We took over this one’s mind so that repairs could be done to the body of us, and we could escape from here.” The man turned back to the strut and continued his work.

I walk toward the ship. “And why does it look like you have been in an explosion?”

“When you were teleported away, the one you called Bruce became enraged and the warriors of the light the ones you call Sasquatches started attacking my outer shell! I was taking damage and feared that I would be compromised in function, so I defended myself with weapons I haven’t used in a millennium. I was a bit too energetic with my defense and destroyed everything here in this room and caused some more damage to myself from the explosions.”

“So, you just take people over when you see fit like the aliens that are hounding me?” My words are harsh even to my ears.

“We do not enjoy taking over this person’s mind, but it was a necessity and it prevented the others from coming to look for us again.” The stranger keeps working like some spaceship mechanic while talking to me but never actually looking at me.

“What do you mean by the others? The aliens that have attacked my wife and I repeatedly?”

“They are but one aspect of the others, the ones who call themselves the Lords of Light. Such hubris they have, to speak of the light when they cloak themselves in darkness.” The ship hums like it is starting up. “The beings who created us have fought them for millennia. The others destroyed our master’s home, but they did not destroy their will to survive.”

“You said you also kept them from coming back to find you?” I walk up to the strut the person is working on and put my hand on it. I feel something like channels opening in my mind and the words that the ship had been speaking through the possessed man now flowed directly into my brain.

“Ah thank you that is much easier. Yes, the man who I am in possession of was one of their drones and by taking him over I prevented him from reporting to them that I was still in one piece. But they will be here soon anyhow now that they no longer have a connection to him. I sense you have questions beyond this?”

“Did you do this to us? Make us have abilities?” I find talking to this entity helps the headache ease up until it almost isn’t even a headache anymore.

“NO!” There is a hint of sadness from the channel open between us. “I did not have anything to do with your current situation. I could never put a person in the situation that you now find yourselves in! But I do suspect my creators may have had a hand in your change.”

“Can you change any of the things done to us? Like, take the headache away?”

“Again, I am sorry, but I am afraid that is beyond my function level, the powers you are now using seem to be something genetic.”

Helixes swirl in my mind as the ship tries to show me how we have been changed but genetics aren’t anything I have ever really cared about so it was all just images and I couldn’t figure any of them out.

“Genetics isn’t my thing, so how about you explain it to me in words that I can understand?”

The images disappear and I feel the ship hum for a second. “Your DNA has been elevated to a state your race probably would not have achieved in five hundred years. This has enabled your mind and body to achieve levels of abilities that humans have never seen before.”

“So, they made us not human?” I sit on the edge of the caterpillar tread housing while still holding the strut, my world starting to spin.

“No, do not despair!” I realize the ship can read my emotions as well as my mind! “You are still a human, but a human this world would not have seen for another five centuries at least.” I feel the vibrations of the ship grow stronger, and the possessed gentleman starts walking out of the hanger.

“What is wrong? Has the guy over there finished?” I stand again and remove my hand as I do the ship talks through the man again.

“We are able to leave now. Enough damage has been repaired to enable me to safely proceed with departure. We doubt we will meet again Scott, We have enjoyed talking to you." I can feel the ship increase the humming vibrations that I felt earlier. "We haven’t had a being to communicate with in way too long. We ask that you take care of yourselves! Your world may well depend on you to stop the others. Please leave this area now, my departure is going to destroy what is left of this part of the building. You have 5 minutes to leave.”

Hearing this I hurry to the elevator and notice the other person had already gone up to street level and was probably hurriedly exiting the building. I ponder as I wait for the elevator what the ship said about his impromptu handyman, he had been a drone of the aliens, but the ship had taken him over easily, at least it seemed that way so why didn’t he do that to Bruce? Maybe it was that the aliens had the Sasquatches in there to act as amplifiers of their control?

I still had so many questions to be answered, but the ship seemed eager to leave its confinement. I get in the elevator which along with the rest of the building has started to hum like the ship was doing. The elevator finally reaches the street level exits and I disembark right into the arms of one of the alien’s pets! He grabs me and tosses me down the hall like a rag doll and I realize two things at once, the landing is going to hurt, and I didn’t get a warning like has been normal when they are around.

I hit hard on the concrete floor and nearly pass out when my head makes like a basketball on the floor while simultaneously sliding like I am trying to steal home. As I slide to a stop the hall has duplicated and dimmed as my consciousness threatens to leave me. I manage to shake myself back to somewhat of a coherent state, and my headache returns to migraine levels along with the buzzing sound in my head like is normal with an encounter with these assholes.

At the time I wasn’t sure if it was my head’s impression of an NBA player’s favorite toy, or the aliens being here was causing the migraine and buzzing to return. I did know I needed to get out of the building, but I was on the wrong side of the hall thanks to big and ugly, who was now standing in my way of exiting before the ship brought the building down on us.

My ragdoll impression was making it hard to achieve a level of concentration that would allow me to fight back against this monster. In the open, like we have been in other encounters with these monsters the smell, size and sheer heart stopping evilness of these things were easy to overlook especially when you have my abilities. But here in the hall of an office building the smell alone was enough to make you want to surrender just so you could stop the torture of your nose after it murdered you.

I was panicking, sliding and scurrying back down the hallway to keep the bastard from getting a hand on me again. Its relentless advance had me terrified and for a few moments, all I could think of was escape. Finally, my back hits the wall and it jars some sense back into my addled mind!

I realize I must get up and I must kill this thing so I can get out before the ship destroys the building. I know that the building itself falling in might kill the Sasquatch and would definitely kill me, but big and nasty took up the whole hall and there was no way to get by it.

“Alright UGLY let’s dance!” I scream in defiance and unleash the steel shot that I always carry with me for just such encounters as this. It impacts the head of the creature and drives him back a few feet just as he takes a swing at me. I am disappointed because I realize they have reinforced the head again so I will have to exert more force to destroy this thing with my steel shot.

I reach into my pocket for more and realize the bag is gone! Looking around quickly, I see it on the other side of the creature just as he lunges for me again. I stop its forward momentum with a psychic push, and he lands right on top of the bag of shot, damn my luck.

As the smelly bastard gets up slowly and yet way too fast for something with its bulk, the building quakes and all the lights in the building go out with emergency lights coming on instantly but not every emergency light powers up. I prepare to grab the shot, but I don’t see it once the beast is standing again. Great hide-and-seek steel shot just what I don’t need right now.

I see a pipe in an exposed part of the wall, and I reach out mentally and rip it out of the wall. I batter the beast with the pipe using it like a baseball bat. The Sasquatch takes the hits easily, but I can at least keep it moving back down the hall. Suddenly the monster grabs the pipe, I try to pull the pipe out of its hand but that just ends up pulling the creature toward me. It lumbers toward me and I am out of options!

I can’t keep pushing it back repeatedly, this will eventually wear me out and my powers will fail. Just as I am about to push the creature down the hall again to try to gain some time, I see two things at once! The bag of shot against the elevator door and a way to stop the creature from using the pipe on me. I bend the pipe in its hand and jam it into the elevator door this turns the beast into the elevator doors and stumbles the creature finally and causes it to let loose of the pipe.

I pull the steel shot and the pipe to me and I jam the pipe into the monster’s back and out its front and through the elevator pining it to the steel doors and then I push the shot as hard as I mentally can straight through the head of the thing and the head explodes and catches on fire. I pull the pipe back out and with my last dregs of mental strength, I open the doors and push it through the elevator doors and down the shaft.

“Take that you alien scum!” The building quakes again and I nearly join it down the shaft!

Realizing my time was almost up I start running to the maintenance tunnels on the way I see the body of the possessed man, but he now has no head, it was a horrible sight! There were brain and bone all over the wall and blood had slicked the floor.

I go over and bend down to rummage his body hoping to find his wallet and there it is in his back pocket. I am glad I didn’t have to mess with the body too much! As I get up the black form of the alien appears out of the shadows of the dimly lit corridor to stand in front of me.

“I knew this wouldn’t be an easy getaway!” I prepare to run but slip in the blood and drop the wallet again.

“Human I have not met one like you in a very long time. There was a race many centuries ago who possessed abilities like yours, but they were not as powerful as you, and we eventually destroyed them. I would not want that to happen to you, you have been a worthy opponent. Join us as an elite and you and your mate will not suffer the fate of people like the dead thing at your feet.”

I have little power left; my brain is on fire and I doubt I will be able to kill this one, but I have never been one to surrender to anything.

“Go to hell you slimy gray son of a bitch! I am not going to betray my planet for some possible alien luxuries if we don’t manage to kick your ass off our rock. Better dead than some alien whore!” I know this thing from the blackness of space has probably no idea what I mean, but I am sure he got the gist because he points one of those devices that fry your brain at me.

I feel a tingling and fire begins licking at my mind. I scream and fall to my knees in agony from the device’s power and with my own abilities dwindling it is hard to fight the flames trying to engulf my mind.

“I’LL KILL YOU!” I yell futilely as I slowly slide into unconsciousness.

Just before I pass out there is a rumbling in the very bones of the building and a metal girder falls from the ceiling and pins the alien to the floor and releases me from the pain of the device. I have no doubt now that I have had time to go over the whole scenario that the Ship did something to cause that girder to kill the alien for me.

I stand up and bend over to grab the fallen wallet. I take the wallet and run out of the building using the door I came in originally. Just as I get to the fence, I had climbed earlier, the west side of the building disappears. It is not like it had collapsed inward, it just wasn’t there anymore and the ship is rising from the hole that was left.

It turns toward me, and I get the sensation that it is looking at me one last time. With a boom that knocks me back, it blasts into the sky and in seconds I can no longer see it. Leaving the alley carefully to be sure no one sees me, I head to a store that sells pay by minute phones and using cash, I buy a burner phone and head down an old road that no one uses anymore.

I search the internet for the man’s name and call his home, no one answers, so I looked some more in his wallet and found a government ID. I call his work and using a fake voice, I tell them that I saw him being killed at the address of the office complex and hang up and breaking the phone I fling the pieces out the window and drive away.

This isn’t enough after all the man wasn’t evil, he was just forced to do things for the aliens and didn’t deserve his final fate, just as Bruce didn’t deserve to die, but it was the best I could do in the circumstances. But life can be cruel, and these aliens don’t care about the ants they see us as. I get home and tell Elaine about the ship and all that happened.

She was livid that I went in there without her as backup and gave me a good talking to, then when I finally got to the death of the man, she was sad as I was. The day has left me exhausted and mentally drained literally. The headache, of course, has gone back to its usually low throbbing.

The aliens are down another Sasquatch, but my headache lingers! Will we ever get rid of these headaches or are they here until we find all the answers to what we are and what we need to do.
submitted by pslail to JustNotRight [link] [comments]

More College Basketball Line Movement Data

My previous post regarding line movement in NCAA Men's Basketball spreads received a lot of great feedback and started some really great conversation. As I continue looking into this type of data I will share all of my results here in order to keep those conversations going or, at the very least, continue providing some interesting information for everyone to explore while we don't have any sports to bet on. The most recent numbers I've studied are college basketball totals. The overall takeaways this time are very similar to those previous:
  1. Movements on a total correctly predict the winning side less than half the time.
  2. No profitable betting strategy can be formulated by using line movements alone.
However, there were some interesting differences between sides and totals that are noteworthy:
  1. In reference to the adage, "The public loves favorites and overs"; Overs are not quite as popular with the "public" as favorites. Totals moved up (in favor of the over) 8.7% more often than down (in favor of the under). Recall that favorites saw an almost 11% bias compared to underdogs.
  2. The totals market is slightly more efficient than the spread market. Total line movements had an overall accuracy of 49.84%, compared to 48.99% for spreads. I explained that fading the market's spread movements would save a bettor over 1,000 units vs tailing. This same strategy for totals would save only 172 units.
  3. I found the first indication of market efficiency in one specific sub-set of data. When a total is bet down (in favor of the under), it correctly predicts an under 50.3% of the time. While still not successful enough to overcome -110 odds, it was pretty cool to uncover that the under is a "sharp" play more often than not.
I presented a theory at the end of this article that smaller markets are more likely to be comprised of a higher percentage of sharp players. College basketball is only ever king of the American betting markets during March and early April. Throughout the entire rest of the season it pales in comparison to the NFL and NBA. I made the assumption that recreational, so-called "five dollar" bettors are much more likely to make their "entertainment only" bets in one of those bigger markets. While it certainly can't be said that every die-hard fan or bettor with a model is a sharp player, I think it's an interesting perspective to have before analyzing those bigger markets.
In the meantime, as always, feel free to message me with any thoughts or questions, and stay safe!
Full article with graphical representations can be found here: https://gamblingandsubmarines.com/evaluating-line-movement-in-ncaa-basketball-totals/
submitted by NSIPicks to sportsbook [link] [comments]

[OC] The Golden Warriors have not gotten much worse -- the league around them has gotten much better

Ever since Steve Kerr showed up and unleashed (perhaps accidentally) the Warriors "Death Lineup," the franchise has been on an historic tear. They've won 3 out of the past 4 titles, and may be on their way to 4 of 5. Adding Kevin Durant added so much talent to the mix that it feels almost unfair.
But recently, it's as if someone forgot to remind the Warriors of that. A simple glance through the numbers suggests a team that's not getting better, but in a general decline.
2014-15: 67-15 record, +10.1 point differential
2015-16: 73-9 record, +10.8 point differential
2016-17: 67-15 record, +11.6 point differential
2017-18: 58-24 record, +6.0 point differential
2018-19: 57-25 record, +6.5 point differential
Clearly, those first two seasons were better than the last two. So what gives? Why is this team winning about 10 less games per season than they did during their peak? How did they add an all-time great like Kevin Durant and apparently get worse?
From my perspective, there are a few clear reasons why:
(1) Decline in effort. This is the most commonly cited cause for the dip in record: a general malaise and lack of intensity, as you'd expect from a team that believes they can cruise through the regular season (and one that may be burnt out.) I'm also going to use this to explain some extended rest and rehab for their stars; Steph Curry has missed more time these past two seasons than he had during their peak, which is obviously a critical absence.
(2) Decline in depth. During that first run (pre KD), the Warriors actually had a good bench. Festus Ezeli, Leandro Barbosa, Brandon Rush, Marresse Speights, David Lee, and Ian Clark all gave them solid spurts. And while Andre Iguodala and Shaun Livingston may still be on the team, they're two of the older members of the club (35 and 33). Those two have been in a slow decline that has affected the team's depth on the margins.
Those first two factors are more noted, but I'd venture that this one has been overlooked:
(3) Decline in strategic advantage. What do I mean by that? The NBA around them has started to play much smarter -- and much better -- basketball. In fact, the Warriors may have directly contributed to that improvement. Let's take a look at the specifics of that.
the NBA emulating the Warriors on offense
From a long-term perspective, the NBA would have eventually embraced the three-point shot regardless of what happened with Steph Curry, Daryl Morey, and analytics. Hell, it's not even "advanced stats;" it's 2nd grade math. "3" is more than "2". That the NBA took such a long time to embrace that fact is frankly embarrassing.
And in fact, it may have taken the Golden State Warriors' dominant stretch to finally kill off the old school group-think who clung to the: "you can't win shooting jump shots!" mantras. Now that the cavemen have waved the white flag and the math nerds have stormed in like the White Walkers? It's been a complete and total upheaval to the way NBA offenses play.
The numbers are actually stunning in how abruptly it's happened. During that first Warriors title run (14-15), the league as a whole averaged 7.8 made threes per game. That's rocketed up to 8.5 to 9.7 to 10.5 to 11.4 this past year. We're talking about a league that's increased over 46% in their three-point output in a matter of years.
Naturally, that stylistic play has affected the results and success of those teams. When we started our sample (14-15), teams averaged 100.0 points per game. That's swelled to 111.2, an increase of 11%. Pace has improved as well, but that doesn't explain it entirely. Offensive rating (which factors in pace) has improved from 105.6 to 110.4, an increase of 4.5%.
That 4.5% number may not seem like much, but it's quite significant. NBA offenses have gotten nearly 5% better in a matter of 5 years. In sports, every inch and every point counts, so that type of improvement represents a giant leap in play.
How does this affect our Golden State Warriors? It affects them, because this revolution does not affect them (as much.) They were already shooting a ton of threes. They were already playing smart, analytical basketball. Their offensive efficiency has indeed improved slightly, but not at the accelerated rate of their peers (111.6, 114.5, 115.6, 113.6, 115.9).
Don't get me wrong: the Warriors still have a dominant offense. They are still ahead of the pack. Steph Curry is still the best shooter ever, and Klay Thompson and Kevin Durant aren't far off on that list. The NBA will likely never catch those three from a shooting skill standpoint. But the point here is not that the league "caught up" to the Warriors, but that they closed some ground on them.
the NBA emulating the Warriors on defense
When the Warriors went on their incredible stretch and set the league on fire (with 67 and 72 wins, even pre KD), they had another advantage on the NBA beyond shooting. They were one of the first teams to fully embrace "smallball" and the virtues of having an agile, switchable center. In fact, I don't even recall hearing the term "switchable" as it related to bigs until recently.
Oddly, it may have happened by accident. David Lee's injury forced an untested Draymond Green into the lineup, and changed the way the Warriors (and the rest of the NBA) played ever since.
Because of Golden State's success on that end, other teams have tried to follow suit. We all know this instinctively from watching and following the NBA, but the "true center" is an endangered species. Most teams will still play one "big," but you hardly ever see two in a lineup together. Back in the 90s? You'd almost always see two bigs clumped together.
Partly because the Warriors lost that stylistic edge, their defensive dominance has been in decline. Take a look at their defensive ratings and rankings since the Steve Kerr era started:
2014-15: 101.4 defensive rating, 1st in NBA
2015-16: 103.8 defensive rating, 5th in NBA
2016-17: 104.0 defensive rating, 2nd in NBA
2017-18: 107.6 defensive rating, 11th in NBA
2018-19: 111.2 defensive rating, 16th in NBA
As mentioned, the NBA's offensive play has taken a step up as a whole, which is going to make every team's defensive rating get worse. That said, the Warriors' dip is more pronounced. The league's offense has risen by 4.5%, but the Warriors' defense has gotten worse by 9.7%.
There are several reasons for that. Again, part of that comes down to depth and age. During the start of their run, Andrew Bogut and Andre Iguodala were dominant defenders, but they've lost a step or two from there. I'd also say that Draymond Green (still only 29) may have lost a half step himself. And we have to acknowledge that the team may have lost quite a bit of edge in regards to their defensive intensity and their habits, as we acknowledge happens to any team that's biding their time until the playoffs.
But there's more at play than that alone. The NBA has changed to model their game on the Warriors, and consequently lessened the competitive advantage that the team had when they started (back when a smallball center felt like a novelty.)
the bottom line
When Kevin Durant signed with Golden State, we heard a lot of grumbling, annoyance, and even anger. The Warriors ruined the league!
That may be true to some degree from a competitive standpoint (in terms of winners and losers), but we also have to acknowledge that these Golden State Warriors have also made the league around them BETTER.
And in turn, that may hurt their chances for another title. You (and Vegas) would still consider them the betting favorite, but the gap has narrowed. The Warriors should be seeing the rest of the NBA in their rearview mirror now, and they may get run off the road if they don't hit the gas pedal soon.
submitted by ZandrickEllison to nba [link] [comments]

A Wild One Year of Sports Betting (A Memoir)

So this summer more or less marked my first year anniversary in sports betting, and I thought I'd do a quick recap for fun to look back when I'm either old a f or completely bankrupt.
How did I get into sports betting and what was my first ever wager?
I'm a huge NBA fan and when I heard that the Boston Celtics and the Cleveland Cavaliers were going game 7 in the ECF, I just had a good gut feeling that a Dubz vs Cavs pt 4 final was imminent. And when my friend told me that odds were pretty much even, I deposited $500 on Bovada and placed a wager to win $600. The game came down to the wire, but towards the end, the refs were calling phantom fouls on Jayson Tatum (who of course was guarding LeBron), and the Cavs ended up with the W. Once I won the $600, I cashed out as check and I vowed that I shall never participate in such activities ever again but then........
Why did I deposit again after telling myself that I won't?
The World Cup happened lmao. I had not much prior exposure to soccer which probably explains why I lost most of the $600 I won from my first ever wager, but this valuable experience taught me to stop betting on soccer. Long story short, I deposited $1,000, was down to $500 or so throughout the world cup. I tilt bet $250 each on France to win and BTTS and France to win and only France to score. Still can't believe the former was valued at like +400 or so that I was able to recuperate all the losses that I incurred throughout the World Cup.
Biggest Win? Loss?
Biggest $$ Win - I meant to place a $0.61 4-leg round robin just to understand what a round robin bet looked like. After I pressed submit, apparently my bet slip said I placed a $610 4-leg round robin. I was in a huge state of shock and contacted Bovada immediately who of course said they couldn't do shit about it. Thankfully all 4-legs hit and I won like about a grand. It was 2 NRL picks by good old WeightShift along with 2 E-sports picks by PokeyTifu99. Shoutout to them and fuck Bovada.
Biggest Odds Win - I don't usually do parlays bigger than 4-legs, but I hit a 7-leg parlay at (+9500) once. All mlb games. $5 to win $475 or so
Biggest Loss - Believe it or not, I got my profits up to about $3.5k. I placed it all on New Orleans Saints ML vs LA Rams the NFC Championship game. Lost it all and had to start from ground zero back again... lesson learned.
Least Proud Moment - Saturday night. Had nothing better to do so I placed a $500 wager on Tecia Torres (+115) against Weili Zhang. Illegally streaming in my room, standing up and shouting "LET'S GO TECIA" as she got locked in a headlock and I picture my 5 benjy's evaporating into thin air :'(
Pros and Cons of Sports Betting?
- Win some $ (lol)
- Makes games more exciting (if you are winning that is...)
- Learn about statistics, probability, etc.
- Develop an interest in sports you never cared about: I started playing tennis recently and it's pretty fun. Always viewed it as a scrub sport because my highschool never gave a shit about tennis and all the cool kids ran track or played baseball.
- Lose $. Even if you may be up, nothing lasts forever.
- It takes a toll on you mentally
- Takes away a lot of your time; although I don't as much anymore, checking flashscores, mlb gameday, espn constantly sucks!
- Viewed as a degenerate by a majority of others, but if you don't really care what others think of you, I guess this doesn't matter.
Lessons learned through sports betting.
Make sure to stay level headed. Don't chase losses. If something's too good to be true? It probably is. Learn to take breaks.
Do you still like sports?
Yup. I love the Raptors (woohoo WETHENORTH! but boohoo Kawhii), Saints, Cubs, Arsenal, Red Bull Salzburg, Roger Federer, Korean Zombie and more. On the other hand, screw the 76ers, Packers, Dodgers, Barca, Nadal and more.
A note though, you really cannot be biased when it comes to sports betting. (see Saints example above)
What does the future hold?
Hopefully profits, hookers and cocaine. (nah I'm jk about the last two, I'm a pretty clean guy).
submitted by nitro22ko to sportsbook [link] [comments]

Another bet the sub might like to get behind (FIBA World Cup 2019)

After our incredible journey on the 5 day cricket test match, I would completely understand if you didn't want to put yourself through the emotional rollercoaster again. I wouldn't post on here unless I had done some research and determined that I really liked this bet. I'll preface the write-up by saying that this is no "lock of the century," but I do think the bookies have underrated this severely. I will explain my reasoning below.

(1) The pick
(2) The odds + bookmakers
(3) Reasons why this bet could LOSE
(4) Reasons why I really like this bet
(5) TLDR

Giannis Antetokounmpo to lead the 2019 FIBA World in total points scored

I got in at 5.00 (decimal)/ +400 American on Bet365, however, regrettably this has gone down to 4.5/ +350.
On other Aussie bookmakers, you can fetch:
I'm sure my international friends can find comparable odds at your respective betting sites.

It's always important to consider how the bet can fall apart. Only considering the positives lends itself to making biased decisions, nit-picking only the information which helps your argument. So, here's where things can go wrong:

These are the reasons why I think this bet is tremendous value, with the final point being the real kicker.
TLDR: Bet on Giannis Antetokounmpo to lead the 2019 FIBA World in total points scored at odds of about 4.5/ +350 because the changed format means that it is very likely Greece will play the maximum of 8 games, and if that comes to fruition, Giannis will be the overwhelming favourite to outscore everyone else.

EDIT: There is also a classification round for teams 9-16 and 17-32, but I do not know if these games will count towards the official tournament statistics. If they do, then I think this bet is even better, but I am not relying on it. If anyone knows the answer I'm keen to hear.
submitted by youngbuckman to sportsbook [link] [comments]

2019-20 NBA Over/Under Predictions - r/NBA Edition

Bill Simmons & Co. dove into the 2019-20 OveUnder odds for each team, and I wonder what the general NBA consensus is for each team.
Just post under each comment whether you agree or disagree with the odds, and why.
Link to the odds

2019 Standings for Reference:
Team Overall
Milwaukee Bucks 60-22
Toronto Raptors 58-24
Golden State Warriors 57-25
Denver Nuggets 54-28
Houston Rockets 53-29
Portland Trail Blazers 53-29
Philadelphia 76ers 51-31
Utah Jazz 50-32
Boston Celtics 49-33
Oklahoma City Thunder 49-33
Indiana Pacers 48-34
Los Angeles Clippers 48-34
San Antonio Spurs 48-34
Brooklyn Nets 42-40
Orlando Magic 42-40
Detroit Pistons 41-41
Charlotte Hornets 39-43
Miami Heat 39-43
Sacramento Kings 39-43
Los Angeles Lakers 37-45
Minnesota Timberwolves 36-46
Dallas Mavericks 33-49
Memphis Grizzlies 33-49
New Orleans Pelicans 33-49
Washington Wizards 32-50
Atlanta Hawks 29-53
Chicago Bulls 22-60
Cleveland Cavaliers 19-63
Phoenix Suns 19-63
New York Knicks 17-65​

Betting Odds Explained:
Odds expressed in terms of money, with $100 being the standard. If the odds are minus (–), then that amount of money must be wagered to win $100. (e.g. –150 means you must bet $150 to win $100.) If the odds are plus (+), that amount of money would be earned on a successful $100 wager. (e.g. +150 means you make $150 on a $100 wager.)
submitted by thehumblebeast to nba [link] [comments]

I know this will hurt a lot of your feelings, but honesty is always the best policy. Have a read to learn something new...

A few weeks back I made a comment on a post to the effect of: your knowledge of sport (and the amount you watch sport) is not necessarily linked to your expected success in sports betting. Stay with me here...

Funnily, a week ago this post came up: https://www.reddit.com/sportsbook/comments/b3lcfj/dumbest_thing_youve_read_in_this_sub/
If you haven't read it, the OP asks people to discuss the dumbest thing you've read in this sub. Some of the answers were truly golden. And then I came across this comment from u/pimpmatches:
Few weeks ago, somebody earnestly and seriously suggested that watching the games actually hurts your knowledge of the sport, and you're an idiot for watching sports rather than just paying attention to stats and analytics. I think the exact wording was along the lines of "some people still think that you can gain information by watching sports, watching only makes you form biases that are eliminated by stats".
I don't think I've ever seen someone miss the point of sports to that degree in my life.
This comment got a handful of upvotes and some comments agreeing with this sentiment. I could probably write an essay to back up my contention that sport's knowledge does not equate to sports betting success, but instead I will leave you with a link to the following article, which I think beautifully explains my point:
If you can't be bothered reading it, here is the most important point. The article is about a professional tennis gambler. One of the opening quotes is the gambler asking “Which one is Granollers?". For those that don't know, a quick google search taught me that Granollers is currently ranked 108 in singles and 23 in doubles, with career high rankings of 19 in singles and 4 in doubles. Why does this matter? Because it would be the equivalant of a professional NBA gambler asking "Which one is Goran Dragic?" or "Which team is Doc Rivers coaching again?". In other words, you would probably laugh and say this person has no clue about the sport.. and you may be correct. But the professional gambler in this article doesn't care about tennis. He built an algorithm which tells him what to bet, and thus his system is purely mathematical. Sure, it takes an understanding of the game. You would need to know what data is actually important. You would need to know that some games are played on grass and some on clay. Some are best of 5 sets and some are best of 3. But what you don't need to know is who is the "hot" player right now, or who is on an "unbeatable win streak" because that kind of information will only cloud your judgement. Instead, the raw data goes into the unbiased algorithm, and it spits out a result. If this result is significantly different to the odds being offered, then you have a play on your hands.

And that, ladies and degenerates, is how true professionals find "value" in sports betting. Not by watching the same game we all watch and making the same observations we all do. There is no advantage to be had there. You will inevitably base decisions on certain subconscious biases, if not conscious ones. Say you recently saw Golden State put up 140 points; there's no way you could pull the trigger on an under bet, even if the raw data is telling you that it's the better bet. What if the data says to bet Phoenix Suns +5.5? "No way!" You would exclaim. "They won't be able to hang with superior team X! We all know they're tanking!" And then what happens? You post on the Brag & Bitch page "How the fuckkkk did Phoenix beat the Warriors????" Because an 82 games season played by 30 teams (a total of 1230 games, 2460 halves, 4920 quarters) is just too hard to approach with subjective opinions on teams and strategies.

You can't simply assume that what should happen today will happen today. Because somewhere in your opinion, you haven't accounted for the fact that team A is on their 3rd game in 4 nights, while team B is fresh off a 2 day rest. Or that Team C scores 10 points less when matched up against a top 10 defense because their offense is built around predictable iso offense. Or that team D struggles to contain small line-ups etc. People will quickly reject this notion, because they think that their astute NBA knowledge is something to be proud of and is an investment that should reap some sort of reward. Good on you if you can name the Atlanta Hawks 12th man, or that you saw on a Denver Nuggets "super fan" page that Mike Malone is stressing defensive-intensity tonight. You're not gaining an edge and that information likely has been accounted for, or simply doesn't matter.

Ok, so maybe I did write an essay. Whoops.
submitted by youngbuckman to sportsbook [link] [comments]

Mavericks at the quarter mark: It’s real, and it could get even better

by Tim Cato
The Athletic
1. The Mavericks are 15-6. You know when you’ve seen one specific word so many times that it starts looking weird? That’s happening right now. My head is telling me that that record can’t possibly be correct, so let’s write it several more times in several different ways:
The NBA team based in the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area has won 15 games this season while losing only six. The tall professional basketball men of the North Texas region are scoring more points than their opponents in 71 percent of games so far this year. The franchise with the horse mascot and the anthropomorphic basketball man is having its third-best start through 21 games in history (tied with two other seasons). A squad that lost to the Knicks twice — I still don’t know what happened there — and the Lakers in an overtime that shouldn’t have happened has only been defeated three other times. Those losses came against the second-best team in the Eastern Conference and the second-best team in the West. And Portland, but … uh, yeah, not sure what happened there, either. It’s OK to lose close games sometimes! Maybe nobody told that to the team with the Jim Carrey-lookin’ head coach and the let-me-tell-you-why-drugs-are-bad-with-this-cool-rap lookin’ jerseys? Because the team has now won nine of its last 10 games.
To reiterate: The Mavericks are 15-6.
2. The week the season started, I predicted 43 wins for the Dallas Mavericks. Barring injury, I will be wrong. Dallas has been given a 98-percent chance of making the playoffs by FiveThirtyEight’s projections (ninth-best odds in the league) and would win 59 games at their current pace. OK, that many victories would surprise me, but an even surer bet is them winning more than 43. We have already watched this team enough this season to realize that they’re better than that and that nothing they’re doing is unsustainable. To that point:
3. There aren’t any obvious cases where we can expect regression, either. If you had told me this team would win 15 of its first 21 games, I probably would have assumed that Kristaps Porzingis was averaging close to 25 points, and Seth Curry was hitting more than half his 3s, and Justin Jackson had emerged as an essential scoring piece, and the team had beaten the Knicks twice. (I swear New York must have negotiated those two results into the fine print of the Porzingis deal.) But that’s exactly what hasn’t happened. Everyone’s playing about as well as expected – or, in some cases, worse than that! That, more than anything, makes me confident in what we’ve seen so far continuing forwards.
4. Well, that last paragraph’s true with the exception of Luka Doncic. He’s providing this team’s drum beat, lead vocals and guitar solo all at once. He’s doing this at a higher level than anybody reasonably expected from him this season. Here’s something I remember writing as a potential outcome before this season began: “Doncic plays better in this scenario without his statistics moving much … making these smaller, simpler improvements prepares him well for a larger leap in Year Three.” If Doncic had done that, averaging 25/8/8 as he did after the All-Star break with better efficiency, who would have complained? Instead, he decided to jump several steps beyond that and become the best player in the league. (OK, even being fully realistic, he’s at worst top-five.)
This might just be who he is now. It’s been clear for a while that Doncic is a special player who’s going to cause property damage if you try to put a ceiling on what’s possible in his career. We didn’t expect this much of a leap this soon, but it’s not fueled by unsustainable shot-making. Doncic beats his defender, gets into the paint, and either scores or finds an open teammate, making the right decision nearly every time. That’s the most sustainable way for any player to become a star in this league.
That said, the Mavericks are also aware that Doncic faded last season after the All-Star break and did the same thing two seasons ago at Real Madrid. His efficiency and effectiveness dropped even when his raw numbers didn’t. This is why Dallas pushed him so hard toward dedicating his summer toward conditioning and fitness. The organization hopes — and perhaps even expects — that Doncic will keep going strong into April – and, at this rate, beyond that. If Doncic were to regress even marginally, it’s not any slight to him. It would mean he’s only a top-10 player, not a surefire MVP candidate. He’s 20. In the near future, he’ll probably be better than he’s playing right now. But, yes, any mild regression would cause Dallas to recalculate its approach to this season.
5. It’s still mind-blowing that Dallas has the league’s best offense ever – better than even last year’s Warriors, who currently claim the best offensive rating of all-time. In fact, six years ago, the Mavericks were in this same position – averaging 114.4 points per 100 possessions on Dec. 17, 2014, which would have been the best in history if they could have sustained it. The team traded for Rajon Rondo the next day and ruined it all, but it was briefly on pace to make history. That roster had Dirk Nowitzki, Monta Ellis, Chandler Parsons and Tyson Chandler, which was a great group of players and still not a team you’d expect to find in the pantheon of history. You could say the same about this team. Luka Doncic fuels the success and his teammates have done … well, they’ve done alright. Just alright.
That’s the most shocking part. The Mavericks have the greatest offense ever despite Porzingis having the team’s worst True Shooting Percentage at just 50 percent. They have the greatest offense ever despite Curry shooting below 40 percent on 3s. They have the greatest offense ever despite inconsistent involvement from Jalen Brunson, who we championed as the new J.J. Barea coming into this season. They have the greatest offense ever despite barely playing Barea, who has killed it every time he has stepped onto the floor! Porzingis aside, this might just be the natural ebb and flow that role players go through. Curry could go on a blistering tear right as Jackson or Tim Hardaway Jr. could start slumping. But it does feel like the Dallas roster is made up of an unending number of really good seventh men. Like, take the seventh-best player from each of the past 10 championship rosters, add Doncic and Porzingis and give them a coach who can pull the strings just right. That’s Dallas this season. It’s slightly incredible.
6. Porzingis hasn’t quite been the second star that he was billed as heading into this season, but he has been significantly better than the “really good seventh man” threshold. He’s been a relatively effective catch-and-shoot threat, he’s providing inherent spacing because of that and he has provided stout rim protection. It’s just bizarre that he can barely make any shot after dribbling more than once and even more bizarre that he’s struggling to hit shots when he posts up. Even if you want to change his shot profile and reduce those looks, it’s still weird he’s only hitting them about 20 percent of the time. He lived and thrived with those shots in New York. In Dallas, his success rate has been abysmal.
He’s also 20 games into his return from nearly 20 months away from basketball due to a traumatic knee injury. It’s actually better that Porzingis is struggling in ways that can’t be explained. If you could explain it, then the explanation would probably be, “He’s slower after the knee injury and doesn’t look the same.” But since that’s not the case, I won’t try to explain something that I can’t. Let Porzingis have another 20 games and then another 20 after that if he still needs time. It’s a long season and a longer contract that Dallas signed him to.
7. These Mavericks have really won 15 of their first 21 games. They’ve done it sustainably. They’ve convinced me it will continue. And they’re doing it even while having some wiggle room to keep improving. It’s as good of a position as this team could have dreamed to be in at the quarter mark.
submitted by WellEndowedDragon to Mavericks [link] [comments]

Sports Betting Explained Finally Understand Sports Betting Spreads & Odds Rockets vs Mavericks 7/31 Game Prediction & Betting Odds NBA Betting Picks How to Bet the Total: Over/Under Betting Explained NBA Zig-Zag Theory: Discover A Winning Betting System NBA Odds/Awards, More Soccer Recaps, 7/20/20  The Morning After

NBA Betting Odds Explained. If you need the NBA betting odds explained to you so that you know that you are making the right bets, this is the page for you. The staff at ExplainBettingOdds.com loves to bet on the NBA and we are happy to help others understand how the betting lines work. The NBA plays 82 games during the regular season, plus a The over/under betting odds, or the totals, work differently for each sport. If the number is 42 in a football game and you bet the over, you would need 43 points total between the two teams. In baseball betting, it is the number of runs scored that sets the total. The UFC over/under betting odds are which round the fight will end. Betting Odds Explained. In almost all basketball games there will be a favourite and an underdog. Spreads are one way to even the playing field and make betting more fair, but if you want to make a straight wager on which team will win a game then the spreads go out the window and odds are used to make the best fair. NBA Betting Odds – Point Spread, Money Line and Under/Over Total. BY Jack Jones Handicapping Advice. Updated August 7, 2017 . NBA lines are easy to read! If you’ve ever bet on NFL action, you know that the National Basketball Association is a similar cash play on a straight pick, point total or ATS. NBA Betting Odds. As with any sports betting website, it is crucial to bet on an NBA betting website that offers the best odds. NBA betting odds are how a sportsbook communicates the payout that corresponds with a given bet. We’ll take more about NBA odds later on, but for now, the main thing you need to know is that you want to play on the

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Sports Betting Explained Finally Understand Sports Betting Spreads & Odds

Additionally, with the NBA coming up soon as well, the crew was able to explain the news and notes around the league/who to look out for. Tune in every weekday at 9am! Watch us on: Fellow Hoopsballer Hank Aaron joins Ira Silver for a new episode of Today in Sports Betting. The guys discuss the top 3 teams in the NBA restart and pose a friendly MMA wager. Follow the hosts on ... Now that Miami Heat and Oklahoma will meet in the 2012 NBA finals, and all the attention is focused on Lebron James and Kevin Durant, Betting Edge's expert Dan The Man Leach is taking the chance ... I M DHARMPAL™ This Is Our Official YouTube Channel We Are Provide Sports Betting [ESTD.~2009] Cricket Soccer/Football Tennis Table Tennis Badmition Basketball Horse Racing ... Finally understand how sports betting works, what spreads and odds are, and how to really make money with betting! This video is all about sports betting explained spread information but also try ...