British Politics Betting Odds | Politics | Oddschecker
British Politics Betting Odds | Politics | Oddschecker
Will any more countries join the UK in leaving the EU?
EU referendum: Odds on UK exit lengthen as pressure grows
UK Politics Betting: Odds update on European Union Referendum
EU referendum: Is Putin betting on a Brexit? - BBC News
Everyone thought the Tories had a problem with trust – actually, it turned out to be Labour
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/12/13/everyone-thought-tories-had-problem-trust-actually-turned/ This was the Brexit Election. The irony of this lies in the Labour Party’s attempts, through the courts, to force Sky News to drop that description from its daily coverage, while its senior spokespersons and Jeremy Corbyn outriders dutifully brandished it as the core excuse for its colossal defeat yesterday. “It’s not the Brexit election but we lost because it was the Brexit Election.” And as increasingly unlikely Labour seats fell to the Johnson tsunami, it became clear that while Labour was keen to avoid talking about Brexit – at least until after the exit poll was announced – its once core vote had no such reservations. One of the cruellest losses of the night was Don Valley MP Caroline Flint, who succumbed to a nine per cent swing to the Conservatives, an act of electoral self-harm which deprives Labour of one of its best hopes for the soon-to-be-vacant leadership. Following her defeat, Flint, who was one of the minority of candidates who believed the result of the 2016 EU referendum should be honoured, said: “We’re going to hear the Corbynistas blame it on Brexit and the Labour uber-Remainers blaming Corbyn. Both are to blame for what looks like a terrible night for Labour. Both have taken for granted Labour’s heartlands. Sorry we couldn’t offer you a Labour Party you could trust.” In four sharp sentences the former minister nailed the fundamental cause of Labour’s defeat: trust. And there’s another irony: after spending six weeks trying to damage Boris Johnson on what Labour assumed was the prime minister’s weak spot – his trustworthiness – it was the same issue that condemned them. The likes of Sir Keir Starmer and Emily Thornberry must have thought they were being oh so clever by manipulating and manoeuvring Corbyn into a position on Brexit he did not support, namely the absurd policy of negotiating a new Leave deal and then campaigning against it in a second referendum in which Remain would again be on the ballot paper (despite it being rejected three years ago). They must have congratulated themselves when Labour conference agreed to it, believing it would attract both Remain and Leave voters to Labour’s banner. Did Starmer and company believe their machinations were invisible to voters outside the capital? Did they perhaps imagine that what they were up to was so clever and sophisticated that voters in Birmingham and Manchester would quickly lose interest and return to their football match or their pigeon racing? But the whole time those shenanigans were taking place, Labour Leave voters in the Midlands, the North and in Wales looked on in disgust. They had been promised by Labour two years ago that their vote in the EU referendum would be honoured. They had been told the same even before the referendum took place. And then the party revealed that it would rather indulge London Remain voters who were so upset at losing, they simply couldn’t go on unless they were given another go. Three years of insults (“Leave voters are stupid and racist”) took their toll. And Labour, which had broken too many promises, was in voters’ sights. Flint was right – Labour had confirmed it could not be trusted to deliver on their previous promises on Brexit. So why trust it to deliver on tax or nationalisation or free broadband or pensions or anything else? Labour were mad keen to make trust an election issue. They succeeded. I bet they wish they hadn’t.
The United Kingdom has voted to leave the European Union.
The UK has voted to leave the EU, with voters in England outside of London being the bulk of the Leave vote. Wales was very closely split with a slight lead for Leave. Northern Ireland was also close with a slight lead for Remain. Scotland was strongly for Remain.
Global markets have been shocked by the news, and stocks are down markedly around the globe. The British pound has had its single largest fall in at least the past four decades and is at levels not seen since 1985.
The vote begins a negotiation period between the United Kingdom and the European Union over the terms of departure which may last up to two years. The UK may seek to retain access to the common market, but it is not assured that can happen.
Prime Minister David Cameron has vowed to resign his office by October. He had been a vocal proponent of "Remain" but had called the referendum based on a campaign promise to do so.
There are substantial calls for Scotland and possibly Northern Ireland to consider referenda on leaving the United Kingdom. Scotland recently voted to remain in the United Kingdom in 2014 by about a 10 point margin in favour of staying in the UK.
It's finally the big day in the UK. Polls close at 10 PM BST. (That's 5pm on the US east coast, and 2pm on the US west coast) We should expect results to start coming in around 1 AM BST. There's no public exit poll running being conducted, but there is an on-the-day survey going that will be released at 10pm. There are also private polls being run by financial firms for their own benefit. Polls have shown a very tight vote with maybe a small edge to Remain. In betting markets, Remain has a pretty big edge. Results Page BBC Livestream 9:23 PM BST/Europe has a live thread going on people may want to check out. 9:29 PM BST From The Independent where to look to see which side is winning. 10:16 PM BST Polls are now closed. The BBC is livestreaming their results broadcast worldwide. Available here. 10:28 PM BSTPolls released after voting ended indicate a Remain lead. 10:46 PM BSTMusical interlude for undecided people. 11:18 PM BST84 leave MPs from the Conservative party signed a letter urging PM Cameron to stay on. 11:30 PM BST BBC is saying Gibraltar may report very soon, expected to be heavily Remain. Also Gibraltarian is a funny demonym. 11:36 PM BSTMusical interlude for "leave" campaigners. 11:37 PM BST Gibraltar in. Remain: 19322, Leave: 823. 84% turnout. 11:50 PM BST Newcastle expected soon, BBC saying it's expected to be a small Remain win, which would be disappointing to the Remain campaign who would like to win there by about 12 points to be 50/50. Midnight BST Newcastle in. Remain: 65404, Leave: 63598. 12:13 AM BST Okrneys in. About as expected for a 50/50 result. 12:17 AM BST Sunderland in, big win for Leave. 12:26 AM BST The pound is down shaprly on the Sunderland result. 12:27 AM BSTMusical interlude for "remain" campaigners. 12:55 AM BST Swindon in. Remain: 51220, Leave: 61745 A bit better than expected for Remain, first good news for Remain of the night really. 1:25 AM BST Lots of results coming in now. Kettering and South Tyneside both look good for Leave. West Dunbartonshire slightly better than expected for Remain. 1:40 AM BST Remain has fallen a good bit in betting odds, but is still a slight favourite. at about 60/40. 2:02 AM BSTToday has been one of the highest volatility days in the trading of the pound. 2:07 AM BST Betting markets now have Leave as slight favourites. 2:09 AM BST Pound down drastically to $1.41 USD per GBP. Was at $1.50 earlier in the night when polls indicated Remain winning. Extremely volatile. Getting live #s here. 2:25 AM BST Lambeth in London has come in big for Remain. Slight boost to the pound now at $1.43. Looks like lots of uncertainty about the end result here. This may go down to the wire. 2:34 AM BST Will be 16.8 million votes needed to win. So far about 5 million votes counted. Very slight overall edge to Remain, but large majority of vote yet to come in. 2:48 AM BST Betting markets now back to 60/40 in favour of Remain. GBP up to $1.45 USD. 3:17 AM BST Leave have taken a lead of a couple hundred thousand votes. Betting markets a bit more on the Leave side. Pound down to $1.42 USD. 3:20 AM BSTInteresting forecast from The Economist on economic impact of Brexit. 3:26 AM BST Pound down to $1.40 USD. New low of the night. 3:35 AM BST Betting markets now at 73% leave. Leave ahead by 350k votes. 3:42 AM BST Betting now 80% leave. GBP down to $1.38 USD, a 7% crash. Leave leading by almost 500,000 votes. This may be coming to a result. 3:53 AM BST Full on market rout. GBP under $1.37, levels not seen since 2009. FTSE futures down 9%. 3:56 AM BST Manchester in. 60/40 remain which is an ok result for them, but not enough to staunch the bleeding elsewhere. 4:01 AM BST Leave leading by 460k with more than half the vote in. Betting markets at 90% leave. 4:03 AM BST GBP has fallen below $1.35 USD. This is by a large margin the largest single day crash of the pound in the history of modern currency markets. Over a 9% drop in one day. 4:17 AM BST Leave extends their lead to about 560k with about 2/3 of the results in. Betting markets have 90% to leave still. 4:23 AM BST Reports that Birmingham has gone leave, which would be a disaster for the remain campaign. No official numbers yet. Birmingham is the single biggest vote haul available. 4:29 AM BST Betting markets now at 95% leave. Leave lead expanded to 650k. 4:32 AM BST Pound is at its lowest level since 1985. 4:40 AM BST BBC has called it for leave. 5:19 AM BST I'm going to end the tick tock here. Lots of things will happen in the coming days, but the news of the night is settled. Leave has won in a fairly close vote - looking like about a 4% margin overall. 5:29 PM BST One big update. Cameron is out. 5:32 PM BSTA song for disappointed Remain supporters. This royal throne of kings, this scepter'd isle, This earth of majesty, this seat of Mars, This other Eden, demi-paradise, This fortress built by Nature for herself Against infection and the hand of war, This happy breed of men, this little world, This precious stone set in the silver sea, Which serves it in the office of a wall, Or as a moat defensive to a house, Against the envy of less happier lands, This blessed plot, this earth, this realm, this England,
Leaving the EU Empire - Johnson’s Brexit deal faces UK parliamentary vote Saturday - 18 October 2019
The European Union (EU) agreed a deal over Brexit with UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson yesterday, which was approved by all 27 EU leaders on the first day of a two-day Summit. President of the European Commission Jean-Claude Juncker sent a letter to the president of the European Council, Donald Tusk, stressing that it was now time for Britain’s parliament to do its part. The deal means that the UK will leave the EU customs union and be allowed to sign free trade deals with non-EU countries. However, there will be a legal customs border between Northern Ireland (which is part of the UK) and the Irish Republic (which remains a member of the EU). This will mean a border in the Irish Sea, between mainland UK and island of Ireland. Goods will be checked at “points of entry” in Northern Ireland to be determined. A convoluted tariff system is established, whereby duty will be paid on goods coming into Northern Ireland from the UK if deemed “at risk” of then being transported into the Republic of Ireland. A committee comprising UK and EU representatives will decide what goods should be on the “at risk” list. Johnson arrived in Brussels yesterday afternoon to meet EU leaders. Adding to the dismay of pro-Remain MPs, Juncker initially indicated that he wanted no part in planned moves by opposition parties in Westminster to delay Brexit until the new year—a plan laid out in the Benn Act, instructing Johnson to seek an extension of his deal was rejected at a special “Super Saturday” session of parliament or if there is no deal. On Wednesday, the government tabled a motion for Saturday’s emergency session at which it will ask MPs to back the deal just agreed, or to sanction a no-deal Brexit. As news of the deal emerged Thursday morning, the hard Brexit supporting Jacob Rees-Mogg told parliament that on Saturday there would be a 90 minute debate to either approve a deal or to approve a no-deal exit: “In the event of a motion to approve a deal, that motion, if passed, will meet the terms both of the European Union (Withdrawal) (No. 2) Act [aka, the Benn act] and of section 13 of the European Union (Withdrawal) Act [the main legislation governing the UK’s exit].” Juncker tweeted, “This is a fair, a balanced agreement. It is testament to our commitment to finding solutions.” He told the press as he arrived at the summit that this was the only deal on the table. Asked if he thought British MPs would pass the deal, Juncker said “I hope it will, I'm convinced it will… Anyway, there will be no prolongation… We have concluded a deal. So there is not an argument for delay. It has to be done now.” After two hours of discussion, a senior EU official said that Europe’s leaders would follow events on Saturday and reflect on the next steps if they were in a “different situation.” A second source said the EU had chosen not to interfere in a “sensitive domestic debate” (At least not publicly). However, “they leave the door open to the possibility of an extension, to be discussed at a later stage—if required.” Donald Tusk, the president of the European Council, in a joint press conference, alongside Juncker, EU Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier and Irish Premier Leo Varadkar, said “Now the ball is in the court of the UK. I have no idea what will be the result of the debate in the House of Commons on Saturday. It isn’t for me to comment on political developments in the UK. But if there is a request for an extension, I will consult member states to see how they react.” The EU is telling Remain MPs that if they succeed in voting down Johnson’s deal Saturday, there may be an extension. But if Johnson wins a majority then all bets are off, as the EU will not countenance a further extended period of uncertainty that is impacting on Europe’s economy as well as the UKs. It is also undermining the ability of Germany and France, the EU’s two main powers, to discipline governments such as Italy and prevent them from exploiting popular anti-EU sentiment to demand economic and political concessions. Article continues below the form Brexit is only the most developed expression of national and inter-imperialist tensions that are plunging the world into trade war and which now threaten to blow apart the EU—with US President Donald Trump’s active support in furtherance of his “America First” agenda. To finalise the deal, the Johnson government concluded that it was necessary to sideline the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), with whose 10 votes the Tories have had to rely on since becoming a minority government after the 2017 general election. As London edged towards a deal with Brussels, the DUP said it could not support Johnson’s proposals, but would “continue to work with the government to try and get a sensible deal that works for Northern Ireland and protects the economic and constitutional integrity of the United Kingdom.” Johnson responded by dropping a proposed veto for the DUP for any deal to be agreed, which was contained in his original proposal. The prime minister’s move was immediately accepted by EU negotiators. The DUP then announced that they would vote against a deal that “drives a coach and horses through the professed sanctity of the  Belfast Agreement.” Also known as the Good Friday Agreement, this was instrumental in creating a stable platform for this flow of wealth from and through Ireland and brought three decades of civil war in Northern Ireland to an end by implementing power sharing in the north between Sinn Fein and the Unionist parties. It was signed by the British Labour government of Tony Blair, the Irish government and eight unionist and nationalist parties. The DUP complained that “the [Johnson] government has departed from the principle that these arrangements must be subject to the consent of both unionists and nationalists in Northern Ireland.” Discussion is now focussing on the parliamentary arithmetic that would enable him to pass the deal in parliament. Johnson is seeking to secure the backing of his pro-Brexit MPs despite the DUP’s opposition, while also winning back 23 former Tory MPs who sit an Independents, including 21 he expelled from the party last month for trying to block a no-deal Brexit. But Johnson also needs to win a section of Labour MPs who back Brexit outright or who represent constituencies that heavily voted Leave. Earlier this month, 19 Labour MPs wrote to Juncker declaring their “wish to see the British EU referendum result honoured without further delay.” But there are possibly more who did not sign who might vote with the government anyway. Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn said yesterday that he will not back Johnson’s deal, stating that it was worse for the economy than that which Prime Minister Theresa May was unable to get through parliament on three occasions. However, he has said he will not whip or discipline Labour MPs who do not oppose the Johnson deal. It is a measure of the crisis facing pro-remain MPs that they are expected to shy away from demanding that a second referendum must be held to put Johnson’s deal against a call to stay in the EU. Pro-EU Tories have supposedly withdrawn their support, while Corbyn refused to give it his explicit support, stating only that “We are unhappy with this deal and as it stands we will vote against it, although obviously we will need to see all of the last details of it.”
[UK Politics] A giant post on the policies/promises the three main parties are campaigning for.
I hope this thread allows everyone in this thread contribute positively, with opinions and facts, and not be afraid to voice out something that this sub isn’t too favourable on. I have asked the mods to remove votes for comments to allow discussion and not get the hive mind to start upvoting/downvoting whenever something is set.
Warning this is going to be a big, meaty, thread entailing a lot of points, some not included because of how long it is – so if you have no patience to read, don’t voice your opinion just because you feel like contributing.
*I was trying to write a basic view in how our democracy works but I realised it was too complicated to add it as an addition to what is going to be a hefty piece already so I compromised. I might make a separate thread for how things work within our democracy but I think it might be too much for a sub dedicated to economic thought and theories.
Also do note my main sources are the parties individual manifestos and the BBC, I choose the BBC over other new sites because I think it takes the most unbiased position it can for all three parties. And in regards to some of the vagueness of policies, it's either because it's vague on purpose as I have found nothing concrete to add onto or they have not yet released information to the public. And yes, I didn't have the time to perfectly align positions that are similar or different in a side by side comparison, I will fix this in the coming days but for now I wanted to make sure everything important was included.
(Let me just say how annoying it is to go through countless pages of just bullshit, nothing but pandering and pointing fingers and rarely highlighting a god damn policy… 80-120 pages of this urghhhh)
Click above to see how much revenue they predict they’ll get from these changes.
Click above to see how muc-oh? They don’t have any of the calculations for the public to see their policy effects? How strange, I wonder why...
Well would you look at that, Lib Dems also put their costs up for all the pledges they made.
Bring the railways back into public ownership as franchises expire
Increase the personal allowance to £12,500 and the higher rate to £50,000 by 2020
£100bn package of additional infrastructure investment
Regain control of energy supply networks through the alteration of operator license conditions, and transition to a publicly owned, decentralised energy system
Keep pledge to ensure residents can veto high increases in council tax via a referendum
Boost the economy with a major programme of capital investment
Replace water system with a network of regional publicly-owned water companies
Improve HMRC's capabilities to clamp down on smuggling, including improving policing of borders as UK leaves EU
Eliminate the deficit on day-to-day spending by 2020 to control the national debt, and then borrowing only to invest
Reverse the privatisation of Royal Mail "at the earliest opportunity"
Reduce online VAT fraud
Install hyperfast, fibre-optic broadband across the UK
Create at least one publicly-owned energy company in every region of the UK, with public control of the transmission and distribution grids.
Spend more on research and development
Additional funding to bring more private investment into renewable energy
Income tax rate 45p on earnings of £80,000 and above
Ensure industry and businesses have access to reliable, cheap and clean power
Raise employee national insurance threshold to the income tax threshold, while protecting low earners' ability to accrue pension and benefit entitlements
Income tax rate of 50p to be reintroduced on earnings above £123,000
Deliver road, rail, airports and broadband that businesses need.
Ensure those with the highest incomes and wealth are making a fair contribution
Boost wages of 5.7m people earning less than minimum wage to £10 an hour by 2020
Increase the amount levied on firms employing migrant workers
Reverse cuts to corporation tax from 20% to 17%, capital gains tax, marriage allowance
Create a National Transformation Fund that will invest £250bn over 10 years in upgrading the economy
Listed companies will have to publish ratio of executive pay to broader UK workforce pay
Raise inheritance tax threshold
Deliver universal superfast broadband availability by 2022
Maintain pledge to cut corporation tax to 17% by 2020
Action on corporate tax evasion and avoidance
A National Investment Bank as part of a plan to provide £250bn of lending power over the next decade for infrastructure
Reform business rates, with more frequent revaluations
Reforming corporation tax to develop a system that benefits the smallest
Scrap quarterly reporting for businesses with a turnover of under £85,000.
Simplify the tax system
Expand the activities of the state-owned British Business Bank
Corporation tax to increase: (21% 2018-2019)(24% 2019-2020)(26% 2020-2021)
Regulate more efficiently, saving £9bn through the Red Tape Challenge and the One-In-Two-Out Rule
Create a new 'start-up allowance' for new businesses
Corporation tax for profits below £300,000: (20% 2018-2019)(21% 2019-2021) *For some reason someone didn’t check their numbers and apparently 2019-2020 is unknown – which I assume it means that it applies to the second increase rate.
Legislate for tougher regulation of tax advisory firms
Review business rates
An end to zero-hours contracts to guarantee workers a "number of hours each week"
Update the rules that govern mergers and takeovers
Protect the science budget, including the recent £2bn increase, by raising it at least in line with inflation
‘Balancing the Books’
Ensure foreign ownership of companies controlling important infrastructure does not undermine British security or essential services
Stamp out abuse of zero-hours contracts
Meet the OECD target of 3% of GDP spent on R&D by 2030
Legislate to make executive pay packages subject to strict annual votes by shareholders
Encourage employers to promote employee ownership
Separation of investment and retail banking
Consider a ban on companies which cold call people to encourage them to make false personal injury claims
Champion the Northern Powerhouse and Midlands Engine initiatives
Breaking up RBS and create local public banks.
Reduce insurance costs by "cracking down on exaggerated and fraudulent" whiplash claims.
40% of board members being women in FTSE 350 companies.
Introduce an Excessive Pay Levy on companies with staff on very high pay *The Excessive Pay Levy is a payroll tax, it basically charges employers for paying exceptionally high rates to individuals.
Switching from RPI to CPI indexation
Develop a version similar to the Australian system of binding arbitration and fines for persistent late-payers for the private and public sectors.
Introduce four extra public holidays each year to mark national patron saints' days
Increase the National Living Wage to 60% of median earnings by 2020
Encourage the creation and widespread adoption of a ‘good employer’ kitemark covering areas such as paying a living wage, avoiding unpaid internships and using name-blind recruitment to make it easier for customers and investors to exercise choice and influence.
Maximum pay ratios of 20:1 to be rolled out in public sector
Ensure people working in the 'gig' economy are properly protected
Establish an independent review to consult on how to set a genuine Living Wage across all sectors. We will pay this Living Wage in all central government departments and their agencies, and encourage other public sector employers to do likewise.
Ban unpaid internships
Change the law to ensure listed companies nominate a director from the workforce, create a formal employee advisory council or assign specific responsibility for employee representation to a designated non-executive director
Extend transparency requirements on larger employers to include publishing the number of people paid less than the Living Wage and the ratio between top and median pay.
"Clamp down on bogus self-employment" and extend rights of employees to all workers - including shared parental pay
Introduce a right for employees to request information relating to the future direction of the company.
Modernise employment rights to make them fit for the age of the ‘gig’ economy, looking to build on the forthcoming Taylor Report
Guarantee trade unions a right to access workplaces
Strengthen enforcement of employment rights, including by bringing together relevant enforcement agencies and scrapping employment tribunal fees.
End the public sector pay cap
Strengthen worker participation in decision-making, including staff representation on remuneration committees, and the right for employees of a listed company to be represented on the board. We will change company law to permit a German-style two-tier board structure to include employees.
Repeal the Trade Union Act and roll out sectoral collective bargaining, whereby industries can negotiate agreement as a whole
Reform fiduciary duty and company purpose rules to ensure that other considerations, such as employee welfare, environmental standards, community benefit and ethical practice can be fully included in decisions made by directors and fund managers.
Enforce all workers' rights to trade union representation at work
Reduce the reporting requirement for disclosure of shareholdings to 1% in order to increase transparency over who owns stakes in the biggest companies.
Use public spending power to drive up standards, including only awarding public contracts to companies which recognise trade unions
Require binding and public votes of board members on executive pay policies.
Give all workers equal rights from day one, whether part-time or full-time, temporary or permanent
Shifting the burden of proof, so the law assumes a worker is an employee unless the employer can prove otherwise.
Cuts to bereavement support payment will be scrapped, as will the bedroom tax and the "punitive sanctions regime"
Scrapping the triple-lock on the state pension after 2020, replacing it with a "double lock", rising with earnings or inflation - but no longer 2.5%
Maintain the 'triple lock' of increasing the state pension each year.
Reinstate housing benefit for under-21s
Means test winter fuel payments to pensioners
Withdraw eligibility for the Winter Fuel Payment from pensioners who pay tax at the higher rate (40%).
Guarantee state pension triple lock, as well as the winter fuel allowance and free bus passes
Tighten the rules against pension abuse and increase punishment for those caught mismanaging pension schemes
We will retain the free bus pass for all pensioners
"Rejects" proposal to increase state pension age further
Give the pensions regulator powers to issue punitive fines for those found to have wilfully left a pension scheme under-resourced and if necessary, powers similar to those held by the Insolvency Service to disqualify relevant company directors
Introducing a single rate of tax relief for pensions, which would be designed to be simpler and fairer and would be set more generously than the current 20% basic rate relief
A commitment to "protect the pensions of UK citizens living overseas in the EU or further afield".
Consider new criminal offence for company directors who put at risk the ability of a pension scheme to meet its obligations.
30 hours free childcare to be extended to two-year-olds and "some" to one-year-olds
Introduce a "breathing space" scheme to help those in serious debt be protected from further interest, charges and enforcement action for up to six weeks.
Extend free childcare to all two-year-olds and to the children of working families from the end of paid parental leave
An end to the so-called "rape clause" - part of the policy of restricting child tax credits to the first two children in a family. It means mothers who have a third child as a result of rape can be exempted, but would have to provide evidence in order to do so
An additional month's paid paternity leave
A review into reforming council tax and business rates, in favour of options such as a land value tax
Introduce a new Young Person's Bus Discount Card for 16-21 year olds, giving a two-thirds discount on bus travel
A national review of local pubs to examine the causes for their large-scale demise, as well as establishing a joint taskforce that will consider future sustainability.
30 hours' free childcare a week for all parents in England with children aged from two to four years
Take 13,000 children out of poverty by letting both parents earn before their Universal Credit is cut
Reverse cuts to work allowances in universal credit and housing benefit for 18-21 year olds - increase jobseeker's allowance and universal credit for 18-24
Uprate working-age benefits at least in line with inflation
Abandon the two-child policy on family benefits and abolish the 'rape clause'
Reverse cuts to employment support allowance to those in the work-related activity group
Increase local housing allowance (LHA) in line with average rents in an area
Scrap the 'bedroom tax' and the work capability assessment
Ensure that 60% of the UK's energy comes from zero-carbon or renewable sources by 2030
UK should have the lowest energy costs in Europe, both for households and businesses
Ensure that four million properties receive insulation retrofits by 2022, prioritising fuel-poor households
A ban on fracking
Establish an industrial energy efficiency scheme to help large companies install measures to cut their energy use and their bills
Prevent 40,000 deaths a year with Air Quality Plan to reduce air pollution
Nuclear power "will continue to be part of the UK energy supply"
Smart meters offered to every household and business by the end of 2020
Ensure British farming remains competitive
Introduce an immediate emergency energy price cap to ensure the average dual fuel household energy bill remains below £1,000 per year
Make it easier to switch energy providers and introduce a "safeguard tariff cap"
A diesel scrappage scheme, and a ban on the sale of diesel cars and small vans in the UK by 2025
Maintaining access to the EU's internal energy market and retaining access to nuclear research programme Euratom will be a priority in Brexit negotiations.
Independent review into the cost of energy to ensure UK energy costs are as low as possible, while ensuring a reliable supply and meeting 2050 carbon reduction objective
Extend ultra-low-emission zones to 10 more towns and cities
Against more large-scale onshore wind power for England, but maintain position as a global leader in offshore wind and development of wind projects in the remote islands of Scotland, where they directly benefit local communities
Run all private hire vehicles and diesel buses licensed to operate in urban areas on ultra-low-emission or zero-emission fuels within five years
Develop the shale industry in Britain
Pass a Zero-Carbon Britain Act to set targets to reduce net greenhouse gas emissions by 80% by 2040 and to zero by 2050
Non-fracking drilling treated as permitted development
Aim to generate 60% of electricity from renewables by 2030
Set up a new shale environmental regulator
Support investment in energy storage, smart grid technology, hydrogen technologies, offshore wind, and tidal power
Change proposed shale wealth fund so greater percentage of tax revenues from shale gas directly benefit the communities that host the extraction sites.
Establish a £2bn flood-prevention fund
Increase the amount of accessible green space
Suspend the use of neonicotinoids until proven that their use in agriculture does not harm bees or other pollinators
Increase maximum sentence for animal cruelty from six months to five years, and a ban on caged hens
Clamp down on illegal pet imports
Reform agricultural subsidies
Pass a Zero-Waste Act
£2bn to ensure the provision of high-speed broadband across the rural UK
£2bn Rural Services Fund to co-locate council offices, post offices, children's centres, libraries and visiting healthcare professionals.
617 points: Run_Like_Prometheus's comment in No matter where you stand on Brexit, there is something fundamentally wrong about the way Trump has undermined the Prime Minister on British soil.
581 points: Narradisall's comment in Airbus staff: ‘I voted Leave. People said Brexit would never affect us because we’re too big a company.’
572 points: Ovvenchips's comment in British Protesters Aim To Get Green Day Song ‘American Idiot’ To No. 1 On Day Donald Trump Arrives In The U.K.
571 points: Bobson567's comment in Boris Johnson resigns as foreign secretary | Politics
558 points: newtoallofthis2's comment in FactCheck: Boris Johnson lied about EU safety regulation in his resignation letter
555 points: inbruges99's comment in The University of Manchester makes savings of £1,111,112 withholding the pay of 635 staff that took part in strike action, but won't reimburse students that missed a month of teaching
Soros' Open Society: Molly Scott-Cato moaning in the Groanian, 26th June 2018
Opinion/Attack piece from Molly Scott-Cato in the Guardian 26th June 2018. Have reproduced it in full below so need to click this LOONY LINK.
Why did Nigel Farage tell the world he thought remain had won? A report by Bloomberg raises questions about what the arch-Brexiteer knew and when, although he denies any wrongdoing
And so instead of assigning guilt via the courts, Molly wishes to slander via media. Molly Scott Cato Green Party MEP, is linked to Open Democracy, who have received more than £15,000 from Open Society and affiliates, which is directly linked to George Soros... so no conflict of interest displayed in this article;
Have you ever wondered why Nigel Farage and the Brexit merchants are obsessed with George Soros? ... No doubt his strong support for the EU has something to do with it, but perhaps his sudden rise to wealth through a single, well-timed bet is also part of the fascination. In 1992 Soros was a relatively unknown hedge fund trader. Then he decided to place a bet that would make him legendary. An outrageously risky bet with potentially momentous consequences: he bet against the British economy. This was in the run-up to the infamous Black Wednesday, when the Bank of England was aggressively buying the pound on foreign exchange markets to defend its overvalued position in the exchange rate mechanism, the system that attempted to fix the rates of European currencies against each other in preparation for the single currency. By August 1992, Soros had bet at least $1.5bn on the pound. He began short-selling – a technique used to profit from the falling price of a stock. In this case, Soros bet that the Bank of England would not be able to defend the value of the pound and that, when it fell dramatically, he would make massive gains. His bet paid off, making him a profit of about £1bn. So, what if the Brexiteer’s obsession with Soros stems from similarities between his good fortune and the bounty claimed by hedge funds betting against the pound on the night of the referendum? There has long been speculation surrounding Farage’s interview with Sky News on the evening of the EU referendum, when he appeared to concede defeat. On Monday detailed analysis by Bloomberg noted that his “concessions” that night could have helped hedge funds make millions off the back of the pound’s collapse following the true Brexit result. With early suggestions that remain had won the day, the pound leapt to its highest mark against the dollar in six months. But hedge funds had hired the services of an array of pollsters in the days leading up to the referendum, selling them advance information – including data that would have been illegal for them to give the public. Buoyed up by private exit polls, which showed victory for the leave campaign, hedge funds were perfectly placed to earn fortunes by short-selling the British pound. Bloomberg raises important questions about whether Farage, a former commodities broker with many friends and backers in the financial sector, said remain had won with the intention of benefiting hedge funds who stood to gain from a sudden drop in the pound. Farage told Bloomberg his concessions were not aimed at moving the markets for anyone, and told MailOnline that he did not try to mislead people by conceding defeat. But speculating on Brexit has made at least one very rich Brexiteer that bit richer. Crispin Odey was one of the largest donors to leave, handing over just shy of £900,000 to the campaign. On hearing the referendum result, Odey said: “I feel fantastic. It’s a fantastic decision by the electorate.” Odey had a special reason to feel “fantastic”. He’d bet on Brexit hitting the pound by “shorting” sterling and moving 65% of his fund into gold in anticipation. Odey’s fund made £220m in the space of just a few hours. As he said at the time: “I think I may be the winner.” Hedge funds, including the one run by Odey, made some big wins by betting on economic events, and hit the big time during the turbulence caused by the 2008 financial crisis. EU policies designed to restore stability to financial markets, such as the 2012 short selling regulation , are anathema to this sort of investor. Odey has voiced his objection to tighter EU regulation of hedge funds and has claimed that new EU banking rules will contribute to a “terrifying” environment for “investors”, although a distinction between investors and gamblers might be helpful here. Hedge funds, including the one run by Odey, made some big wins by betting on the damage Brexit would do to the pound and UK stock markets. Some of his hedge funds have since lost significant value, but if the UK actually leaves the EU, the ensuing volatility will create excellent conditions for them to roll their dice again. He’s already banking on Britain’s largest firms performing badly in the wake of Brexit. But such is financial engineering that you don’t even need to bet on something going in a particular direction – you can also bet that uncertainty itself will go up or down.
So yet another Big Nothing Burger. Listed below for easy access is the data from the Open Democracy site;
Grant Funding 2016-2017 £1000 - £5,000 ● Joseph Rowntree Charitable Trust (50.50) ● Politics & Economics Research Trust (openDemocracy UK) ● The Open University (Main Site) ● UCL European Institute (openDemocracy UK / Can Europe Make It?) ● University of Essex (openDemocracy UK) ● University of Leeds (Beyond Trafficking & Slavery) ● University of Nottingham (Beyond Trafficking & Slavery) ● University of Warwick (Beyond Trafficking & Slavery) £5,000 - £10,000 ● Avaaz Foundation (openDemocracy UK) ● European Cultural Foundation (Can Europe Make It?) ● Heinrich Boll Stiftung (Can Europe Make It?) ● Joseph Rowntree Reform Trust (ourNHS) ● Laura Kinsella Foundation (ourNHS) ● Mulberry Trust (NAWA) ● Network for Social Change (ourNHS) ● Rockefeller Brothers Fund (Main Site) ● The Andrew Wainwright Reform Trust (openDemocracy UK) ● University of Bristol (Beyond Trafficking & Slavery) £10,000 - £15,000 Open Society Foundations (Main Site) Polden-Puckham Charitable Foundation (openDemocracy UK) University of Sheffield (Beyond Trafficking & Slavery) £15,000 - £20,000 ● Fritt Ord Foundation (NAWA) ● The David & Elaine Potter Foundation (Main Site - Website Project) ● The David & Elaine Potter Foundation (openDemocracy UK) £20,000 - £25,000 ● Future of Russia Foundation (oDR) ● Joseph Rowntree Reform Trust (openDemocracy UK) ● Robert Bosch Stiftung (Can Europe Make It?) ● Rockefeller Brothers Fund (NAWA) ● The Roddick Foundation (Shine A Light) £30,000 - £40,000 ● Democracy & Media Foundation (Main Site - openMedia) ● Friends Provident Charitable Foundation (openDemocracy UK) ● Hidden Leaf Foundation (Transformation) £40,000 - £60,000 ● Ford Foundation (50.50) ● NoVo Foundation (Transformation) £60,000 - £80,000 ● Inquiry into the Future of Civil Society in England (Main Site - Civil Society Futures) ● National Endowment for Democracy (NAWA) ● Oak Foundation (50.50) ● Open Society Foundations (Main Site - Website Project) ● The David & Elaine Potter Foundation (Main Site) £80,000 - £100,000 ● Adessium Foundation (Main Site - openMedia) ● Bertha Foundation (Shine A Light) ● Ford Foundation (Beyond Trafficking & Slavery) £100,000+ ● Charles Stewart Mott Foundation (oDR) ● Open Society Foundations (democraciaAbierta) ● Open Society Foundations (Main Site) ● Open Society Foundations (oDR)
Question Time (21/04/2016) Exeter - Live Discussion Thread
Exeter Kick off:22:55 BST; 23:55 CEST; 17:55 Eastern; 14:55 Pacific; 08:55 Australian AEDT BBC One Follow the hashtag #bbcqt link @BBCQuestionTime link and like Question Time on Facebook Upcoming Episodes:
Celebrations have taken place around the UK today on the day that the Queen turns 90. Crowds of cheering people lined the streets in Windsor as the monarch took part in a walkabout, and royal gun salutes have been fired from each of the UK’s capital cities. BBC
Prince William yesterday paid tribute to the Queen and answered criticism of his commitment to royal duties, saying he is willing to take on more responsibility when the time comes. In an interview with BBC royal correspondent Nicholas Witchell, Prince William said: "I take duty very seriously. I take my responsibilities very seriously. But it's about finding your own way at the right time and if you're not careful duty can sort of weigh you down an awful lot at a very early age and I think you've got to develop into the duty role. The Queen's duty and her service, her tolerance, her commitment to others - I think that's all been incredibly important to me and it's been a real guiding example of just what a good monarch could be." BBC
David Cameron and Jeremy Corbyn have led tributes to the Queen in the House of Commons as MPs marked her 90th birthday. Opening a special "Humble Address", the PM said she had led a "gentle evolution" of the monarchy during her 64-year reign. Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn said whatever people's views on the monarchy, the "vast majority" agreed she had served her country. BBC
EU Referendum update
Chancellor George Osborne has defended claims an EU exit would cost households an average £4,300 a year - after Leave campaigners said it was "absurd". A Treasury analysis says the UK economy would be 6% smaller if it left the EU than it would otherwise be by 2030. This would leave a £36bn hole in the public finances said Mr Osborne, who called the report "serious and sober". BBC
David Cameron should stay on as PM to lead negotiations if the UK votes to leave the EU, two cabinet ministers have said. Commons Leader Chris Grayling, who backs a Leave Vote, told the BBC: "He must stay, I want him to stay." Northern Ireland Secretary Theresa Villiers told Sky he was the "right man to take us out of the European Union". BBC
Leaving the European Union would be a "risky bet" for the UK, eight former US Treasury secretaries have said. The advisors, who served both Republican and Democratic presidents, say it could threaten London's pre-eminence as a financial capital. BBC Barack Obama is expected to make a call this week for the UK to remain inside the European Union. Guardian
Boris Johnson has accused US President Barack Obama of "hypocrisy" over his support for the UK remaining in the EU. The London mayor, who backs EU exit, told the BBC the Americans "wouldn't dream of sharing [their] sovereignty" as the UK had done. BBC
It is the Bank's duty to talk about EU referendum risks, says Bank of England governor Mark Carney, dismissing accusations the Bank is too political. "Assessing and reporting major risks does not mean becoming involved in politics; rather it would be political to suppress important judgments," he told a House of Lords committee. Mr Carney said the vote was the biggest risk to the UK's financial stability. BBC
Steel crisis: UK willing to take 25% stake in rescue deal
The government is willing to take a 25% stake in any rescue of Tata Steel's UK operations, it has been announced. The business department said it was preparing to make a support package "worth hundreds of millions of pounds" available to potential buyers. Business Secretary Sajid Javid said the money would be offered on commercial terms, but the government would not take any control over the business. BBC
UK to take thousands of child refugees
The UK will take in up to 3,000 refugees, mostly vulnerable children, from the war-torn Syria region by 2020. The government called the move the "largest resettlement programme for children in the world". It is in addition to David Cameron's pledge to take 20,000 refugees by 2020. BBC
Pope Francis has taken 12 Syrian migrants with him to the Vatican after visiting a camp on the Greek island of Lesbos. The three families, including six children, are all Muslim and had their homes bombed during the Syrian war. The Vatican said in a statement that Pope Francis wanted to "make a gesture of welcome'' to the refugees. BBC
US Election 2016: Trump and Clinton win New York primaries
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, frontrunners in the race to be the US presidential candidates for the Republican and Democratic parties, have secured comfortable victories in the crucial New York primary election. Mrs Clinton, after beating Bernie Sanders, said her victory for the Democratic nomination was in sight. BBC
At least 570 people are known to have died after the magnitude-7.8 quake hit Ecuador on Saturday. The quake is Ecuador’s largest since 1979 and has caused widespread severe damage, with a bridge destroyed as far south as Guayaquil about 300km (190 miles) away. President Rafael Correa has decreed a state of emergency. BBC updates: 1, 2, and 3.
Brazil crisis: Rousseff loses lower house impeachment vote
Parliament in Brazil has voted to start impeachment proceedings against President Dilma Rousseff over charges of manipulating government accounts. The motion will now go to the upper house, the Senate, which is expected to suspend Ms Rousseff next month while it carries out a formal trial. She denies tampering with the accounts to help secure her re-election in 2014. Her supporters describe the vote as a "coup against democracy" and the ruling Workers' Party has promised to continue its fight to defend her "in the streets and in the Senate". Ms Rousseff stands as an unpopular leader in a country facing a severe economic crisis. BBC
In Brazil-related news, today at least two people have been killed after part of a cycleway built ahead of the Rio Olympics collapsed into the sea, Brazilian media have reported. Rio de Janeiro has committed to linking up all the city's coastal bike lanes ahead of the Olympic Games. Work started in January 2014. BBC
On Tuesday, Liam Fox made his stance clear that He wants Obama to keep out of EU referendum debate. The former cabinet minister said that the US would never allow a foreign court to overrule Congress, ahead of this weekend’s visit to the UK by Barack Obama. Mr Fox told the Guardian, “The president, is of course, welcome to his view when the US has an open border with Mexico, a supreme court in Toronto and the US budget set by a pan-American committee. Then his views might hold greater weight when he urges the European equivalent on the British people.” Guardian
This month, pro-Brexit Kate Hoey was vocal on her perception that the EU is to blame for the UK’s steel crisis. Hoey said that it was impossible for the UK to compete with countries such as the US or Norway where electricity costs were much lower, and told the FT: “The EU has sat on its hands and allowed China to dump cheap steel on European countries. Its inertia has allowed the price of steel on the continent to collapse and cripple producers in Britain.” Hoey added: “It is sickening how our membership of the EU has left us powerless to protect this major strategic asset that employs 5,500 people directly, many more indirectly and is the beating heart of its local community.” FinancialTimes
This week Lord Paddy Ashdown swept into Chester on a Pro-European visit where he argued leaving the EU would add £1,000 to an Ellesmere Port-made Vauxhall car sold on the continent. Asked why we should stay in, Lord Ashdown responded: “Our industry and our commerce depends on it, because our security depends on it. How much would you pay for that? If we were to leave Europe, this is what would happen – you would have 10% put on every British car to be put into the continent, which is 40% of our market. That means cars that are made in Vauxhall will cost £1,000 more. That will be a price paid in British jobs.” ChesterChronicle
This month Leanne Wood told the BBC that the people of Wales are “not there now on independence.” Speaking of Plaid Cymru’s election manifesto, the party leader stated that an independent Wales "remains our long-term aspiration as a party" but there are no plans to hold a referendum on the issue "in the near term". Leanne Wood said that if her party wins power in May's election it will put "all effort" into building Wales' economy, so people see independence as a "realistic option". BBC
The Exeter-based founder and chairman of pub firm JD Wetherspoon has spoken out in favour of leaving the European Union. Speaking to the Echo at George’s Meeting House in Exeter ahead of the April 15th rally in Plymouth, Mr Martin argued quitting the EU would be good for democracy and prosperity: “For me, we voted in 1975 for a common market and that’s what I’d like to see,” he said. “I think we’ve benefited from the movement of labour and I think the idea of a single market is a good one, but we can’t have laws made by the European Court which our parliament has no influence over. I think that’s very dangerous. When laws start being made by people you haven’t elected, that’s a danger.” ExeterExpressAndEcho
QUESTIONS TO THE PANEL
Is it okay for Barack Obama to come to the UK and tell us how to vote in the EU Referendum?
Are the Treasury right to use scare tactics in the forthcoming referendum?
What should Jeremy Hunt do to avoid an all-out strike by junior doctors?
As we have a 'minimum' wage, should we introduce a 'maximum' wage?
Debate is continued here - BBC Radio 5 Live Replay the discussion on iPlayer here. This Week follows Question Time on BBC One, the line-up includes:
Queen sends a Brexit message to UK politicians: end your bickering
This is the best tl;dr I could make, original reduced by 71%. (I'm a bot)
LONDON - Queen Elizabeth has sent a delicately coded message to Britain's factious political class over Brexit, urging MPs to seek common ground and grasp the big picture to resolve the crisis. While Elizabeth, 92, did not mention Brexit explicitly in an annual speech to her local Women's Institute in Norfolk, the monarch said every generation faced "Fresh challenges and opportunities." Though steeped in the conventional language the queen has made her hallmark, the remarks in the context of Britain's crisis are a signal to politicians to sort out the turmoil that has pushed the world's fifth largest economy to the brink. The Times' headline read: "End Brexit feud, Queen tells warring politicians". GOLDMAN WARNING. The future of Brexit remains unpredictable with options ranging from a disorderly exit that would spook investors across the world to a new referendum that could reverse the process. Sterling scaled a high of $1.3140 for the first time since Nov. 8 in Asia, before edging back to trade at $1.3095, as traders bet Brexit will be delayed.
A new party should be made of of the politicians willing to stand up to their own party against Brexit. They are proving that they truly have the country's best interests at heart. (2 points, 23 comments)
The number of ppl sleeping on the streets is a National Emergency! So from this Thursday I'll be standing outside the Houses of Parliament for 36hrs in an unbroken embrace (a world record), in protest, and to spread awareness of a project I built with volunteers to try and solve it (14 points, 0 comments)
The UK's exit wiped over $2 trillion off the value of global shares in the immediate aftermath of the referendum - similar results can be expected should other nations reconsider their positions UK citizens took to the polls on the 23rd of June 2016 to vote in an in-out referendum on Britain’s continued membership of the European Union. That is to say, voters could either elect for the country to Leave the EU or Remain in it. The protest is being held "against racism, for migrant rights, against fascist violence" - on the day after the EU Referendum, which saw Britain splitting from the EU British Politics Betting Odds. View all available outright and match odds, plus get news, tips, free bets and money-back offers. All you need to bet. Brexit Betting Odds. View all available outright and match odds, plus get news, tips, free bets and money-back offers. All you need to bet.
(0) BREXIT Intro The British exit from the European Union
EU referendum coverage from Sky News. EU referendum coverage from Sky News. Skip navigation Sign in. ... UK After The EU Referendum - Duration: 1:02:03. Sky News 20,130 views. Actually with a turnout like that it just means people don't care about the EU. But one thing does stand out. Both The Brexit Party and UKIP want a quick and complete withdrawal of the UK from the EU. Election night 2019 began with the Broadcasters' exit poll forecasting Labour were set for a hugely disappointing night, with their lowest number of seats for decades. At this time on the night ... Unlike many other world leaders, Russia's president Vladimir Putin has kept quiet about Britain's upcoming referendum on its membership of the EU. The BBC's Moscow correspondent Steve Rosenberg ... Betting on Boris Johnson to Win Tory Leadership Contest - Betfair Market ... REMAIN Parliament to Subvert BrExit By Delaying Exit Date for Peoples Vote FIXED 2nd EU Referendum by ... UK BrExit EU ...