NBA Betting Information from The MAC Sports gambling expert and professional sports bettor. Courtesy of RedAlertWagers.com Basketball Odds, NBA Odds, NBA Trends, NBA Picks, Basketball Picks, Basketball Betting Picks, NBA ATS Picks, ATS Basketball Odds, Basketball ATS Picks, Expert Basketball Picks, Expert Gambling Picks, Expert Sports Betting Information.
NBA Sports Betting ALGO picks went 10-0 this weekend and 13-2 since release.
Here are the plays for November 11, 2019. Up arrow if you like the content and free picks. This forum feels dead as this is the place I get the least feedback. I've created a custom free FLICK chat group (app for smartphones) for people to come in and talk sports betting picks, etc and it is like pulling teeth when you offer free stuff that is winning. So I'm going to give it one more try! Toronto +10.5 - Rated #1 GSW +7.5 - Rated #1 Houston under 245 - Rated #1 Memphis over 223.5 - Rated #2 Boston over 218.5 - Rated #2 FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT->https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8 < Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
NBA Sports Betting Picks (February 28th) from CheatSheetPros!
NBA Sports Betting Picks (February 28th, 2020) from CheatSheetPros! PLAYS TO CONSIDER: Our Model Projection:Toronto 112 vs. CHA 92 TORONTO -14 – I prefer this in a money line parlay because I hate laying double digit numbers in the NBA but Toronto has a massive advantage here. They lead offensive efficiency 1.05 to 0.92, and defensive efficiency 0.89 (#1 in the NBA) to 1.13. They also have a massive advantage on the blocks and steals 16.0 to 9.6 and lead NBA at 7 blocks per game! They are also shooting 11.6 more 3P’ers per game and hitting them at a 37% clip. Their eFG% is also 11% higher than CHA. Our Model Projection:SACRAMENTO 110 vs. MEMPHIS 105 SACRAMENTO +3.5 – I have them winning this game outright as a dog so also like the ML here since you are getting “+” money. SAC has a massive edge in efficiency at 1.09 to 0.98 on offense and then 1.01 to 1.19 on defense. Memphis has lost 4 straight and 4-6 in their L10 games so I’m riding with SAC who has a +8% eFG%, 8% betting 3P% and 11% better FT%. Our Model Projection:OKC 120 vs. MIL 117 OKC +11.5 – I think MIL wins this game as they are 26-3 at home and playing great ball right now. Also 9-1 in their L10 games and won 4 straight. However, OKC is also playing well as they are 8-2 in their L10 games and they have won 5 straight. This should be a good matchup but I think OKC can stay inside 11.5 and I’m going to hit the OKC money line a little as this one should be a pretty big “+” spot. These teams rank out pretty close to each other so grab the points. Our Model Projection:WASHINGTON 116 vs. UTAH 109 WASHINGTON +10.5 – Let me start by saying 90% of the money is on UTAH in this game so I’d play this one light. I like WASH money line for another shot at a big “+” score. Utah has lost 4 straight games and 4-6 in their L10 games. Washington is shooting 11% better beyond the arc, 7 more FG attempts per game and they have a massive edge in blocks and steals at +5.4. Utah has the advantage on the glass but if WAS is hitting the 3’s and continuing their massive run at the “steals” category they could pull out a “W” here! TOTALS WE LIKE: WASHINGTON / UTAH over 232 Both teams are giving up more points than they are scoring so this one could be a shootout. WAS has a 1.10 D/E and Utah a 1.21! WAS also plays at a pace of around 112.2. We projected the pace of this game at 109.8 with an average offensive efficiency of 1.08 and defensive efficiency of 1.15 putting this around 241 possible points on the high end. Our model has this sliding under but I like a play on the over here. WAS in hitting the over in 59% of their games and 52% of the time in Utah games. DETROIT / PHOENIX under 218.5 I hate betting unders! I typically also FADE the play if it is an under but something is jumping out for this game. We are projecting the pace of this game at 99.3 which is SLOW AS F**K. We like this to squeak in under the total. Opened at 220 and already moved down to 218.5 and holding the majority of the bets. DALLAS / MIAMI over 228.5 Projected pace of this game is 109.2 putting it around 238.7 total points if you are running off the projected pace model. We have this game scoring 241 almost across the board and only in one scenario did we have it hitting 228. Both teams are killing it with the over covers at 63% and 61%. Slight this one over and cash that ticket! NEW for 2020!– Follow Us onTWITTER: @ CheatSheetPros and get any last minutes plays we like! Thank you for reading and good luck! Haze
NBA Sports Betting Report (March 2nd, 2020) from CheatSheetPros! QUICK NEWS AND NOTES: Back at it giving you some free plays and stats!Last article we posted we ended up 4-2.We hit the over in the CHI game, over in BKN game, Lakers under, Orlando +4.5 and then missed with CLE +8 (lost by 9, so close!) and we had Lakers -8 and somehow they got rolled by a terrible team that night. Definitions & References: O/E is offensive efficiency and that is how many points scored per 100 possessions. D/E is defensive efficiency and that is how many points allowed per 100 possessions. PLAYS TO CONSIDER: The Play: Houston -10.5 Our Model Projected Score: Houston 124 vs. NYK 111 ANALYSIS: So these teams just played on 2/24 and Houston was 123-112 so the spread is pretty close to the same setup as before. I will likely put Houston ML into a parlay as I much prefer that to laying double digit points. However, slight lean to Houston here. Houston is 5-0 post all-star break and 20-10 in games with a margin of 10+ points. The only reason I “lean” to the -10.5 here is Houston and their 3 point shooting. They are taking 51 3P attempts per game and that is a whopping 31.7 attempts MORE per game than the NYK and also #1 in the NBA. Houston is also 10% better from the FT line and 8.4 blocks and steals per game better than NYK. Our sheet doesn’t have it covering by enough points for a play so I’m calling this a “lean” because the stats are so one-sided. This is whatever Houston wants it to be. The Play: Orlando -6.5 Our Model Projected Score: Orlando 125 vs. Portland 108 ANALYSIS: So the sheet has a play here on Orlando because they have them covering the spread pretty easily. So after looking at our model projected score I want to dive into the stats a little bit more and make a determination for myself. First I look at injuries and Lillard is out for this game so I check the on/off court numbers. With Lillard out they are 9.3 less points per game and still allow about the same on defense. Portland is also 1-5 post All-Star break and have lost 3 straight. Orlando is playing solid ball right now, hopefully Aaron Gordon can play tonight because he has been red hot as of late. With both D/E around the same number the O/E is largely in favor of Orlando with a 1.16 vs. 1.03 edge. Orlando also scoring 126.3 PPG which is 18.6 more than POR over the L3. Taking Orlando to cover at home vs. a 10-22 road team in Portland without their superstar on the court. The Play: Milwaukee -4 Our Model Projected Score: Milwaukee 111 vs. Miami 116 ANALYSIS: So yes the NBA sheet has a play on Miami and has them winning at home vs. MIL. However, I’m not bucking MILW anymore! MILW is 52-8 on the year and 25-5 on the road and 5-0 post All-Star break and 9-1 in their L10 games. In games of 10+ points they are 35-4. I don’t know what happened to MIL last night in that 93-85 game but prior to that they pounded a good OKC team 133-86 and beat TOR 108-97. My personal rule is don’t buck the Bucks! MIL has a big rebounding edge and a huge D/E advantage. MIL has a D/E of 0.85 vs. 1.15 of Miami. Can’t buck the Bucks even with Miami’s 25-4 home record! The Play: Indiana -2 Our Model Projected Score: Indiana 116 vs. Spurs 106 ANALYSIS: Indy is 4-1 post All-Star break and they have 3 wins in a row under their belt while Spurs are sliding at 3-7 in their L10 games and 2-2 since the break. We have our model with Indy winning by around 10 as a -2 favorite and I don’t mind it. With most of the stats being pretty close the two that jump out are the efficiency numbers. Indy has an O/E advantage 1.12 vs. 1.01 and a huge D/E boost 0.94 vs. 1.11. Indy all the way! NEW for 2020!– Follow Us onTWITTER:u/CheatSheetProsand get any last minutes plays we like! Thank you for reading and good luck! Haze
NBA Sports Betting Picks & Stats (February 11th) from CheatSheetPros!
NBA Sports Betting Report (February 11, 2020) from CheatSheetPros! QUICK NEWS AND NOTES: I’m working on a new add on to the sports betting model on our NBA Cheatsheet.I’m making an ON/OFF database to sync in so if a big time player is OUT suddenly you can enter their name and change all the stats to match their on/off the court numbers.It is very time consuming but I’m going to get this done! GAME BY GAME BREAKDOWN: LA CLIPPERS (-1.5) OVER PHILLY We have this game as 121-113 with LAC covering the small -1.5 spread. I’m going to agree with the sheet on this play and take the Clippers here. LAC is 7-3 in their L10 games while Philly has been struggling even though they have won 2 straight. Philly is a horrible 9-19 on the road but an amazing 24-2 at home. As for the total it opened at 225 and down to 224.5 and we have this game at 234 going over by 9 points. I do like the over here as both teams are playing at the same pace so we don’t have to worry about one team dragging the other down. The L3 average combined the teams are scoring 238 ppg and allowing 225 ppg so I think 224.5 is a good number. NBA CheatSheet says: LAC -1.5 and over 224.5 KEY STATS THAT JUMP OUT: LAC is hitting 78% from the FT line the last 3 games while PHI is down to 66% for a 12% advantage to LAC. LAC has the edge on offensive efficiency at 1.19 vs. 1.07 for Philly. CHICAGO (+3) vs. WASHINGTON We have this game way to close to pick a side. We have WAS winning 114-112 and scoring 226 points total. With the Vegas spread opening at WAS -2.5 and moving to -3 and the total at 230 we are pretty in line with the Vegas numbers so I don’t think there is an edge here. My personal opinion says WAS -3 is the bet. KEY STATS THAT JUMP OUT: WAS has a much better defensive efficiency over the L3 at allowing only a 1.09 vs. a whopping 1.21 for CHI. WAS also has 6.4 less turnovers per game over the L3 and 2.7 more blocks. CHI appears to be dominating the offensive boards with a couple more steals. Tight game but I like WAS here. SPURS (+9) vs. THUNDER I am off the sides for this game due to DeRozan being out. If I had more time this afternoon I’d dig into the on/off the court numbers for DeRozan and then the likely starting lineup but I don’t so I will pass. When there is a key injury in a game like this I don’t use the sheet (or at least until I have the on/off calculations built in!). So I’m watching the Vegas line and bet %. Right now we have OKC opened at -6.5 and moved out to -9. Total opened at 221.5 and moved down to 218.5 with 89% of the bets. I think the play here is on the under 218.5 if you want some action on this game. Both teams have a pace below 100. Spurs playing at 98.0 and Thunder playing at 97.6 and that results in less possessions and less points. We like the UNDER 218.5 and don’t mine it parlayed with OKC moneyline. KEY STATS THAT JUMP OUT: SAS are 8-19 on the road, 2-8 in their L10 games and lost 5 in a row. OKC is 17-11 at home and 8-2 in their last 10 games. PORTLAND (+3) vs. PELICANS What a game this should be with a 240 point Vegas total and a close -3 spread! We have this about as even as it gets with our models pegging this game at 119-118 Pelicans, 116-116, 118-118 and average out 118-118 for a 235-236 point total. I don’t think there is an edge here to be had. Pelicans are 10-16 at home and Portland is 10-18 on the road while both teams are 7-3 and 6-4 in their L10 games. Stats across the board are very close with the exception of POR having a 1.15 to 1.07 offensive efficiency advantage but then Pelicans take it back on the defensive said with a 1.06 vs. 1.11 advantage. NOR is taking down a ton more offensive boards per game but then they also have 6 more turnovers per game. 82% of the bets are on the under 240 total. No opinion on this game and excited to see how it turns out! BOSTON (+2) vs. HOUSTON NBA cheat sheet has this as a BOS pick winning 114-109 with 223 total points scored. The stats say BOS has a 13% higher 3P% and an offensive efficiency advantage at 1.16 vs. 1.04 and a better defensive efficiency advantage allowing only a 1.08 vs. 1.13 number. BOS also has 9.6 more rebounds per game and 3.3 more offensive boards per game. BOS is also 9-1 in their L10 games and coming off of wins over OKC 112-111, ATL 112-107, ORL 116-100, ATL 123-115 and PHI 116-95. HOU is coming off two losses as UTAH squeaked by 114-113 and then PHO thumped Houston 127-91. However, HOU is also 18-8 at home. Sheet says take BOS on the money line. My opinion is that I can’t get HOU correct, when I’m on them they lose, when I’m against them they roll so I’m fading this game from a personal betting standpoint. For tracking I’m taking the sheet play of BOS +2. RECAP OF OUR PLAYS I LIKE: LAC -1.5 LAC over 224.5 WAS -3 OKC (money line) parlayed in with some other games you like. REMEMBER! We still haven’t caught up with all the trades so some of the stats we are using are reflecting players that are not there anymore. Each team should have 3 new games under their belt before you really start using the stats! NEW for 2020!– Follow Us onTWITTER: @ CheatSheetPros and get any last minutes plays we like! Thank you for reading and good luck! Haze
NBA Sports Betting Picks - February 6th, 2020 - from CheatSheetPros!
Hey guys, Games I like tonight are: Orlando over 207.5 + MIL (moneyline) + LAL (moneyline) + LAL over 237 If you want to add a 5th game I like taking a shot on PORTLAND -3 or -3.5. Here is a VIDEO BREAKING DOWN the plays I like and how they look on the CHEATSHEET today! https://youtu.be/mkP_13pGljA Thanks for reading and good luck! Haze
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