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Indianapolis Colts Top 5: Quarterbacks

Indianapolis Colts Top 5: Quarterbacks
With the season (hopefully) on the way I thought I'd put together some lists for top 5 players at each position in Indianapolis (not Baltimore) Colts history. I'll start with QB, and work my way through. This list is purely my opinion as a die hard fan since the early Manning days, and if you think I have no clue what I'm talking about, please feel free to let me know.
Fun fact, out of the 26 QBs to start a game for the Indy Colts there are only 7 players that have a winning record. Three of them are Colts legends Josh Freeman, Gary Hogeboom, and Craig Erickson.

5. Jack Trudeau

https://preview.redd.it/a54mr7g9g3b51.jpg?width=361&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2d086a51719ff08e2c1a8cb651100c0a37f8458f
Years Record Playoffs Comp % Yards TDs INTs Y/A Rating
198-93 18-29 0-1 52.9 9,647 41 62 6.3 64.4

How He Got Here

After the complete disaster that was attempting to draft John Elway #1 in 1983, the then Baltimore Colts stuck with Mike Pagel at QB, who had just led them to a winless season in 1982. Team owner Robert Irsay decided to move the team to Indianapolis before the 1984 season the team stuck with Pagel as their main QB despite him clearly not being their future at the position. This led to 2 season with losing records and last place finishes in the AFC East. Entering the 1986 draft, the Colts were clearly looking for a franchise player at QB. The obvious choice was Jim Everett out of Purdue, but unfortunately he was selected #3 to the Houston Oilers when the Colts had the #4 pick. Instead of drafting the only other franchise QB in the draft, Mark Rypien, the Colts decided to select promising Illinois QB Jack Trudeau in the 2nd round. Trudeau had shown a lot of promise in his career, leading Illinois to a Rose Bowl in 1984 and finishing 2nd in the Davey O'Brien Award (Best College QB) to Doug Flutie. Unfortunately for him and the Colts, this talent would not translate well to the NFL

Colts Career

After trading Mike Pagel to the Browns the starting job was set for Trudeau entering the 1986 season. Unfortunately the Colts were still a very bad team overall and Trudeau was not set to overcome that. In 11 starts he had 8 TDs, 18 INTs, and a 48.9% completion rate for an 0-11 record. It was immediately clear he was not the savior the Colts needed to bring legitimate football to Indy.
Fortunately, a contract dispute between Hall of Fame RB Eric Dickerson allowed the Colts to trade for Dickerson midway through the 1987 season. Dickerson was an immediate breath of life to the fledgling Indianapolis Colts franchise and helped lead them to their first playoff berth. Trudeau shared starting duties with Gary Hogeboom, and both were successful in not screwing things up too bad, giving the ball to Dickerson, and staying out of the damn way. Trudeau started in his only playoff game and actually played decently well: 251 yards, 2 TDs, and 1 INT, but it wasn't enough as the Colts lost 38-21 to the Bernie Kosar led Cleveland Browns who would eventually lose in via "The Drive" in the AFC Championship.
It was clear the Colts would need a better QB to compliment their new superstar in Dickerson, and thus they drafted future Pro Bowler Chris Chandler in the 3rd round in 1988. However, Chris Chandler was most definitely not a Pro Bowler for the Colts. Chandler didn't impress despite an 9-7 overall record, and was replaced by Trudeau following a bad start to the 1989 season. Trudeau had his best year as a pro in 1989: 2,317 yards, 15 TDs, 13 INTs, but the Colts still finished 8-8 and outside of the playoffs.
Trudeau was improving, but was still clearly not the QB of the future, which they hoped to get by trading All-Pro Tackle Chris Hinton, Future All-Pro WR Andre Rison, and the #3 Pick in 1991 for the #1 Pick in 1990 which they used to draft QB Jeff George (Wow). Trudeau was kept as the backup and was a spot starter for the Colts from 1990-93. Despite the horrific play of George, Trudeau couldn't muster much better in his limited playing time and was released in 1994.

My favorite highlight

https://youtu.be/kM0APJieAME?t=678

Legacy

Jack Trudeau was at best a mediocre QB you could somewhat rely on to manage the game and allow more talented players to make plays. Unfortunately the late 80s, early 90s Colts didn't have too many of those so his play suffered as well. His numbers aren't great and he wasn't much beloved by Colts fans, but he did help lead the Colts to their first playoff appearance which helped me put him on the list over Matt Hasselbeck and others. Trudeau has actually hung around Indy doing various radio and TV appearances talking about the Colts and even has a couple of DUIs as well.

4. Jacoby Brissett

https://preview.redd.it/96cmm0sag3b51.jpg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4a578fcdd25c1a0830d6d6b7fc8b5dde43309455
Years Record Playoffs Comp % Yards TDs INTs Y/A Rating
2017- 11-19 0-0 59.8 6,042 31 13 6.6 84.6

How He Got Here

The Colts had their franchise QB in Andrew Luck, but leading up to the 2017 season it was revealed during the preseason Luck had a shoulder injury which would eventually lead to him missing the entire 2017 season. This left the Colts scrambling as they knew QB Scott Tolzien was not the answer at QB, so 8 days before the start of the season the new GM Chris Ballard traded 1st round bust Phillip Dorsett for 3rd string QB for the Patriots Jacoby Brissett. Brissett had looked at least competent spot starting for the suspended Tom Brady and hurt Jimmy Garoppolo in 2016, so he was the best option the Colts had available so close to the beginning of the season.

Colts Career

Bringing in a new QB for a team 8 days before the start of the season and asking him to play is like asking a train engineer to launch a rocket to the moon, so Tolzien started week 1 for Colts. He continued to not impress going into week 2, and was replaced for Brissett. Brissett was an improvement, but it was clear he was overwhelmed by the change of scenery and the rest of the Colts roster and staff was not talented enough to make up for it. He finished with competent numbers: 3,098 yards, 13 TDs, 7 INTs, 58.8% completion rate, 6.6 Y/A, but was merely a game manager for a bad team as the Colts finished 4-12.
Andrew Luck was ready to return in 2018 and the Colts were willing to give Brissett the benefit of the doubt and kept him on as the backup. The Colts saw a major resurgence with Luck and an incredible draft and free agent class by Chris Ballard, leading to their first playoff appearance since 2015, eventually losing to the Patrick Mahomes led Chiefs. The Colts were looking to improve going into 2019, but a now too familiar announcement led up to the season when it was revealed a calf injury was going to cause Andrew Luck to retire 2 weeks before the start of the regular season. The spotlight was once again shown on Jacoby Brissett, who was asked to take over Luck's team. Fortunately this time Brissett was able to get all the first team reps in the preseason leading up to week 1 and was much more familiar with the system.
That familiarity paid off as Brissett led the Colts to a 5-2 start, including wins over playoff teams like the Texans and Titans along with the eventual Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs. Brissett was not putting up All-Pro numbers, but had clearly improved from 2017 and was still not making game losing mistakes. Through week 9 he had 190 YPG, 11 TDs, and 6 INTs, and and the eye test had shown he was a good leader and could occasionally make big plays when needed. However, after a knee sprain in week 10 he was clearly not the same player. His injury either hampered his physical abilities or his confidence but his poor play for the rest of the season allowed the Colts to fall to 7-9, including an embarrassing 34-7 loss to the Saints that I made the trip over to New Orleans for and watched as Brissett sailed the ball over every receiver's head. Brissett will likely be the backup for the 2020 season behind free agent Phillip Rivers, but he's shown enough flashes of ability that his career is long from over, whether that ends up being on the Colts or somewhere else in the league.

My favorite highlight

https://youtu.be/Q1bFNE0CGXY?t=287

Legacy

I believe I'm with the majority of Colts fans in that when I see Jacoby Brissett I see somewhat of a tragic figure. He got thrown to the wolves in 2017 and did the best he could, but was basically set up to fail. It's honestly not too much of a stretch to say his play through week 9 of 2019 was the best QB play by an Indy Colts QB not named Manning, Luck, or Harbaugh. You could tell he was well-liked by both fans and teammates, especially through the first half of 2019, but his limitations as a player were clear. Colts fans have been spoiled in the 21st century by 2 all-time great QBs, so any deviation from that, especially when it's not by a QB we drafted #1 overall, will be seen as a major failure. I think people came down a little too hard on Jacoby by the end of 2019, and that he's still a solid pro capable of being the QB on a winning team in the right situation. However, he showed in the 2nd half of 2019 that situation is probably not in Indy going forward.

3. Jim Harbaugh

https://preview.redd.it/ka0f9imcg3b51.jpg?width=300&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f34fa86258b0e403bfe000b84ba246bcf11dfc42
Years Record Playoffs Comp % Yards TDs INTs Y/A Rating
1994-97 20-26 2-2 60.7 8,705 49 26 7.1 86.6

How He Got Here

The Colts had come out of the Eric Dickerson/Jeff George era looking like an absolute dumpster fire. The Colts had been in Indy for 10 years and Indy was still very much a basketball town. The only signature player the Indy Colts had was Eric Dickerson, and he had a very sour exit in 1992 after 2 bad years. The Indianapolis Colts were still in the woods, searching for the player that could give their franchise hope that they would be treated as a legitimate threat in the NFL and generate significant interest from the fanbase. That hope came from an unlikely source in Jim Harbaugh. Harbaugh had led the Chicago Bears to 2 playoff appearances in the late Mike Ditka-era, but his play had fallen off and by 1994 he looked somewhat washed. The desperate Colts made a surprisingly wise decision in not drafting QBs Heath Schuler or Trent Dilfer. Instead they drafted future Hall of Fame RB Marshall Faulk to replace Eric Dickerson (this is the "Who the hell is Mel Kiper?" draft) and signing Jim Harbaugh.

Colts Career

Harbaugh didn't come out guns blazing in 1994 as he traded starting duties with Green Bay castoff Don Majkowski. Harbaugh put up decent numbers but the Colts finished 4-5 in games Harbaugh started, 8-8 overall. Harbaugh entered the 1995 season as no sure thing, the Colts actually traded their 1996 first round pick for young Tampa QB Craig Erickson in another baffling trade for an unproven QB. Erickson and Harbaugh competed for the starting position in training camp and Erickson was selected as the starter by head coach Ted Marchibroda.
Erickson played poorly the first 2 weeks, being replaced and outplayed by Harbaugh in both games. By week 3 Harbaugh was the full time starter and didn't look back. Harbaugh was showing that he meshed well with new Offensive Coordinator Lindy Infante as Harbaugh put up some of the most efficient passing numbers of any QB in the NFL in 1995: 2,575 yards, 17 TDs, 5 INTs, 63.7% completion rate, and a league leading passer rating of 100.7 (ahead of guys like Brett Favre, Troy Aikman, Steve Young, and Dan Marino). Even more importantly he was a becoming the tough effective leader to energize the entire team, leading the Colts to 4 game winning drives that season, including one over the 1994 Super Bowl champion 49ers. The Colts were just outside of the playoffs going into week 17, but Harbaugh led the Colts to a win over the Drew Bledsoe led Patriots in the RCA Dome to sneak the Colts into the playoffs at 9-7. Harbaugh earned his first Pro Bowl appearance along with NFL Comeback Player of the Year.
The Colts were going into the playoffs as 5.5 point underdogs against the San Diego Chargers, a team they had just lost to in week 16. However, thanks to 3 TDs from Harbaugh and an out-of-nowhere 147 yard, 2 TD performance from rookie FB Zach Crockett, the Colts overcame the odds. They were heading into a gauntlet of Arrowhead stadium against the best defense in the league and a Marcus Allen led 13-3 Kansas City Chiefs. In an ugly game where the wind chill was -15oF, luck worked in the Colts favor. Harbaugh didn't throw well, but picked up several key 1st down with his legs. He had 1 INT and 3 fumbles, but fortunately lost 0. Chiefs QB Steve Bono had 3 INTs and K Lin Elliot went 0/3 on field goals in a season where he made 80%. Colts K Cary Blanchard made 1/3, and that was enough to upset the heavily-favored Chiefs 10-7. Harbaugh's most defining moment as the Colts QB would come in the AFC Championship against the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Harbaugh's cinderella story continued on against Bill Cowher and Neil O'Donnell's Steelers. The Colts and Steelers traded scores throughout the game. With 8 minutes left in the 4th quarter, Harbaugh threw a dime to WR Floyd Turner for a 47 yard touchdown to put the Colts up 16-13. Unfortunately the Colts couldn't run out enough clock on their next drive and the Steelers rushed down the field for the go-ahead score to put them up 20-16. Harbaugh wasn't done yet. With 88 seconds needing 84 yards, Harbaugh willed the Colts down the field to the Steelers' 29-yard line for a hail mary shot with 5 seconds left. Harbaugh tossed up a prayer that was very nearly caught by Colts WR Aaron Bailey, but he couldn't come up with it. The Cinderella story was over, but it was a defining moment for the Colts franchise. The 1995 Colts were within a hair of making the Super Bowl, and that 1995 playoff run led by Harbaugh created a real fanbase for them.
Harbaugh's stats regressed some in 1996, but he still led the Colts to a 9-7 record and the playoffs, this time getting whooped by the Steelers in the wild card. In 1997 his stats improved some but the wheels fell off of the team as they started off 0-10, eventually falling to 3-13. Fortunately their record would net them the #1 pick in the 1998 draft. After it was clear the Colts were using the pick on QB they traded Harbaugh to the Ravens.

My favorite highlight

https://youtu.be/FT4vF24WanE?t=155

Legacy

“A lot of people use (the word) ‘culture,’ but the attitude, everybody was team-first, from the front office, together with the coaches, together with the ownership, together with the players, the equipment staff, the training staff, I mean it felt like we were family.” - Jim Harbaugh on 1995
I don't think enough can be said about the effect of Harbaugh and that 1995 team had on the Colts. He gave us our first source of pride in the Colts and set the tone for the franchise to not be the laughingstock of the league. He paved the way for the decades of excellence that came after. Harbaugh will never be a HoF QB, but his effect on the Colts is severely underrated.
For more details on the 1995 Cinderella season, read this IndyStar article: https://www.indystar.com/story/sports/nfl/colts/2016/01/21/1995-indianapolis-colts-jim-harbaugh-aaron-bailey-afc-championship-game-ted-marchibroda/78291676/

2. Andrew Luck

https://preview.redd.it/8nh7p6pdg3b51.jpg?width=1800&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=bc67a67720b82f9294b9283924f61d9f261e4d85
Years Record Playoffs Comp % Yards TDs INTs Y/A Rating
2012-18 53.33 4-4 60.8 23,671 171 83 7.2 89.5

How He Got Here

After a serious neck injury to franchise stalwart Peyton Manning, the Colts went from perennial playoff contender to nearly winless in 2011. It was unknown if Manning would ever be the same QB again, so the Colts opted to release their most valuable player and use their #1 pick in 2012 on a QB. There was some debate on possibly drafting the Heisman winner out of Baylor, Robert Griffin III, but new GM Ryan Grigson made no doubt in the fact that he was drafting Andrew Luck. Son of former Oilers QB Oliver Luck, Andrew Luck blossomed under head coach Jim Harbaugh to revitalize the Stanford football program while also graduating with a bachelor's degree in architectural design. Luck was hailed by nearly every scout as a can't miss prospect, having nearly every physical tool you want from a QB along with a clear handle on the mental and intangible aspects of the game.

Colts Career

Expectations for Luck were high going into 2012, but not so for the team overall. Many experts put the Colts at or near the bottom of all power rankings. Not only had the team lost Peyton Manning that year, but also many key pieces from the Manning era such as Pierre Garçon, Joseph Addai, Dallas Clark, Jeff Saturday, and Gary Brackett. To make matters worse, new head coach Chuck Pagano was diagnosed with leukemia and missed weeks 5-16. However, despite all odds, Luck led the Colts to an 11-5 record. Interim Head Coach Bruce Arians proved to be a diamond in the rough by helping Luck turn a 2-14 team that lost multiple starters into a playoff team. Luck's stats weren't always pretty: 23 TDs, 18 INTs, 54.1% completion rate, and a 76.5 rating, but he could clearly make plays happen with an absurd 7 game winning drives. The miracles came to an end with a shellacking by the eventual Super Bowl champion Baltimore Ravens in the playoffs, but this season proved Luck would be no bust, he was a force to be reckoned with.
Luck continued to grow in 2013 and 2014, improving in every category to crescendo in 2014 with a league-leading 40 TDs, 16 INTs, 61.7% completion rate, and a 96.5 rating. In 2013 he led the Colts to his first playoff victory in spectacular fashion. After being down 38-10 early in the 3rd quarter to the Alex Smith led Chiefs, Luck led a furious and unbelievable comeback 45-44 victory. Any Colts fan could tell you after seeing all the comeback victories Luck had led to never count him out, and he cemented that in this game. In 2014 Luck led the Colts past their old god of Peyton Manning in Denver in the divisional round, but were given a thorough ass-whooping in the AFC Championship by the soon-to-be Super Bowl champions New England Patriots in what is now infamously known as the "Deflategate Game."
Andrew Luck was a very physical player and was known to take many hits, sometimes making spectacular plays through those hits. However, that punishment started to pile up and wasn't helped by GM Ryan Grigson's poor draft classes and inability to build a competent offensive line to block for Luck. This culminated in the injury plagued 2015 and 2016 seasons. Luck only played 7 games in 2015 and severely regressed in every statistical category, clearly hampered by various injuries such as a lacerated kidney. Luck's stats improved in 2016, but the team did not as they finished 8-8, partially due to an astounding 7% sack of Luck. Either some of Luck's good fortune had finally run out or the team and culture built by GM Grigson had completely failed to support their superstar QB. Owner Jim Irsay bet on Luck and fired Grigson after 2016.
Hopes were high heading into 2017, but unfortunately an unknown snowboarding accident aggravated a previous shoulder injury for Luck. News was very slow to come out, but fans were shocked to find out he would likely miss the entire season 8 days before week 1. New GM Chris Ballard made a quick trade for Jacoby Brissett, but fans were worried after 3 years of being hampered by injuries Luck may never be the same player.
In 2018 we believed those doubts were proven wrong. Luck had an incredibly resurgent season, leading the new look Colts back into the playoffs for the first time since 2014 with a 10-6 record. Luck's numbers were back to form: 39 TDs, 15 INTs, and career bests of 67.3% completion rate and 98.7 rating. Fans were pleased to finally see Luck playing behind a solid offensive line that prevented which prevented him from being sacked for 5 weeks and giving him a career low 2.7% sack rate. Luck led the Colts to a Wild Card win over the Deshaun Watson's Texans, but were stopped in the cold in Arrowhead against Patrick Mahomes' Chiefs. However, hopes were high leading into 2019 that the structure given by GM Chris Ballard would protect Luck and allow him to lead us to our Super Bowl.
Sadly that did not work out as Luck appeared to have a calf injury leading up to the 2019 season. Fans held out hope he would be ready to go for the start of the season, but after the years of rehabbing Luck had finally had enough. 2 weeks before the season opener during a preseason game against the Chicago Bears it was leaked that Luck planned to retire. Fortunately his backup Jacoby Brissett was put in a better position to take his place as opposed to 2017, but the sudden and unexplained retirement of their franchise QB right before the season led to some fans to boo Luck as he left the field at Lucas Oil Stadium for the last time.

My favorite highlight

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=teNLH0p6WHs
or
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zBHhO2yWRMo
or

Legacy

Andrew Luck will forever be one of the greatest "what if?" stories in American sports history. Unlike many "what if?" stories, we got to see what we could have had with Luck. What the Colts had in Luck from 2012-14 along with 2018 was nothing short of incredible and it was clear he was improving to potentially become one of the greatest QBs in NFL history. Instead he's a tragic story where fans will forever be left to wonder what could have been with Andrew Luck. Would Luck have brought the Colts back to the Super Bowl if he he didn't play the majority of his career under the poor management of GM Ryan Grigson and HC Chuck Pagano? All we do know is that his sack rate under Grigson was 5.5%, and in one year on GM Chris Ballard's team it was 2.7%, coincidentally also one of his best statistical seasons. Peyton Manning's sack rate for his career? Tied for the NFL record with Dan Marino at 3.13%. Maybe if Luck had been better protected and coached better to avoid hits he could have made it up there with Manning, but as fans he'll forever be a "what if?" Luck seems like a smart and content man who's just starting a family, so I doubt he will ever return for any team. Even if he did we'll forever be robbed of what the best version of Andrew Luck could have been. However, in his short time here, he delivered enough incredible moments to give us hope and make us love the team. I, along with hopefully many other fans, will forever love Andrew Luck for his time with the Colts and am grateful for a helluva run.

1.Peyton Manning

https://preview.redd.it/5lr1v2heg3b51.jpg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0b42edf31a7f2e4910e9adc0dcceb11b045a8630
Years Record Playoffs Comp % Yards TDs INTs Y/A Rating
1998-11 141-67 9-10 64.9 54,828 399 198 7.6 94.9

How He Got Here

The Indianapolis Colts under Jim Harbaugh had finally established themselves as a legitimate team, but the Colts knew Harbaugh wasn't the long-term answer at QB. He was 35 going into the 1998 season and had just led the Colts to a 3-13 season, bad enough for the #1 overall pick. There was some debate about drafting Heisman finalist out of Washington, Ryan Leaf, but new GM Bill Polian made no doubt in the fact that he was drafting Peyton Manning. Leaf had some incredible athletic abilities, but there were some doubts raised about his ability to handle the mental aspects of the game. He also basically made the decision for the Colts when he skipped their draft interview, a passive-aggressive declaration he wouldn't play for the Colts. Peyton Manning, son of former Saints QB Archie Manning, was also a Heisman finalist out of Tennessee. No scout doubted Manning's ability to become a franchise QB in the NFL, but some wondered about his potential ceiling due to a complete lack of running ability and some arm strength concerns. However, he was clearly one of the most mature and mentally ready players to ever come out of college for any position.
"I'll leave you with this thought. If you take me, I promise you we will win a championship. If you don't, I promise I'll come back and kick your ass" -Peyton Manning to Colts GM Bill Polian on the day before the 1998 draft

Colts Career

The 1998 Colts were still a pretty bad team overall, and the rookie Manning was not enough to overcome that. He had one of the best statistical rookie seasons ever: 3,739 yards, 26 TDs, 28 INTs, 6.5 Y/A, and a 56.7% completion rate, setting records for yards, TDs, and INTs (yards and TDs are currently held by Andrew Luck and Baker Mayfield respectively). However, the deficiencies of the team and Manning's record number of interceptions helped give the Colts a 3-13 record, including a week 5 win over Ryan Leaf's San Diego Chargers.
Fortunately Manning helped lead one of the biggest turnarounds in NFL history in 1999, turning the 3-13 Colts in 1998 into the 13-3 Colts in 1999. People weren't exactly ready to give up on Manning after 1998, but 1999 was critical for showing Manning could improve and be at the helm of a winning team. Partially this was helped by sending Hall of Fame RB Marshall Faulk to St. Louis in exchange for the draft pick to select Hall of Fame RB Edgerrin James, who had a phenomenal rookie year. The Colts ended up losing to the Tennessee Titans in the playoffs, who had just completed the Music City Miracle the week before and would come within an ass hair of winning the Super Bowl against the Greatest Show on Turf St. Louis Rams.
Manning was up and down from 2000 to 2002, still posting good stats but missing the playoffs in 2001 ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-oSFYxDGKy8 ) and having first round exits in 2000 and 2002. Whispers started turning into legitimate arguments about how Peyton Manning was a good stats, dome team, regular season QB that just didn't have it in the playoffs. In 2003 Manning started his absurd streak of 12+ win seasons (7 years) and picked up his first MVP award, the first (and still only) Indy Colt to win it. He also got his first playoff wins in 2003, but was quickly put to shame in a 4 INT performance in the AFC Championship against the Patriots, now known by Colts fans as "The Ty Law Game."
The 2004 season is well known by Colts fans for cementing Manning among the all time greats. Manning was white hot all year, throwing for 4,557 yards 49 TDs, 10 INTs, and a 121.1 rating while only getting sacked 13 times. The 49 TDs was a record, which has since been broken by Tom Brady and Manning again while a member of the Broncos. Manning won MVP for the 2nd year in a row, but once again disappointed in the playoffs with a 0 TD, 1 INT performance against the Patriots in the divisional round, losing 20-3. Those arguments of Manning's postseason jitters were starting to feel more and more like reality for Colts fans. They knew they had their franchise QB, but his inability to perform in the playoffs continued to be baffling.
2005 was supposed to be the season that changed all that. Manning's numbers came back to earth somewhat, but he still posted a very efficient performance (104.1 rating) for a much improved overall team. GM Bill Polian had proved his days building the "Four Falls over Buffalo" Bills dynasty was no fluke, he now had a team with the #2 scoring offense and the #2 scoring defense. This was the year to break the Manning postseason curse. Unfortunately in one of the most upsetting games of my life, the Colts could not break that curse against the Steelers in the divisional round. Manning played relatively well: 58% completion rate, 290 yards, and 1 TD with no INTs, but watching the game the Colts struggled to maintain momentum and get stops against the rookie Ben Roethlisberger. Despite the inconsistent play, the Colts still had a shot. Steelers HoF RB Jerome Bettis attempted to ice the game with a goal line carry, but fumbled for the first time all year. With the entire Steelers offense stuffing the line, Colts CB Nick Harper was free to pick up the ball with a nearly open field ahead of him. Normally Nick Harper is one of the faster players on the field, however, as every Colts fan knows, Harper had been stabbed in the leg by his wife in a "supposedly accidental" altercation the night before. This possibly allowed the falling down Ben Roethlisberger to catch Harper by his shoe strings, preventing the nearly sure thing TD by Harper to put the Colts ahead. Instead Manning led the Colts into basically chip shot field goal position for one of the most accurate kickers in NFL history (Mike "Idiot Kicker" Vanderjagt) to tie the game. We all know what happened next. It was a shocking loss to say the least, and it was hard to blame it all on Manning, but it still felt like there was some sort of mystical VooDoo curse hanging over Manning and our franchise.
If the Colts couldn't win it all in 2005 it felt like they never would. 2006 wasn't looking like anything special compared to the past few seasons, especially considering the defense regressed from #2 in scoring in 2005 to #23 in 2006. Manning was still putting up great numbers, but those were starting to feel like an exercise in futility. Fortunately the Colts caught fire at the right time, with oft-injured All-Pro Safety Bob Sanders getting healthy towards the end of the season and the trade deadline addition of Buccaneers DT "Booger" McFarland. That momentum pushed them to an AFC Championship, where Manning would match up against the source of his ultimate playoff failures, Tom Brady and the New England Patriots. Fortunately, this time it was in the RCA Dome, not Foxborogh, MA. Manning and the Colts started off cold, being down 21-3 at one point after a Manning pick-6, but the Colts rallied behind some incredibly orchestrated drives by Manning to finally get the monkey off his back. On a last second drive, Manning drove the Colts down the field to put them ahead 38-34 with 1 minute to go. A Marlin Jackson interception of Tom Brady sealed it, Manning and the Colts were going to the Super Bowl for the first time in Indy history. Manning played well in the Super Bowl, winning the MVP against the league-best Chicago Bears defense.
Manning continued his solid play in 2007 and 2008, including his 3rd MVP in 2008. Both seasons ended with heartbreaking first round playoff exits to the San Diego Chargers, 2008's being the "Sproles and Scifres Game." 2008 also showed the first signs of physical weakness from Manning, having a knee surgery before the season that led to a slow start for the Colts. That was not the case in 2009, as Manning led the Colts to start the season 14-0. In a decision that's still derided today, new head coach Jim Caldwell decided to effectively bench Manning along with many other starters rather than go for the perfect season to prevent any injuries. Many had seen the Patriots in 2007 nearly complete the perfect season, but fall in heartbreaking fashion in the Super Bowl against a less talented Giants team. Caldwell, like many others, decided that any rust from not playing for nearly a month was worth the decreased risk of injury to his stars. That decision nearly backfired in spectacular fashion as the Colts were behind the New York Jets (a team they effectively let into the playoffs by letting them win in week 16) in the AFC Championship game until Manning led a furious comeback. It all ended poorly in the Super Bowl however as Manning threw a pick-6 to Tracy Porter that still haunts my dreams to Tracy Porter, allowing the Colts to lose to Drew Brees and his stupid baby and the New Orleans Saints.
2010 was one of the first signs of weakness from Manning. He had apparently injured his neck on this play in 2006 ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9gjdmww3vgM ) on a hit that would now be extremely illegal. Manning apparently aggravated that injury in the lead up to the 2010 season, and it showed in the stats as he had how lowest rating since 2002 (91.9). For most other QBs a rating of 91.9 is a pretty solid season but for Manning it was a massive fall. This led to a quick playoff exit to the Jets in the first round. In the lead up to the 2011 season, Manning had several surgeries to relieve the pain in his neck which led to him missing the entire season. It was unknown if he would ever be the same QB again, or even play again. Manning's absence showed how incredibly important he was to the franchise, the only major difference between the rosters in 2010 and 2011 is Manning, yet the Colts went 10-6 in 2010 and 2-14 in 2011. This poor record led to the Colts earning the #1 pick in the 2012 draft, which fueled their decision to release Manning and draft a QB in 2012 (Chandler Harnish...and Andrew Luck).

My favorite highlight

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DttfyOeU3vw
or
https://youtu.be/al13DoOFp78
or
https://youtu.be/UE4UgMc2QqA?t=581

Legacy

"Fellas, if 18 goes down, we're fucked, and we don't practice fucked." -Offensive Coordinator Tom Moore on why the backup QBs don't get more reps
Nothing to me cements Peyton Manning's role in Indy as much as this quote. Even his first 5 years before he became an all-time great, that was still the best sustained stretch of QB play in Indy Colts history. Once he ascended to another level in 2003, it was clear we needed to put every egg we could find into his basket. Manning was the perfect franchise QB: a steady presence on and off the field, consistent delivery of either incredible numbers or game winning performances (usually both), and he made nearly everyone else on the team a better player. His drive and commitment to team victory made him the guy every franchise needs if they want to field a consistently great team. Peyton had somewhat of an authoritarian leadership style, my way or the highway, but you can do that when you show that you're willing and able to give every ounce of yourself to the team and deliver the kind of results that he can.
I think some people are disappointed in the Manning Era considering how historically great his stats are but he was 1-1 in Super Bowls in 12 years here. Honestly I think that's not too far off for any all-time QB. Drew Brees is 1-0, Brett Favre is 1-1, Aaron Rodgers is 1-0, Fran Tarkenton is 0-3, Jim Kelly is 0-4, Dan Marino is 0-1, all of these guys are all-time great franchise QBs but it's not abnormal for them to only win 1 or lose several. There are some exceptions: Tom Brady (6-3), Joe Montana (4-0), Terry Bradshaw (4-0), and Troy Aikman (3-0), but honestly you could trade any of the former QBs for Terry Bradshaw and they would also probably be 4-0. There's lots of luck in every playing career, and some get luckier than others. The only season I'd say the Colts were "robbed" of a Super Bowl is 2005, otherwise I think Manning's Colts career went about as good as it could have.

Honorable Mentions: Matt Hasselbeck (5-3 record, probably our best backup ever) and Dan Orlovsky (just for saving us from a completely defeated season).
Dishonorable Mentions: Jeff George and Kerry Collins (being very bad at QB isn't very uncommon for Indy Colts QBs, but these guys were so bad and toxic they dragged down the abilities of everyone on the team and are actively hated by most fans)
submitted by chadowan to Colts [link] [comments]

The Patriots Will Be Just Fine Without Tom Brady This Season

As we all know, Tom Brady is no longer a New England Patriot. The vast majority of sports fans now believe that the door is opened for the Buffalo Bills to step up and finally win the division title for the first time since 1995. I’m now hearing a lot of people say that the Patriots will finish the season with somewhere between 5-7 wins. As a Jets fan, I would love nothing more than to buy into this projection but I have to be realistic. While I certainly do not expect the Brady-less Patriots to measure up to their performance in the last decade, I do think the public is overreacting to his departure. We are talking about a team that has consistently posted double-digit wins since 2002 and 12 or more wins in 9 of the last 10 seasons. So with all factors considered, I am going to predict their season as honestly and accurately as possible.
Let’s start with their defense. There is no denying that the New England defense was the best last year, allowing an average of 275.9 yards/game, 47 sacks, and a league-high 25 interceptions. Although they lost linebackers Jamie Collins and Kyle Van Noy during the offseason, they are still projected to be a top 3 defense next year in just about every ranking. Now, they took a lot of heat for not drafting a QB in the 2020 Draft and they have shown no interest in signing quarterbacks Andy Dalton, Jameis Winston, or Cam Newton throughout the entire offseason. Some people are throwing out the idea that they may be tanking in the hope to pick up Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence, but the idea is ultimately ridiculous as the Patriots are not the type of team to tank. If there is any coach in the NFL that you don’t question, it’s Bill Belichick. The man can put Sony Michel at starting quarterback and I would be forced to believe, “You know what, he probably knows what he’s doing!” So you better believe that if Bill Belichick is this confident in starting 23-year-old Jarrett Stidham, then I have no reason to think otherwise. So we will likely see an offense led by WRs Julian Edelman and N’Keal Harry and RB’s Sony Michel and James White. With a defense likely to produce similar numbers to last season, the greatest coach of all time, and a mostly veteran team, if Stidham can produce then we must not rule the Patriots out as playoff contenders.
Now, let us look at the Patriots 2020 schedule (scroll down for my predictions for each week’s matchup). Based on the 2019 standings, the Patriots have the most difficult schedule in the upcoming season. However, the Buffalo Bills and the New York Jets don’t have it too easy either. In addition to having to verse the Bills twice as always, the Patriots will have to suit up against the Chiefs, the Seahawks, the 49ers, and the Ravens. Yikes! And the rest of their matchups outside of the AFC East will likely not come too easy either in the Broncos, the Chargers, the Raiders, the Cardinals, the Rams, and the Texans. These are all teams that are projected to have 7+ wins next season.
Within their division, I expect the Patriots to sweep the Jets and secure the win both times around. Although it is possible that the Jets have a top 10 defense next season, their offense just can’t seem to produce against New England. Last season the Jets lost 33-0 and 14-30 in these matchups. To make matters worse, New York’s 2 touchdowns were not even offensive touchdowns!!! The Dolphins somehow always manage to split wins with the Patriots, and I don’t see that changing with the Dolphins in full rebuild mode and the Patriots...well, you know. The Dolphins have made a lot of changes to their roster and it will take some figuring out, so I think there’s a good chance that New England takes the win Week 1 at home and then loses week 14. For the Bills, I’m also predicting split wins. The Patriots won both matchups last season in low-scoring one-possession games. I think both offenses will struggle in these matchups next year and it’ll be interesting to see these games play out, as they will likely be a determining factor in the division title. So I’m predicting the Patriots to go 4-2 within their division. Now let’s talk about their easier but not-so-easy remaining matchups.
In their toughest matchups against the Seahawks, the 49ers, the Chiefs, and the Ravens, I am predicting that they will go 1-3. I don’t think they will be favored in any of these 4 matchups, but I think the odds of losing all 4 are pretty unlikely. The Ravens defense can certainly compete with that of the Patriots. New England’s pass defense is certainly better than their rushing defense, and the Ravens are a team that averaged just about 206 rushing yards per game. They smoked the Patriots with Tom Brady, and I don’t expect a different outcome without him. We have a similar situation in San Francisco; the 49ers seemed to be able to produce offensively against every team, but I cannot say the same for a Brady-less offense going up against the 49ers defense. I’m giving San Francisco the win. As for the Chiefs, there’s just no stopping that offense, and I just don’t see the Patriots being able to keep up. So that leaves Seattle. The Patriots haven’t played the Seahawks since 2016, but the Patriots defense is going to have Russell Wilson scrambling. The Patriots offense can definitely produce against the Seattle defense that allowed 381.6 yards/game on average last season. Maybe the Seahawks can find some success in the run game but I’m still going to give New England a slight edge in this matchup.
Now, let us look at the Patriots matchups against the Cardinals, the Raiders, the Broncos, the Chargers, the Texans, and the Rams. Although I think the Cardinals had a great offseason, they have done little to improve a defense that allowed a league-high 402 yards/game last year. They allowed 23+ points to opponents in all but 2 games last year, and that’s not something you can do when you’re up against New England. I’m not too high on the Raiders this year either, as I wouldn’t be surprised to see them finish at the bottom of their division. I don’t think the Raiders’ offense led by Derek Carr is significantly better than that of the Patriots. I think these defensive mismatches will lead the Patriots to take both of these games at home. The Broncos and the Chargers are very similar; they have possibly a top 10 defense and young QB with some solid offensive weapons. I’m not sold on Drew Lock just yet, he hasn’t been tested against a top defense like the Patriots’ so I think the Patriots will win in a close low-scoring matchup at home. I have the Patriots losing to the Chargers on the road week 13. By then, I expect that Justin Herbert will be the starting quarterback and they will sort of have things figured out. The Houston Texans I have finishing third in their division next year. This game is a huge coaching mismatch, and I think Deshaun Watson’s issues with Bill O’Brien are deeper than just the Hopkins trade. As for their matchup against the LA Rams, this is their first meeting since the 2019 Super Bowl and I’m sure the Rams will be highly motivated to win this game, especially if they wish to secure a wildcard spot. However, I expect the Patriots defense to pressure Jared Goff and force some turnovers and the Rams defense just isn’t what it was two seasons ago. Realistically, this matchup can go either way but I don’t see the Patriots getting back-to-back losses in LA so I’m going to give them a very slight edge. So, I’m predicting that the Patriots win 4-5 of these 6 matchups. So, overall I’m projecting the Patriots to finish the season with 9-10 wins. See below for my predicted outcomes for each matchup.
Week 1: Miami Dolphins Win (1-0)
Week 2: @ Seattle Seahawks Win (2-0)
Week 3: Las Vegas Raiders Win (3-0)
Week 4: @ Kansas City Chiefs Loss (3-1)
Week 5: Denver Broncos Win(4-1)
Week 6: Bye Week
Week 7: San Francisco 49ers Loss (4-2)
Week 8: @ Buffalo Bills Loss (4-3)
Week 9: @ New York Jets Win (5-3)
Week 10: Baltimore Ravens Loss (5-4)
Week 11: @ Houston Texans Win (6-4)
Week 12: Arizona Cardinals Win (7-4)
Week 13: @ Los Angeles Chargers Loss (7-5)
Week 14: @ Los Angeles Rams Win (8-5)
Week 15: @ Miami Dolphins Loss (8-6)
Week 16: Buffalo Bills Win (9-6)
Week 17: New York Jets Win (10-6)
While the New England Patriots might not be in the Super Bowl conversation for the upcoming season, they’re certainly not going to roll over with the coaching of Bill Belichick and Josh McDaniels. ESPN reporters on average predicted that they would go 9-7, the betting line for their win total has been set at 9, and despite what everyone thinks the Bills are not heavily favored to win the division. The Bills are in win-now mode; they’ve built a solid defense and given Josh Allen the necessary weapons to make a playoff run. But with all factors considered, it would be naive of us to rule the Patriots out as a result of Tom Brady’s departure. We saw them go 12-4 last season where Brady did not perform like a top ten quarterback, so if Jarrett Stidham is even half as talented as Bill Belichick is leading us to believe, then a 10-6 season for the Patriots is a very realistic outcome.
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100+ Matchup Notes for Week 11

Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions

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Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (-2.5)

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Buffalo Bills (-6.5) at Miami Dolphins

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Denver Broncos at Minnesota Vikings (-10)

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New Orleans Saints (-5.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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New York Jets at Washington Redskins (-2.5)

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Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers (-4.5)

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Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens (-4)

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Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-10.5)

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Cincinnati Bengals at Oakland Raiders (-11.5)

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New England Patriots (-3.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

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Chicago Bears at Los Angeles Rams (-6)

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Kansas City Chiefs (-4) at Los Angeles Chargers (Mexico City)

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Hey all, here is this week's matchup notes pulled from the weekly NFL pick'em article over at FantasyData.com. The best way to get the most out of this is to simply look for the players in the matchup that you may have questions about this week and hopefully you'll find some answers there. There are also some nuggets in here for sports betting in case you're looking to put money on any gams this week, but they can also be really helpful for fantasy as well. If you've been following this post every week, first of all, thank you! But just a heads up, I have a bye next week so there won't be any notes for Week 12. Good luck this week!
submitted by FantasyFerguson to fantasyfootball [link] [comments]

I Wrote The Playoff Gambling Manifesto For 2020

Edit: Just saw the article in The Outline about this sub. As I worked on this for the better part of an hour, I'm gonna leave it up.
It's been nearly two years since the last Gambling Manifesto was posted to TheRinger.com. And while I hope Bill is enjoying retirement, I am enough of a degenerate gambler and pop culture consumer that I feel able to make a copy of a copy of Bill's classic work. Even more importantly, I'm a person who misses Bill's writing so much, that I decided to be the Vladimir Lenin to Bill's Karl Marx and take someone else's well-thought-out-but controversial manifesto, run with it and ultimately end up creating something that will horrify much of Western civilization.
So please enjoy the 2020 edition of the Gamblers Manifesto version 5.0, written by me, u/IReviewFakeAlbums
RULE NO. 1: Beware the "Looked a Little Too Good the Previous Round" team
Both favorites on the NFC Wildcard side of the bracket are unlikely to fall into this category. The lines for both games feel a little low. I realize that Doug Pederson is still the coach of the Eagles, but when you are starting Corey Coleman and Sammie Coates in a playoff game, you should be a bigger home dog than 2 points. Neither Coleman nor Coates are starting for the Eagles, but the fact that you probably didn’t double-check that lie says all you need to know about the Eagles’ current WR corps. Should the Eagles keep the magic alive against the Seahawks (they won’t), they would be an automatic “Looked a Little Too Good” team.
As for the Saints, I fully anticipate they will come out looking to right so many postseason wrongs this season. And it begins with a revenge game against the team on the winning side of the Minneapolis Miracle. The Saints will be so sick of hearing “DIGGS! SIDELINE! TOUCHDOWN!” that they will do everything in their power to make people forget that ever happened. Even still, the Saints could still win this game 31-13 and that would fall in line with my expectations. Therefore, they wouldn’t look “too good.”
Nothing about Houston or Buffalo looked good in Week 17. I am willing to wager that Josh Allen and Devin Singletary, while great against middling-to-bad squads, won’t be able to keep up with Houston, despite Bill O’Brien’s best effort. The Bills went 1-4 this year against playoff teams, with two losses coming to inter-divisional rival New England and making The Bills this years Good Bad Team. While both contests with the Pats were competitive, their failure to win either ultimately swung the division (and a first-round bye) to the Patriots. Houston, meanwhile, rested many of their starters in preparation for this opening-round game. Bill O’Brien will never be confused for Bill Belichick, and his postseason record reflects as much, at 1-3. Outside a 2-touchdown win by either team, there is really no way anyone leaves Houston looking a little too good.
That leaves us with Tennessee and New England. Either of these teams could easily be the “Looked A Little Too Good” Team. The Patriots are limping into the playoffs. After starting 8-0 against one of the easiest schedules in living memory, the Pats finished the season 4-4, with two wins and three losses coming against playoff teams (Eagles and Bills for the wins, Chiefs, Ravens and Texans for the losses). However, their other two wins were an ugly victory against the erratic Cowboys and a tanking Bengals. One of the losses isn’t bad as it came at the hands of the Super Bowl favorite Baltimore Ravens. However… the final game of the season, with a first-round by on the line, the Pats were playing at home against a Dolphins team who were a 16-point dog with nothing to play for... And the Pats promptly pooed all over themselves. We might easily look back on the 2019 season and say with certainty that it was the time that Brady fell off the map, but it was masked by a hot start. This game is a perfect opportunity to throw everyone off the current Brady scent. Cover the spread against a hot Tennessee team and the Pats will definitely move the line a point or 1.5 against the Ravens. It might even drop the line against Lamar Jackson and the Ravens to single digits. But it won’t be enough. Stay away from whichever team comes out of Foxboro, no matter what.

RULE No. 2: Don't bet against God, puppies or gambling theories from Pakistan.
Tim Tebow has been out of the league since 2015. Kurt Warner doesn’t want his sons to play football. Nick Foles has been banished to The Bad Place with the Jacksonville Jaguars. No obvious teams to avoid, except perhaps, based solely on their name, the Saints.

RULE NO. 3: Don't try to talk yourself into a "Nobody Believes In Us" team
I originally had a whole section typed up for this, but that was before the Minnesota Vikings and Philadelphia Eagles were LEFT OUT OF ALL OF THE NFL’S PROMOTIONAL PLAYOFF MATERIAL. When even your own league forgets about you, then you can claim the “Nobody Believes In Us” mantle. However, the Eagles are part of my section on why they can’t be the “Nobody Believes In Us” team, so I will keep that in (see below) and award the title of “Nobody Believes In Us Team” solely to the Minnesota Vikings with Philly as an honorary mention.
This is a rule that is part science, part art. So I will do my best to quantify some sub-rules that should be considered for this rule.
  1. If you have 12 wins or more, people automatically believe in you. That rules out Baltimore, Green Bay, New Orleans, San Francisco, Kansas City and New England
  2. If you’ve played in a Super Bowl in the last three years, people will remember those wins and therefore believe in you. That rules out New England (again) and Philadelphia
  3. If your quarterback has won an MVP in the last decade, your team is never really out of it and therefore, people believe in you. That rules out the Patriots (again again), The Packers and Chiefs (again).
Despite playing against each other in the Super Bowl only two years ago, the most likely “Nobody Believes In Us” teams this year are the Eagles and Patriots. This is also insane considering these two teams account for four of the last five Super Bowl titles. A crazier stat, 8 of the last 10 Super Bowl champions and 4 of the last 10 runners-up are playing in the postseason. But with New England clearly struggling and the Eagles players forming lines to get into the medical tent, these are the two teams most likely to have nobody believe in them. You too should not believe in them.
RULE NO. 4: Beware of any team that might use a major off-field distraction as a galvanizing force leading up to a big playoff game.
The Patriots could have qualified for this had the Antonio Brown story broke around Thanksgiving, but we’re now 3 months and 14 games since Mr. Big Chest left New England. By NFL standards, all the playoff teams are relatively tame. Either players are wising up and not behaving quite as badly, or players are wising up and are getting better at hiding their naughty behavior. Either way, no real team really falls into this camp.
RULE NO. 5: Beware of the “Everybody Believes In Us” team.
Lamar Jackson will undoubtedly win MVP. Anything else would be a travesty. But unfortunately, with that comes the expectation that everyone believes in you. After starting the season 2-2, Baltimore ripped off 12 straight wins, with five coming against playoff teams. Needless to say, the Baltimore Ravens are above and beyond the “Everybody Believes In Us” team.
RULE NO. 6: Never pick an underdog unless you genuinely believe that it has a chance to win.
Miraculously, Seattle is only a 2-point favorite so the easiest choice for this rule is Philadelphia. I know that they also get some juice for being an also-ran in the Nobody Believes In Us team, but playing at home is an enormous advantage. And while it’s not the early game, west coast teams traveling East have struggled. I don’t believe strongly enough in the Eagles winning outright so I’d advise betting the Hawks.
RULE NO. 7: Beware of all dome teams playing outdoors, especially in cold weather.
I have no idea what this means, but 10 of the 12 playoff teams play outdoors. That’s 83% of teams in the playoffs that play outdoors, while 75% of NFL stadiums are outdoors. I’m guessing this is just statistical noise, but I already typed this out and did the research so I’ll leave it in. In this postseason, only the Saints and Vikings play indoors. And if the Saints win, they’ll be off to… oh… oh no…. Well let’s just not be surprised if the Packers waltz into the Conference Championship game after Drew Brees is frozen in carbonite like Han Solo at the end of The Empire Strikes Back (If Bill were still alive, he would hate that a Star Wars reference was being used in his manifesto). I have an update to this stat from the last manifesto, and can confirm: Dome teams are 4-25 in the playoffs when they’re outdoors and it’s 35 degrees or colder. Now, if Minnesota pulls off the upset, play in Santa Clara. This rule doesn’t apply nearly as much as the current temps are in the 60s. That’s like August for Minnesotans. Feel free to discard this rule for the first round at least.
RULE NO. 8: Beware of any and all aging QBs in cold weather unless they drink half their body weight in water every day, get 10 hours of sleep, master every conceivable pliability exercise, have lots of sex with a supermodel wife, don’t drink alcohol, don’t eat inflammatory foods, don’t smoke or do drugs, improbably become faster in their late 30s and basically behave like an alien.
I think Bill sometimes writes these rules specifically with his team in mind.
RULE NO. 9: Severely discount anything that happened in the first five to six weeks of the regular season.
This is where I remind you that the Pats started the season not only 6-0, but 8-0 and then I think Bill sometimes writes these rules unintentionally with his team in mind. I also should remind you that the Bills started the season at 4-1 with their only loss coming against the aforementioned Pats. Since then, they are 6-5 and have put up 20 points or fewer in 6 of those games.
Meanwhile, since back-to-back losses to the Texans and Colts - as well as a lucky come-from-behind win against the Lions in one of the weirdest three-week stretches any team had this season - the Chiefs have been ON FIRE. The defense has steadily improved and Mahomes has the offense firing on all cylinders. They’ve scored at least 23 points since week 6.
RULE NO. 10: When in doubt, gravitate toward one pick that (a) would screw over the most gamblers and experts, and (b) would definitely go against the single worst gambler you know.
I don’t have an Adam Carolla in my life but I do have a few friends who thought that Oklahoma was gonna cover against LSU. And they seem to be picking the Chiefs. I’m quickly discovering this whole manifesto is a way for me to talk out of both sides of my mouth. No idea why Bill gave it up, it’s a blast!
RULE NO. 11: Don’t ever talk yourself into a terrible QB, ever, for any reason.
This season isn’t a truly TERRIBLE QB that is in the playoffs. No, Kirk Cousins isn’t a world-beater like his predecessor Case Keenum (I can sense some eye twitching coming up from the Super Dome) but he’s probably the closest thing to a terrible QB this postseason. But compared to past years of Conner Cook, TJ Yates and Andy Dalton, Cousins is a shining star of competence and consistency.
It’s an incomplete proxy to NFL ability, but 9 of the starting QBs in this postseason finished the season in the top 15 in fantasy points-per-game. Only Cousins (18), Tom Brady (17) and Jimmy Garoppolo (22) fall outside that range. I see Cousins as simply one more of a reason to stay away from betting Minnesota than I see him as the one negative that is stopping me from picking them.
RULE NO. 12: Beware of any team that celebrated the previous weekend’s victory like it had just won the Super Bowl.
Five of this year's playoff teams have backed into the postseason. Seattle lost to San Francisco, Houston lost to Tennessee, and we already mentioned New England. This rule really applies to wildcard teams because teams in the top 2-3 seeds definitely have higher aspirations and aren’t just happy to be here. The Bills, Vikings and Texans all lost but had nothing to play for. They most certainly don’t feel like they just won the Super Bowl.
Philadelphia (who I’ve already warned you about) fit this category pretty well. They not only won their fourth straight, but did it against all interdivisional rivals. That’s a pretty great way to do it, right? Not only do you win, but even better, your enemies lose.
In that vein, there’s one other team I’d worry about falling victim to this rule. I would worry juuuust a little about the 49ers. They didn’t simply lock up a playoff spot, they beat their divisional rival to take the 1-seed. With time off the field, is it possible that the 49ers lose their edge? It is, but I don’t even buy this cold take.
RULE NO. 13: Before you wager on a team, make sure “Marty Schottenheimer, Herm Edwards, Wade Phillips, Norv Turner, Andy Reid, Dan Quinn, John Fox, Jason Garrett, Anyone Named Mike, Anyone Described As Andy Reid’s Pupil and Anyone With the Last Name Mora” isn’t its head coach.
Andy Reid, you old so-and-so! Bill’s article was written back in January of 2018. Over a year before the AFC Championship game where, with 2:03 left in the fourth quarter, the Kansas City Chiefs drove down the field, scored the go-ahead TD and we as a collective footballing body said in unison “Oh they’ve scored too early.”
You all remember what happened next. Brady ran ANOTHER 2-minute drill, scored the TD and reminded everyone why they love and hate Brady like they love and hate Walter White “HE CANT KEEP GETTING AWAY WITH IT!” we all screamed at our televisions after the touchdown. Yes the Chiefs tied it to send it to OT but Brady just re-did exactly what he did at the end of the 4th quarter and banished Andy Reid to another year of NFL Bridesmaidery.
Andy Reid has learned his lessons. That is something we’ve all been saying since 2004.
And while Mike Zimmer (EDIT: And Mike Vrabel) both meet the “Mike” portion of this rule, Zimmer is like the Kirk Cousins of coaches. Merely another factor to sit the Minnesota game out and not some unknown variable. You know you’ll be glad you stayed away from Minnesota when it’s 10 minutes left in the first half, the Saints are up 20-3 and Joe Buck says “Let’s see if Kirk Cousins has a little bit of Case Keenum’s secret stuff”. And you’ll smile at your television because you know he does not. As for Mike Vrabel, I think he can keep it close in New England, having spent so much time there. He could win and cover the spread.
RULE NO. 14: Before every playoff game, rate the coaches and quarterbacks from 1 to 10, add up their scores, then make sure you’re OK backing a team with said score.
I wanted to tweak this rule just slightly. Instead of doing an arbitrary 1-10 valuation, I wanted to rank the coaches and the QBs 1-12 and then total up their scores, with low number being an indicator of a better combo. This may not work well, because you could say Lamar Jackson and Pat Mahomes both deserve that 1-spot. Or maybe you’d say both Kirk Cousins and Josh Allen deserve the 12 spot. But look at me. I’m the Sports Guy Now. So let me experiment.
Here are the results:
  1. Lamar Jackson (1) John Harbaugh (3)
  2. Drew Brees (4) Sean Payton (2)
  3. Pat Mahomes (2) Andy Reid (5)
  4. Russell Wilson (3) Pete Carroll (6)
  5. Tom Brady (8) Bill Belichick (1)
  6. Jimmy Garoppolo (7) Kyle Shanahan (4)
  7. Aaron Rodgers (6) Matt LaFleur (9)
  8. Carson Wentz (9) Doug Pederson (7)
  9. Deshaun Watson (5) Bill O’Brien (12)
  10. Ryan Tannehill (10) Mike Vrabel (8)
  11. Josh Allen (11) Sean McDermott (11)
  12. Kirk Cousins (12) Mike Zimmer (10)
This was a surprisingly difficult exercise. A quarter of the coaches on the list are first-timers: Vrabel, Shanahan and LaFleur. These are all Known Unknowns. Who knows what Jimmy G and Shanahan in the postseason are capable of together. Same for Tannehill and Vrabel. For teams like the Packers, coaching doesn’t much matter. Aaron Rodgers is going to give you a boost no matter who's calling the plays. You want to believe the 1-seed is safe, but going through this manifesto, I’m feeling like going to end up staying away from the 49ers, except for one bet. Right now, a George Kittle MVP futures bet is sitting at +3,300. If the 49ers have any chance at a Super Bowl, they're going to be leaning on Gronk 2.0. Put $10 on it and enjoy your $330.
After the Known Unknowns, we have the Unknown Knowns. This is Pete Carroll, Doug Pederson, Sean McDermott and Mike Zimmer. All have had some level of success but all have left the postseason feeling disappointed. Pete Carroll is one Marshawn Lynch run away from a second Super Bowl. Doug Pederson is so much a wildcard that who knows who he is. Sean McDermott has one other playoff appearance so he’s not entirely known, especially with Josh Allen, but having watched the Bills play the last 4 weeks of the season like it's the playoffs, I feel like I know McDermott’s Bills. Mike Zimmer is a perpetual yo-yo vacillating between euphoria with a touch of good luck (DIGGS! SIDELINE! TOUCHDOWN) and sheer horror with a pound of bad luck (we’re only a few postseasons removed from when Blair Walsh missed a field goal from the 10-yard line! I know it’s unfair to criticize kickers. They have an outsized role in games and they are often the first target of ire for fans. They’re kinda like refs in that you know they’re there and an integral part of the game, but you hate how hugely important they are). Have these men learned past lessons? It’s unknown.
Lastly, we have our Known Knowns. Led by the leader of the Known Knowns, Bill Belichick, this group also includes Sean Payton, John Harbaugh, and for less jubilant reasons, Andy Reid and Bill O’Brien. It would not surprise me if any of these coaches won the whole thing (with one obvious exception). They are all at their peak, and that is a compliment (with one obvious exception) and all have QBs that fall into one of two lists: He is either so incredibly talented that he can win you the game single handedly or he was once so incredibly talented and has been around long enough that while he’s become slightly less talented, he’s far more intelligent than the opposing defense.
As for the QBs, there are some of the same issues. 8 of these QBs have some postseason experience. Wentz, Tannehill, Allen and Garoppolo have not played a postseason game before. So these four are easily Known Unknowns.
Our Unknown Knowns:
Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson & Kirk Cousins. All three have played in, and lost, one playoff game in their careers. While we think we know Lamar after his MVP 2019 season, anyone who watched the Divisional Round game last year against the Chargers will know that NOBODY was putting big bucks down on a Lamar-for-MVP futures bet. This will be Cousins first postseason game since 2015 when he played for the Washington Professional Football Franchise. I’ve already discussed his known quantities, but he is such a high-variance play, he’s still unknown in the postseason. Watson has shown since college that he can win, but what does Bill O’Brien have hidden up his sleeve?
The Known Knowns:
Pat Mahomes is what Lamar and Deshaun will be next year at this time. He’s already had his incredible playoff run that was turned sour by an inferior Pats team (it’s the fate that awaits all who challenge Vader and the Emper- sorry, Brady and Belichick). Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers round out the Known Knowns. To paraphrase the late Dennis Green: THEY ARE WHO WE [Think] THEY [are]! Each has the pedigree and tenure to lead their teams to a title and each (aside from Brady) can benefit their legacy greatly by winning one more ring, or in Mahomes’s case, a first ring.
RULE NO. 15: Don’t try to be a hero, just try to win money.
This article is getting long and has given me a new appreciation for the sheer volume of content that Simmons put out. In honor of that, I am taking his passage from the 2018 manifesto and simply updating the names for 2020. Back then, he wrote:
Take it from the guy who talked himself into Miami’s backup QB in Pittsburgh last January. My case included tidbits like “Could Adam Gase put himself on the map as this year’s Hot New Coach?” and “Could [Matt] Moore manage the game, avoid turnovers and make a couple of big throws?” before I ultimately and hilariously decided, “I’m grabbing the 10 points even if it violates about four different Playoff Manifesto rules.” The Dolphins lost 30-12. Don’t be a hero.
So I will just say:
Take it from the guy who talked himself into CHICAGO’S STARTING QB in CHICAGO last January. My case included tidbits like “Could MATT NAGY put himself on the map as this year’s Hot New Coach?” and “Could MITCH TRUBISKY manage the game, avoid turnovers and make a couple of big throws?” before I ultimately and hilariously decided, “I’m LAYING the 6.5 points even if it violates about four different Playoff Manifesto rules.” The BEARS lost ON A DOUBLE DOINK. Don’t be a hero.
We're just living in parallel universes.
RULE NO. 16: Take one last look at the quarterbacks.
I’m OK taking any of the Known Knowns and Lamar. The rest? We just don’t know enough. See rule 15
RULE NO. 17: There’s plenty of time to bet against any QB or coach.
Whoever comes out of that AFC 4-5 matchup between Houston and Buffalo either has to go to an amped-up Baltimore or Kansas City in the dead of winter. Sit the wildcard game out and put whatever you would’ve bet on that game, put it on Lamar + John Harbaugh or Mahomes + Andy Reid in the Divisional round.
My picks for Round 1 …
(All picks losers or your money back)
(Home teams in CAPS.)
SAINTS (-8) over Vikings
New Orleans is going to do everything possible to have people forget about the 2018 Divisional Round game. And while that won’t happen, people might remember the 2009 matchup where the Saints came out on top and forced Brett Favre into retirement. Minnesota will need Dalvin Cook healthy. If he’s not ready, Stefon Diggs, Mike Boone and Alexander Mattison are basically the MadCatz GameCube controller version of Michael Thomas, Alvin Kamara, and Latavius Murray’s PS2 controller. As the game goes on and New Orleans puts up points by land and by air, the Vikings will be forced to make riskier and risker moves; which is NOT what this Vikings team was built on. As they do, the Saints secondary picks apart Cousins and Dalvin is pulled midway through the 4th. Saints win in a blowout 31-13 and it’s never close
Titans (+4.5) over PATRIOTS
Some day, Tom Brady will be done. He’s already looked done in the regular season. But Brady doesn’t care about the regular season. To him and the undying machine that is the New England Patriots, the postseason is the only time that matters. He will drag this Pats team kicking and screaming to one more victory. I can feel it in my bones. Pats win 24-20, and we take this as a sign of Brady’s mortality. Because good teams win, but great teams like Tennessee cover.
TEXANS (-2.5) over Bills
AKA The Shakeys Game. I have no idea what to think about this one. Both teams gave us nothing the final week of the season. In theory, there is lot of offensive firepower on the Houston side versus a stout Buffalo defense. And on the other side, a middling Buffalo offense against a so-so Houston defense. In the end, give me the team with Deshaun and Nuk over Josh Allen and John Brown and I’ll lay the points. Texans win, 23-16
Seahawks (-2.5) over EAGLES
This game will swing on one thing: Carson Wentz. He is the Three-Six Mafia of quartebacks: The Most Known Unknown. His wide receivers are actually unknown unknowns because we can’t be certain 1) he has any receivers and 2) that they’ve ever played professional football before this weekend. Yes Seattle is limping into the postseason (1-3 in their last 4), but with Marshawn back and a few more practices under his belt (and also, is it possible that Travis Homer is actually good? 62 rush yards and 30 receiving yards against SF is nothing to joke about) this team is ready to make a surprise run. But they can’t risk overlooking the Eagles, who they already played in Philadelphia and beat. I predict the Eagles will jump out to a hot start only to be let down by their anemic defense and near-dead wide receivers. Seahawks pull away late in the 4th and win 28-23.
If you’ve made it this far, I commend and appreciate you. I hope you enjoyed this iteration of the manifesto. If you do decide to take any of my stupid recommendations, In the words of Hill Street Blues (a show I only know about because of previous Gambling Manifestos), let’s be careful out there.

TL;DR: I miss Bill Simmons the writer. If you're gonna gamble, don't pick the Vikings with their sub-par (by playoff standards) QB. Don't pick the Saints to get much past round 2 when they have to go Green Bay in round 2. Everyone believes in the Ravens. Therefore, you shouldn't. The Eagles are too much of an unknown to be trusted. Andy Reid should never be trusted. The Pats will probably win it all, despite no one thinking they will.
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[Game Preview] Week 11 - Philadelphia Eagles(5-4) vs. New England Patriots (8-1)

Philadelphia Eagles (5-4) vs New England Patriots(8-1)
The last two Super Bowl Champions face off in a rematch of Super Bowl LII. It is the first time the two teams will meet since the Eagles defeated New England in Minneapolis 41-33. However it is the Patriots who are the defending champs after winning Super Bowl LIII last season. The Patriots come to the Linc following their first loss of the season at the hands of the Ravens in week 9. Both teams look much different than last time they faced off, as this will be the first time Carson Wentz takes on Brady and Belichick. It will be no easy task for Wentz has he faces off against the league’s top rated pass defense and will do it without his top two WRs in Desean Jackson and Alshon Jeffrey also looks to miss the contest. Look for the Eagles to establish the run early with Jordan Howard and rookie Miles Sanders. The Eagles will also look to get help from some familiar faces they brought back this week in WR Jordan Matthews and RB Jay Ajayi. Ajayi was brought into to replace the injured Darren Sproles who went on the IR Friday with a torn hip flexor. On the other side of the ball the Eagles struggling pass defense got back on track the last two weeks beating up Josh Allen and Mitch Trubisky, but they will face a whole nother animal this week when future Hall of Fame QB Tom Brady comes to town. Brady torched the Eagles secondary in Super Bowl LII to the tune of 505 yards, 3 TDs and no touchdowns. The Eagles secondary will have to be better this week if the Eagles hope to come out with a win. They will look for help from the pass rush which has come alive of late with 7 sacks in their last two games. They need need to get pressure on Brady and force him to dump it down and prevent the big play, something the Eagles have struggled with this season. If the Eagles can control the tempo and use the running game to give Tom Brady off the field, they have a shot to hand the Patriots their second loss of the season.
General Information
Posting Rules and Guidelines
Remember to Join us on Discord during the game!
New to the Eagles? Take a look at our New Fan Page!
Date
Sunday, November 17, 2019
Game Time Game Location
4:25 PM - Eastern Lincoln Financial Field
3:25 PM - Central 1020 Pattison Ave
2:25 PM - Mountain Philadelphia, PA 19148
1:25 PM - Pacific Wikipedia - Map
Weather Forecast
Stadium Type: Open Air
Surface: Grass
Temperature: 38°F
Feels Like: 29°F
Forecast: Possible Light Rain. Partly cloudy throughout the day.
Chance of Precipitation: 39%
Cloud Coverage: 100%
Wind: NNE 16 MPH
Betting Odds
Oddsshark Information
Favorite/Opening Line: New Endland -3.5
OveUnder: 45
Record VS. Spread: Eagles 4-5, Patriots 6-3
Where to Watch on TV
*CBS will broadcast Sunday’s game to a regional audience. Jim Nantz will handle play-by-play duties and Tony Romo will provide analysis and call the plays before they happen. Tracy Wolfson will report from the sidelines.
TV Map - Week 11 TV Coverage Map
Internet Streams
NFL Streams - Look here 30 minutes before the game for Streams
Radio Streams
Disclaimer: Subscription Based Official NFL Radio Streams available via TuneIn
List of Eagles Radio network member stations with internet broadcast availability
Radio.com 94.1 Desktop Streaming
Listen to Merrill Reese and Mike Quick
Calling the game on 94WIP and the Eagles Radio Network will be Merrill Reese, the NFL’s longest-tenured play-by-play announcer (42nd season). Joining Reese in the radio booth will be former Eagles All-Pro wide receiver Mike Quick, while Howard Eskin will report from the sidelines.
Location Station Frequency
Philadelphia, PA WIP-FM 94.1 FM and 610 AM
Allentown, PA WCTO-FM 96.1 FM
Atlantic City/South Jersey WENJ-FM 97.3 FM
Levittown, PA WBCB-AM 1490 AM
Northumberland, PA WEGH-FM 107.3 FM
Pottsville, PA WPPA-AM 1360 AM
Reading, PA WEEU-AM 830 AM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WAFL-FM 97.7 FM
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, PA WEJL-FM 96.1 FM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WAFL-FM 97.7 FM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WEJL-AM 630 AM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WBAX-AM 1240 AM
Williamsport, PA WBZD-FM 93.3 FM
Wilmington, DE WDEL-FM/AM 101.7 FM
York/LancasteHarrisburg, PA WSOX-FM 96.1 FM
Philadelphia Spanish Radio
Rickie Ricardo, Macu Berral and Gus Salazar will handle the broadcast in Spanish on Mega 105.7 FM in Philadelphia and the Eagles Spanish Radio Network.
Location Station Frequency
Philadelphia, PA LA MEGA 105.7 FM
Allentown, PA WSAN 1470 AM
Atlantic City, NJ WIBG 1020 AM; 101.3 FM
Patriots Radio
Patriots Radio Network Socci returns for his seventh season in the booth as play-by-play broadcasters on 98.5 The Sports Hub. Socci is joined in the booth by former Patriots quarterback Scott Zolak, who's entering his eighth season as action analyst.
National Radio
ESPN Radio will broadcast the game to a national audience with Adam Amin on play-by-play and Jack Del Rio providing analysis and Sal Paolantonio reporting from the sidelines.
Satellite Radio
Station Eagles Channel Patriots Channel
Sirius Radio SIRI 82 (Internet 825) SIRI 134 (Internet 805)
XM Radio XM 227 (Internet 825) (Internet 820)
Sirius XM Radio SXM 227 (Internet 825) SXM 384 (Internet 805)
Eagles Social Media Patriots Social Media
Website Website
Facebook Facebook
Twitter Twitter
Instagram Instagram
Snapchat: Eagles Snapchat: Patriots
NFC East Standings
NFC EAST Record PCT Home Road Div Conf PF PA Net Pts Streak
Cowboys 5-4 .556 3-2 2-2 4-0 4-3 251 170 +81 1L
Eagles 5-4 .556 3-1 2-3 1-1 3-4 224 213 +11 2W
Giants 2-8 .200 1-4 1-4 1-2 2-5 203 289 -86 6L
Redskins 1-8 .111 0-4 1-4 0-3 0-6 108 219 -111 3L
Series Information
Philadelphia Eagles lead the New England Patriots in the series, 8-6 (7-5 regular season; 1-1 in playoffs)
Series History
Head to Head Box Scores
First Game Played
November 4, 1973 at Veterans Stadium in Philadelphia, PA. Philadelphia Eagles 24 – New England Patriots 23
Points Leader
The Philadelphia Eagles lead the New England Patriots (345-326)
Coaches Record
Doug Pederson: 1-0 against the Patriots
Bill Belichick: 4-2 against Eagles
Coaches Head to Head
Doug Pederson vs Bill Belichick: Pederson leads 1-0
Quarterback Record
Carson Wentz: Against Patriots: 0-0
Tom Brady: Against Eagles: 4-2
Quarterbacks Head to Head
Carson Wentz vs Tom Brady: First meeting between the QBs
Records per Stadium
Record @ Lincoln Financial Field: Patriots lead 2-0
Record @ Gillette Stadium: Patriots lead 2-1
Rankings and Last Meeting Information
Rankings and Last Meeting Information
AP Pro 32 Ranking
Eagles No. 12 - Patriots No. 2
2019 Record
Eagles: 5-4
Patriots 8-1
Last Meeting
Sunday, February 4th, 2019
Eagles 41 - Patriots 33
In a record-setting shootout between backup QB Foles and five-time champ Brady of the favored Patriots, it was the Eagles who came out victorious. The combined 1,151 yards were the most in any modern NFL game. The game started slow the the teams trading field goals on their opening drives before Fole connected with Jeffrey on a 36 yard TD pass to give the Eagles the 10-7 lead. The Eagles extended the lead after a 4th down stand where they drove down the field and scored on a 21 yard run. The Patriots answered with a FG and a James White TD run following a Nick Foles INT to cut the lead to 15-12 with just over 2 minutes to go in the half. The Eagles marched down the field and went for it on 4th and 1 from one yard line using the now famous Philly Special where Trey Burton hit Nick Foles in the Endzone to give the Eagles a 22-12 lead heading into halftime. The two teams traded scores following half time with the Patriots cutting the lead to one point midway through the 4th on a Gronkowski TD reception. However the Eagles responding with a 7 minute TD drive of their own that ending in a Zach Ertz TD reception. After failing to convert a 2 point conversion. The Patriots got the ball back and Brady looked primed to launch a comeback, but on the second play of the drive he was strip sacked by Brandon Graham and Derek Barnett recovered. The Eagles took an additional minute off the clock before a 46 yard Jake Elliott FG sealed it for the Eagles. Brady got another shot with a minute left in the game, but with no timeouts time wasn’t on his side as the Eagles hung on to give them their first Super Bowl Championship.
Click here to view the Video Recap
Click here for box score
Last 10 Meetings
Date Winner Loser Score
02/04/18 Eagles Patriots 41-33
12/06/15 Eagles Patriots 35-28
11/27/11 Patriots Eagles 38-20
11/25/07 Patriots Eagles 31-28
02/06/05 Patriots Eagles 24-21
09/14/03 Patriots Eagles 31-10
12/19/99 Eagles Patriots 24-9
11/04/90 Eagles Patriots 48-20
11/29/87 Eagles Patriots 34-31
12/09/84 Eagles Patriots 27-17
Injury Reports Depth Charts
Eagles Eagles
Patriots Patriots
2019 “Expert” Picks
Week 11 - "Expert" Picks
2019 Team Stats
Eagles Season Stats
Patriots Season Stats
2019 Stats (Starters/Leaders)
Passing
Name CMP ATT PCT YDS TD INT RAT
Wentz 190 303 62.7% 2060 15 4 93.7
Brady 230 355 64.8% 2536 14 5 93.1
Rushing
Name ATT YDS YDS/G AVG TD
Howard 119 525 53.6 4.4 6
Michel 144 482 52.3 3.3 3
Receiving
Name REC YDS YDS/G AVG TD
Ertz 46 527 58.6 11.5 2
Edelman 63 663 73.7 10.5 4
Sacks
Name Sacks Team Total
Graham 6.0 24
Collins 6.0 32
Tackles
Name Total Solo Assist Sacks
McLeod 49 27 22 0
Collins 48 38 10 6.0
Interceptions
Name Ints Team Total
Gerry 2 8
D.McCourty 5 19
Punting
Name ATT YDS LONG AVG NET IN 20 TB BP
Johnston 34 1467 60 47.6 43.1 13 2 0
Bailey 48 2141 63 44.6 42.0 21 2 0
Kicking
Name ATT MADE % LONG PAT
Elliot 12 12 100.0% 53 20/22
Folk 2 2 100% 22 2/2
Kick Returns
Name ATT YDS AVG LONG TD
Sanders 14 314 22.4 67 0
Bolden 10 227 2.7 28 0
Punt Returns
Name RET YDS AVG LONG TD FC
Sproles 11 86 7.8 17 0 7
Olszewski 20 179 8.9 22 0 16
League Rankings 2019
Offense Rankings
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Patriots Stat Patriots Rank
Total Offense 347.0 20th 366.8 15th
Rush Offense 127.3 11th 92.9 23rd
Pass Offense 219.7 21st 273.9 7th
Points Per Game 24.9 13th 30.0 2nd
3rd-Down Offense 48.4% 3rd 39.7% 16th
4th-Down Offense 35.3% 24th 50.0% 14th(t)
Red Zone Offense (TD%) 63.3% 8th 50.0% 21st(t)
Defense Rankings
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Patriots Stat Patriots Rank
Total Defense 326.3 8th 249.3 1st
Rush Defense 87.3 4th 99.1 11th
Pass Defense 239.0 16th 150.2 2nd
Points Per Game 23.7 15th 10.9 1st
3rd-Down Defense 36.9% 12th 18.9% 1st
4th-Down Defense 55.6% 22nd(t) 35.7% 4th
Red Zone Defense (TD%) 60.7% 25th 45.5% 4th
Team
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Patriots Stat Patriots Rank
Turnover Diff. -1 18th(t) +17 1st
Penalty Per Game 6.6 8th 6.2 7th
Penalty Yards Per Game 58.0 14th 53.8 7th
Connections
Eagles LB/K Kamu Grugier-Hill was drafted by the New England Patriots in the 6th round of the 2016 NFL Draft, he was waived Patriots during final roster cuts and claimed by the Eagles.
Patrick Chung signed with the Eagles in 2013 and he played one season with the team before being released and returning to the Patriots.
Eagles Owner Jeffrey Lurie grew up as a Patriots fan and attempted to purchase Patriots in 1993 before being outbid by Robert Kraft. He purchased the Philadelphia Eagles the following season.
Patriots FB James Devlin grew up in the Philadelphia suburb of Gilbertsville, PA and attended Boyertown High School.
Jim Schwartz was a personnel scout for the Cleveland Browns from 1993-1995 while Bill Belichick was the Head Coach.
Eagles DB Coach Cory Undlin was a defensive assistant under Bill Belichick for the Patriots in 2004.
Eagles TE coach Eugene Chung played three seasons for the Patriots from 1992-1994.
Patriots Special Teams Coordinator Joe Judge was born in Philadelphia and attended Lansdale Catholic High School.
Patriots backup QB Cody Kessler was with the Eagles in training camp in 2019 before being cut by the team.
Eagles WR Jordan Matthews played one season for the Patriots in 2018 before he was released.
2019 Pro Bowlers
Eagles Patriots
DT Fletcher Cox (Starter) QB Tom Brady
OG Brandon Brooks (Starter) CB Stephen Gilmore
TE Zach Ertz (Starter)
Recap from Last Week 9’s Games.
Eagles
Video
The Eagles defense suffocated the Mitch Trubisky led Bears holding them to just 9 yards in the first half, where the Bears trailed 19-0 heading into halftime. The Bears went three-and-out on their first five possessions, gaining minus-10 yards. They didn't get a first down until the final minute of the first half. David Montgomery got the game close in the 4th quarter with a pair of 1 yard touchdown runs. But Philadelphia put it away with 16-play, 69-yard drive capped by Jake Elliott's 38-yard field goal. Wentz completed all four of his third-down passes on the drive for first downs, and the Eagles held the ball for 8:14. The Bears muffed the kick on the ensuing kick and the Eagles recovered to run out the clock and give them the win.
*Patriots
Video From the start of the game the Patriots defense struggled to contain the elusive Lamar Jackson. Jackson and the Ravens jumped out to an early 17-0 lead. The Ravens let the Patriots back into the game after shooting themselves in the foot with a muffed punt that led to an easy Patriots TD. And a Ingram fumble led to an easy FG for Nick Folk and the Ravens took only a 17 point lead into the half. The Patriots looked to be marching down the field in the 3rd before Julien Edleman was stripped and Marlon Humphrey returned it 70 yards for a touchdown. The two teams traded touchdowns before a Tom Brady INT and a methodical 9:35 drive by Baltimore led to another TD to seal the game and end New England’s 13 game winning streak dating back to last season.
General
Referee: Bill Vinovich
The Eagles last played the Patriots in Super Bowl LII, capturing a 41-33 victory to win their first Super Bowl in franchise history.
Including playoffs, Philadelphia owns an 8-6 (.571) record vs. New England all-time (1-0 under Doug Pederson)
Including playoffs, Philadelphia has the 2nd-best home winning percentage (.767, 23-7) in the NFL since 2016, trailing only New England (.879, 29-4).
The Eagles have won 8 of their last 12 contests (.667) at Lincoln Financial Field, as well as 17 of their last 22 home games (.773) overall (including playoffs).
Since becoming the Eagles coach in 2016, Doug Pederson and the Eagles are 2-1 following the bye week.
Since becoming Patriots head coach in 2000, Bill Belichick has recorded a 14-5 mark in the regular season coming off a bye.
Eagles and Patriots will meet in the regular season for the first time since Dec. 6, 2015, when Philadelphia beat New England, 35-28, at Gillette Stadium. This week will mark the Patriots first trip to Philadelphia since Nov. 27, 2011, when the Patriots left with a 38-20 victory.
Philadelphia has produced the 3rd best third-down offense (48.4%) in the NFL, trailing only Dallas (51.4%) and Baltimore (48.6%).
Since 2016, Jordan Howard ranks 2nd in the NFL in rushing yards (3,895), 3rd in rushing attempts (897) and tied for 5th in rushing TDs (30).
Miles Sanders ranks 3rd among NFL running backs in scrimmage yards per touch (6.5), trailing only Duke Johnson (6.8) and James White (6.7). (minimum 75 touches)
The Eagles rank 4th in rush defense (87.3), trailing only Tampa Bay (77.8), NYJ (81.9), and Houston (84.2).
The Patriots defense is leading the league with 19 interceptions through nine games, on pace for 33 on the season. Their 19 picks are already more than the Patriots recorded in 27 of their previous 59 seasons. The most interceptions in the Belichick era was 29 by the 2003 Patriots team.
Draft Picks
Eagles Patriots
OT Andre Dillard WR N’Keal Harry
RB Miles Sanders CB Joejuan Williams
WR JJ Arcega-Whiteside DE Chase Winovich
WR Shareff Miller RB Damien Harris
QB Clayton Thorson OT Yodny Cajuste
OG Hjalte Froholdt
QB Jarrett Stidham
DE Byron Cowart
P Jake Bailey
CB Ken Webster
Notable Off-season Additions
Eagles Patriots
WR Desean Jackson RB Brandon Bolden
DT Malik Jackson LB Jamie Collins
DE Vinny Curry FS Terrence Brooks
S Andrew Sendejo TE Matt LaCosse
DT Hassan Ridgeway TE Benjamin Watson
QB Josh McCown C James Ferentz
OT Marshall Newhouse
QB Cody Kessler
CB Justin Bethel
K Nick Folk
Notable Off-season Departures
Eagles Patriots
QB “Big Dick” Nick Foles TE Rob Gronkowski
DE Michael Bennett DE Adrian Clayborn
DE Chris Long P Ryan Allen
S Chris Maragos OT Trent Brown
RB Jay Ajayi DT Malcom Brown
RB Josh Adams DE Trey Flowers
RB Wendell Smallwood WR Chris Hogan
DT Haloti Ngata WR Cordarrelle Patterson
CB Eric Rowe
OT LaAdrian Waddle
Milestones
Eagles TE Zach Ertz (31) needs 1 TD to move up to 10th on the Eagles all-time receiving TD list all-time tying WR ** to 10th all-time tying WR Ben Hawkins.
Eagles TE Zach Ertz (5354) needs 10 yards to most up to 7th on the Eagles all-time receiving yards list passing Eagles TE/HB Bobby Watson.
Eagles WR Jordan Matthews (2973) needs 27 yards for 3000 career receiving yards.
Eagles WR Jordan Matthews (2973) needs 95 yards for to move up to 20th on the Eagles all-time receiving list passing WR Irving Fryar
Eagles WR Jordan Matthews (21) needs 2 TDs for to move up to 18th on the Eagles all-time receiving TD list tying TE Chad Lewis
Eagles S Malcolm Jenkins's (4) needs 1 more Interception for a TD to tie CB Eric Allen (5) for most Interceptions for a TD by an Eagles player.
Eagles RB Miles Sanders needs (336) needs 302 rushing yards to break LeSean McCoy’s Eagles record for most rushing yards by a rookie in a season.
Eagles RB Miles Sanders needs (641) needs 368 yards of total offense to break Desean Jackson’s Eagles record for most yards of total offense by a rookie in a season.
Patriots WR Julian Edleman (34) needs 3 TDs to move up to 8th on the Patriots all-time receiving TD list tying WR Wes Welker.
Patriots WR Julian Edleman (6053) needs 314 receiving yards to move up to 4th on the Patriots all-time receiving list passing WR Tory Brown.
Patriots QB Tom Brady (531) needs 8 more TD passes to tie the record for most TD passes in the regular season tying QB Peyton Manning. Saints QB Drew Brees on the list with 525 TDs.
Patriots QB Tom Brady(39) needs 1 game with 30 completions to give him 40 games career games with 30 or more completions, breaking a tie with QB Peyton Manning for second-most in NFL history. QB Drew Brees is first with 62 such games.
Pro Football Focus Matchup Charts courtesy of PFF Edge (join.profootballfocus.com/edge/)
[WDB Matchups (CAPS = expected shadow coverage)] To be added when available
Stats to Know
An Odd Year for Brady and Play Action Passing
Historically, Tom “Can’t-Catch-a-Wide-Open-Pass-When-It-Counts” Brady has been near tops in the league in both percentage of dropbacks in Play Action and in Play Action Passer Rating. In 2019, those numbers are down, however, as Brady is 19th in PA % (25.9%) down from 4th at 31.4% last season. While the PA % is down this year from last, it’s still above many previous seasons; it’s just that more teams are employing Play Action at a high frequency, this season. Additionally, typically we see good teams (QBs) have a higher Passer Rating in Play Action than not. Brady is typically not unique in that regard...except this season his PA Passer Rating is only 3.1 points higher than non-PA Passer Rating (95.4 & 92.3) The non-PA Passer Rating is good for 14th, while the PA Passer Rating is good for 27th.
Matchups to Watch
Patriots Secondary vs Eagles Passing Attack
The Patriots and Eagles enter this contest coming off a bye. Prior to the bye, the Patriots defense has been playing at close to historical level per DVOA. It is an incredibly diverse defense that can cover and rush the passer at an elite level. Their defense forces a lot of turnovers and seems to score with more efficiency than some NFL offenses. The Patriots are coming off a loss after playing their first real team of the season; even though Baltimore was able to find success against the Patriots vaunted defense, it is still an incredibly talented unit. The Eagles passing offense has been woefully inept for most of the season forcing them to essentially be a run first team like last year’s Patriots… but without the defense. The Eagles will enter the game with a sorry ass receiving core that could be missing their top target in Alshon Jeffrey. It’s been stunning to watch Agholor regress from the consistently poor play we’ve gotten from him but it goes to show it is possible to hit new lows. Mack Hollins is booty cheeks and JJAW can’t even see the field. The Eagles were wise to re-sign Jordan Matthews, but he’s not the kind of player that can fix this unit. Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert are playing very well but it’s hard to have a passing offense run through tight ends. The Eagles will need their big men to show up as well as have Miles Sanders continue to be a dynamic receiver in space out of the backfield. Opposite them will be Stephon Gilmore – the best CB in the NFL – and a complete secondary that can take away good passing offenses. I would expect the Patriots to take away Ertz and Goedert, forcing the WRs to step up which they likely can’t. The Eagles are more than capable of winning this game but this matchup presents a significant challenge for an already questionable air attack.
Patriots Defensive Front vs Eagles Offensive Line
As previously mentioned, the Eagles are a run first team out of necessity. They are able to function this way due to their terrific offensive line, coaching, and run game diversity. Jordan Howard has played really well for the Eagles when they need a back to create out of structure. While Miles Sanders has struggled as a runner in his early career, he has been showing incremental progress as he gains more experience at the position. This offensive line gets a second crack at a Belichick defense, two years removed from dominating their defensive front in Super Bowl 52. This isn’t the same Patriots defense we saw in February 2008; that Patriots defense finished 31st in DVOA. The Patriots have a lot of good athletes that are disciplined and well-coached. This is a strength vs strength matchup that the Eagles need to win. Both organizations value high-level trench play since they can help control the game. Ideally, the Eagles would possess a better passing attack. Maybe that passing attack will be better after the bye week but no one should count on that at the moment. For now, Philadelphia needs to keep finding success with the diverse and dominating rushing attack to keep the offense on schedule against a very dangerous defense.
Patriots Passing Attack vs Eagles Secondary
The last two games have yielded good results for the Eagles defense; by reading the box scores, you be convinced that the Eagles defense has been completely fixed and they’ll have nothing to worry about. When you study the tape of these two games, you’ll realize the Eagles have been gifted by their opponents lack of real QBs. Tom Brady hasn’t been an electric passer this year nor do the Patriots run up the score like they have during other years in their dynasty with strong offensive performances. However, like the defense, this is a smart, well-coached offense that can take advantage of a defenses weakness. It’s obvious to everyone that even with the return of their injured CBs, the Eagles secondary is still a piece of work. Jalen Mills and Ronald Darby have stopped some of the bleeding but they are just lipstick on a pig. Philly’s LBs are still a bit of a liability, especially in the absence of Nigel Bradham, and will likely be exploited. Malcolm Jenkins has had a down year in coverage. Jim Schwartz, while a good DC, still has coverage assignments for his players at times that put them in lose/lose situations. The Patriots offense, led by Tom Brady, will see and exploit the weaknesses you have on your team. The Eagles are bad against play action – what do you think we’ll see? Defending screens are a problem… enter James White. Double moves? You got it. The defense has coverage breakdowns consistently against the Bills and Bears, they were just incapable of taking advantage of that. They no longer have the benefit of playing cupcake QBs. The Eagles offense isn’t built to run up the score quickly and are up against a top defense. Philadelphia’s defense needs to rise to the occasion and keep the Patriots off the scoreboard.
Special thanks to MikeTysonChicken and abenyishay for their help in creating this Game Preview.
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Official Week 4 /r/NFL Power Rankings

Good afternoon, nfl! We're through the first quarter of this race, with only 3 teams remaining undefeated while 6 have yet to win a game. It's early going and there's still a lot of moving around to be done, as these horses are anything but predictable. Some wild swings appear in the rankings this week. Who's overrated? Who's underrated? Who's headed for the glue factory? Find out on the Week 4 edition of the Official NFL Power Rankings! 31/32 reporting.
# Team Δ Record Comment
1. Patriots -- 4-0 Pats squeaked out a tough one against the legit Bills defense, but struggled mightily on offense all game. Luckily, the defense was able to stymie the Bills for the most part. A game like this early in the season will give Bill Belichick the ammunition to light a fire under the team for weeks to come. Bring on the Redskins.
2. Chiefs -- 4-0 On a day where everything went wrong, the Chiefs still found a way to win. Highlighted by a sick lateral from Travis Kelce to Shady McCoy and a game-winning drive orchestrated by Patrick Mahomes, this was the type of game that championship-level teams have to occasionally find a way to win. There is some concern about the run defense going forward because the unit should've gotten better since last year, but it seems to be treading water. The Chiefs will now have four of their next five games at home after finishing their rough stretch of road games.
3. Rams -- 3-1 This game...
4. Cowboys -- 3-1 Two days later, and there still aren’t solid answers as to what happened to the Cowboys on Sunday night. It appeared Kellen Moore misplaced his playbook and instead picked up Scott Linehan’s from 2018. Dak struggled like he did in his sophomore season, and Zeke seemed to be thinking about a beach in Cabo. Even the normally dominant offensive line struggled with the Saints defensive front. Things definitely don’t get easier this week as the Pack comes to town.
5. Saints +3 3-1 When the Saints and the Cowboys play in the Superdome, magic always seems to happen, and the 2019 SNF matchup delivered. Both teams' defenses came to play, ensuring a thrilling contest. The boys in the black and white stripes threw their terrible towels all over the field, but the defenses weren't phased and put on exceptional performances to stymie some of the key players in both teams. Well, except Alvin Kamara, who now has back-to-back 69-yard rushing weeks (nice).
6. Seahawks +5 3-1 The songbirds proved to be no match for the Seattle squadron, and the war's tiniest captain was sent back to his nest in defeat. Transport Ensign William Dissly brushed off the flitting fowl with ease, and "Clowney" made a critical strike early that made the canaries' voices crack. The Seahawks are now forced to fly home to try to head off a herd of recently domesticated sheep.
7. Packers -2 3-1 Good news: Aaron Rodgers can still sling the ball effectively. Bad news: This was discovered by returning to 2018's style of game where the defense is not able to make a stop and the plays are mostly passes. The Packers drop to 3-1 as they headi into the jaws of road game against a good Cowboys team.
8. Bears +4 3-1 "Everybody told me when I got here [it was hard to win in Chicago], then we won some games. I guess if you turn the ball over and you create penalties and you do dumb things, it’s a pretty hard place to play. I think they've lost their last two at home.” - Mike Zimmer, just days before his team (led by 84 Million Dollar Man Kirk Cousins) was shut out for 57 minutes en route to losing to career backup Chase Daniel. Hey, he nailed it.
9. 49ers -- 3-0 The 49ers win the bye week by becoming the last unbeaten team in the NFC.
10. Ravens -4 2-2 It seems like an annual occurrence that the Ravens hit some kind of low point and fans question whether this is any more than a 9-7 at best team. Not only did the Ravens fall to 2-2, but they now have as many multi-score losses as multi-score wins. However, the Ravens have been here before and have gone on to finish the season a contender. It all hinges on whether these defensive struggles are an aberration or a trend.
11. Eagles +6 2-2 The Eagles found a way to win on the road, including a gritty performance from a severely depleted defense. Luckily for the team, the looming Sunday match-up is against the Jets' "offense." That said, without a major change in secondary personnel or a dramatic amount of positional growth, the Eagles will have to continue to rely on Carson Wentz's arm to bail them out at the end of every game.
12. Bills +1 3-1 The Bills defense put up an incredible performance, holding the Patriots offense to just 9 points (the other 7 coming on a Special Teams play). And still, the offense blew it, ultimately losing 17-10. Buffalo had every chance to win, but horrible decision making by Josh Allen and Brian Daboll, along with a timely endzone drop by Zay Jones (on an admittedly bad ball by Matt Barkley), led to a tough loss. Elite defense marred by an inconsistent offense. What else is new in Buffalo?
13. Lions +3 2-1-1 Moral victories aren't exactly ideal, but the Lions continue to look like a team that can hang with anyone. Health is the major opponent now, and hopefully, Detroit comes out of the bye on more solid ground in that regard.
14. Vikings -7 2-2 If you or a loved one has been diagnosed with having Kirk Cousins as your quarterback, please don't wait, call 1-84M-GUA-RAN-TEED today.
15. Chargers -- 2-2 A slow start against a struggling Miami squad was a concerning sign for an underachieving Chargers squad, but the team pulled itself together to finish the game with a sizable, but not exactly convincing, win. Unfortunately, the victory came at a cost. Several players, including Melvin Ingram, were sidelined with injuries. While the Chargers' 2-2 record isn't the worst position to be in, this team needed to be better and still needs to do better. The Chargers will start division play by hosting a struggling Broncos team next week.
16. Texans -6 2-2 The difference between daring and stupidity is whether or not you succeed, and in that light, some of this week's calls by the Texans were dumb as hell. The offense still can't find a rhythm, and the defense simply allowed Christian McCaffrey to pad his highlight reel. As Houston joins the rest of the AFC South at 2-2, the question is which teams can get on the right side of .500? The Texans hope to get there at home against the Dirty Birds, but fans won't be surprised if these birds get out of hand.
17. Browns +4 2-2-0 The hype train is back, and Chubb is the Engine. The Browns shellacked the Ravens 40-25 in Baltimore with Nick Chubb scoring three touchdowns. Next week, the Browns will play the 49ers in their second MNF game of the season.
18. Panthers +1 2-2 Christian McCaffrey continued to prove he is not human, as his dazzling highlight-reel catch not only converted a key third down, but also tricked Bill O'Brien into burning a timeout that would be desperately needed by the end of the game. Kyle Allen showed a more mortal side as he coughed up the ball thrice via fumbles, but he also made some critical throws that helped put the game out of reach. If this team can continue to grow and refine itself while its star QB heals, they may position themselves to make some noise by the end of the season.
19. Buccaneers +4 2-2 Tampa upset the undefeated Rams on the road, and the QB Whisperer is starting to work his magic with Jameis. Entering 2019, Jameis hadn’t won a road game since 2016. Now he's 2-0 with 5 TDs, 1 INT, and 593 yards. Meanwhile, the defense has held CMC, Gurley, and Saquon to a combined 63 yards, and Sack Ferret is making an early case for DPOY with 9 sacks and an INT in just four games. A win over the Brees-less Saints, and this team will be rolling with the unstoppable force of an A-Train run up the gut.
20. Colts -6 2-2 Talent and execution. Talent and execution. That's all team sports is - which team has more talent, and which team can utilize their talent in the optimal way. With major injuries piling up, the Colts needed to rely on their execution to win on Sunday. A frustrating day of dropped passes and a brutal late interception from Jacoby Brissett meant the Colts dropped to 2-2.
21. Jaguars -1 2-2 Marvelous. The mustache serves as memories for mortals to recall my maestoso masterpieces. Mustangs might have seemed to mar my miracles, nay they be mashed by my mighty back. The Mile High air may have meant malice, meekly meaning to move the ball aloft — mootly as it marked my meaning: magnificence! Moreover, I must march on from this mumbling, as some mouser needs macerating. Meanwhile, you may call me... Minshew.
22. Titans -- 2-2 A strong overall performance by Mariota and the Titans was highlighted by WRs A.J. Brown and Corey Davis against Atlanta on Sunday. The Titans had WRs catch 3 TDs during a game for the first time in just under 3 years.
23. Raiders +2 2-2 This week, the score doesn't reflect the degree to which Raiders dominated. From the start of the game, it was clear that the Raiders were playing inspired and were the better team. The only downside is that Derek Carr hurt his leg against the Colts again, just like in 2016. Luckily, this time it doesn't seem serious.
24. Giants -- 2-2 HTTR: Haskins Throws Turnovers Regularly. While it's easy to be happy with the defense's performance this week, fans should probably wait until they perform well against a unit other than the maligned Redskins offense. As for Daniel J. Dimes, he continues to impress with his accuracy and mobility, but he has now committed two turnovers in each of his two starts. Rookie mistakes like that are to be expected, but fans have to think that's a focal point for Pat Shurmur and Co. moving forward.
25. Steelers +1 1-3 A popular refrain among Steeler fans these days is, "We don't have any coordinators." Well, it seems as though that hit awfully close to home, because this week, they did have coordinators. Case in point: the offense was uptempo and few adjustments were made or needed. Again and again, the correct plays were sent in and executed with plenty of time left on the clock. The defense was also dynamic, and a myriad of players had opportunities for big plays. Of course, this still means it's a simplified system for a young QB and defense, but it does at least prove capability all-around.
26. Falcons -8 1-3 This team looks sluggish, ill-prepared, and is all too quickly proving that they cannot hang with any other team in the division. This talented team's window just about shut on Sunday. Koetter and Mularkey were kicked out of Atlanta for a reason, and if Dan Quinn really wanted to save his job, he would hire on a different basis than the buddy system. Let's hope the Falcons' 2020 coaching squad featuring Jerry Glanville, Jim Mora Jr., and Mike Smith can produce more results than the current four-headed hydra of disappointment.
27. Broncos -- 0-4 A further backslide into non-competitiveness looms after yet another loss. Bradley Chubb will be a huge loss for a Broncos defense that was already under-performing.
28. Cardinals -- 0-3-1 Low expectations were one thing, but to see the Cardinals appear to regress the past two weeks is a cause for major concern. Steve Keim has rightfully been blamed by local media members for the disastrous state this team has been in for 13 months. His seat should get much hotter if the Cards can't figure out a way to win in Cincinnati against a win-less Bengals team on a short week
29. Bengals -1 0-4 The Bengals are a bad football team, and they will continue to be a bad football team as long as Mike Brown is the owner.
30. Jets +1 0-3 With Weeks 5, 6, and 7 of the preseason behind them, the Jets look to start the season with a bang as the returns of C.J. Mosley, Sam Darnold, and Quinnen Williams get closer every day.
31. Redskins -1 0-4 After all the defense's talk and Landon Collins specifically discussing facing his old team and giving them "payback," that was just embarrassing. There isn't much else to say.
32. Dolphins -- 0-4 They did it! They finally kept the game within 3 TDs! They also finally had a lead! This group of football players in Miami is clearly showing that they may qualify to be called a "team" by the end of the season!
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New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens - NFL Betting Free Pick - Sunday 11/3/19 - Bookie Blasters Patriots vs Ravens Week 9 Preview  Free NFL Predictions & Betting Odds Super Bowl 54 Betting Odds Featuring 49ers, Seahawks, Ravens, Patriots, Chiefs, Cowboys & Raiders NFL Betting Guide - Patriots vs Ravens Proline NFL Week 6, Jags/Broncos Betting Line, Packers vs. Ravens, Saints vs. Pats, October 13, 2013

The point spread, ML and O/U in the chart below will be kept current, but the written content on this page is based on the early point spread for the Ravens vs. Patriots. For the latest spread, money line, and over/under odds on both of the 2011 – 2012 Conference Championship games, please visit our NFL Playoff Odds page. Patriots vs. Ravens odds, line: Sunday Night Football picks, top predictions from proven model on 87-60 roll SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated Sunday's Patriots vs. Ravens showdown Although Ravens-Patriots is the highest-quality game of the week based on Elo alone, both of those teams are all but assured of playoff spots already, which reduces the stakes a bit. The Patriots (-189) are being spotted a -3.5 (-115) line against the spread (ATS) over the Ravens. New to sports betting? With a spread of -3.5, that means the Patriots need to not only beat the Ravens, but they need to win by at least four points for an ATS wager on them to cash. For the Patriots-Ravens over/under lines, the lowest total at 50 (-110). Obviously this is better for the over, while the best line for the under, at 50.5 (-110). At both of our recommended NFL betting sites, all of the Ravens vs. Patriots betting lines have been posted – except prop bets. Point spreads, money lines, and over/under lines are

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New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens - NFL Betting Free Pick - Sunday 11/3/19 - Bookie Blasters

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